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what. CENSUS 2010. REVEALED. October 2013. OVERVIEW. Demographic Trends Challenges & Opportunities Discussion. The South Continues To Rise. ...Again!. SOUTH’S SHARE OF U.S. NET POPULATION GROWTH, SELECTED YEARS, 1910-2010. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY REGION, 2000-2010.

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  1. what CENSUS 2010 REVEALED October 2013

  2. OVERVIEW • Demographic Trends • Challenges & Opportunities • Discussion

  3. The South Continues To Rise ...Again!

  4. SOUTH’S SHARE OF U.S. NET POPULATION GROWTH, SELECTED YEARS, 1910-2010

  5. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY REGION, 2000-2010

  6. SHARES OF NET POPULATION GROWTH BY REGION, 2000-2010

  7. NET MIGRATION TRENDS, 2000-2008 = Net Import = Net Export

  8. NC COUNTIES WITH THE LARGEST ABSOLUTE POPULATION GAINS, 2000-2010

  9. NC COUNTIES EXPERIENCING POPULATION DECLINE,  2000-2010

  10. THE “BROWNING” OF AMERICA

  11. THE NUMBERS Legal Immigrants: • 1920-1961: 206,000 annually • 1961-1992: 561,000 annually • 1993-1998: 800,654 annually • 1999-2004: 879,400 annually • 2005-2008: 1,137,000 annually Refugees, Parolees, Asylees • 1961-1993: 2.1 million (65,000 annually) • 1994-1998: 428,361 (85,672 annually) • 1999-2004: 487,386 (81,231 annually) • 2005-2008: 203,642 (75,661 annually) Illegal Immigrants: • 300,000 to 400,000 annually over the past two decades • Three million granted amnesty in 1986 • 2.7 million illegal immigrants remained in U.S. after 1986 reforms • October 1996: INS estimated that there were 5 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. • August 2005: Illegal population range from 7 to 15 million.

  12. NON-IMMIGRANTS ADMITTED TO UNITED STATES, SELECTED YEARS, 1981-2008

  13. IMMIGRATION POPULATION, 1900-2007 Source: Center for Immigration Studies; U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey

  14. U.S. POPULATION CHANGE BY RACE & ETHNICITY, 2000-2009

  15. SHARES OF NET POPULATION GROWTH, 2000-2009

  16. RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF U.S. POPULATION BY RACE / ETHNICITY Source: Pew Research Center, 2008 *projected.

  17. NORTH CAROLINA POPULATION GROWTH BY NATIVITY, RACE, AND ETHNICITY, 1990-2007

  18. CHANGE IN THE RACE/ETHNIC COMPOSITION OF NC PUBLIC SCHOOLS, 2000-2009 . Source: DPI, The Statistical Profile Online

  19. SUMMARY OF HISPANIC ECONOMIC IMPACT, NC, 2006

  20. Emergence of Latinos in the USA

  21. Latinos in the USA. Highlights • US Hispanics are the 15th largest consumer market in the world:$1.2 trillion in purchasing power. • US Hispanic population grew from 9.6 million to 50.5 million from 1970 to 2010. • 2020 66.4 million • 2030 85.9 million • 2040108.2 million • 2050 132.8 million “Datos 2012”. Arizona State University

  22. Mexico - North Carolina Latino Trends

  23. North Carolina – MexicoNAFTA: • North Carolina’s exports to Mexico have increased 261.1%. Those to the rest of the world: 118.1%. • Mexico is the 3rd largest export market for NC. • North Carolina is the 18th exporter to Mexico. • In 2011, North Carolina’s exports to Mexico reached $2 billion, an increase of $1,322 mill from 1993. IPC January, 2012

  24. Latinos in North Carolina • Immigrants represent  9.9% of the state’s workforce in 2010 (478,301 workers) • Sales and receipts of $4.2 billion • 2010 purchasingpowerof NC’sLatinos totaled$14.2 billion– anincrease of 1,601.2% since 1990. U.S. Census Bureau’s Survey of Business Owners 2010.

  25. NC Attraction for Foreign Businesses • North Carolina is the 9th largest economy in the U.S., with a Gross State Product of $400 billion. • NC is home to manufacturing facilities from 39 foreign countries. • 206,700 workers in the State are employed by foreign-owned firms. 46% in manufacturing jobs. ThriveNC.com/International

  26. Latinos in the USA and NC • There are 12.2 million registered voters for the past election. • 30.2% of immigrants (or 217,183 people) in North Carolina were naturalized U.S. citizens in 2010. • In NC; 102,461 are registered voters. Over 200,000 are eligible. IPC January, 2012

  27. NC Demographics • North Carolina: 9,656,401 Total population 1,122,837 Hispanic/Latino residents (8.6 %) • Wake County:267,587 total population 36,077 Hispanic/Latino residents (7.4 %) • Durham County: 273,392 total population 35,540 Hispanic/Latino residents (13.5 %) • Orange County: 135,755 total population 10,996 Hispanic/Latino residents (8.1%) • Mecklenburg County: 944,373 total population 113,324 Hispanic/Latino residents (12.4 %) US CensusBureau

  28. Immigrants comprised 9.9% of the state’s workforce in 2010. (478,301 workers). • Unauthorized immigrants comprised 5.4% of the state’s workforce in 2010 (or 250,000 workers). • If all unauthorized immigrants were removed, the state would lose: • $14.5 billion in economic activity. • $6.4 billion in gross state product. • 101,414 jobs. IPC January, 2012

  29. Conceptual Framework for Assessing the Economic Impact of Hispanics in North Carolina

  30. Conclusion • Latino population is expected to continue to grow. • NC is a large contributor to Mexico against the rest of the world, bring more growth to our area. • The Latino population has a large impact on our economy, locally, state, and nationally. • Are we planning for the growth in population?

  31. Questions J. David Marsee II jdmarsee@gmail.com dmarsee@dconc.gov (919) 560-0667 (919) 698-2502

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