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Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program

Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009. Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program. A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs.

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Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program

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  1. Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8th 2009 Solution “6-2-6”U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs

  2. About Us:C.R.I.S.S., Maxwell School Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions

  3. An Alternative U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program:Solution “6–2–6”

  4. Content: Background, Policy Outcome and Conclusion • Background • Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk • North Korea’s “Plan B” • Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6” • Economic Impact • Political and Diplomatic Consequence • Social Issues • Conclusion A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility

  5. Background Information: Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk • DPRK and Its Nuclear Program • Political regime and foreign relations • Nuclear Program • Plan A and Plan B • Multilateralism • The “Six-Party” Talk • Five rounds from 2003 to 2007 • Latest Development • DPRK’s withdrawal from SPT in April 2009 • Current events

  6. Background Information (continued): DPRK’s Development of Nuclear Program

  7. Background Information (continued): The “Six-Party” Multilateral Negotiation North Korea (DPRK) Russia South Korea (ROK) U.S.A. China Japan

  8. Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact

  9. Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact

  10. Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact

  11. Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact

  12. Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact North Korea’s Military Expense

  13. Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Consequence • US’s Position: • NO Bilateral Talks • US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis • SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council) • New Administration: • Fresh Impetus

  14. Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact

  15. Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact

  16. Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk

  17. Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact • China • Political and Economic Ties with DPRK – less security concern • Refugee Concern • Imagine Building • South Korea and Japan • Security Concern • Refugee Concern • Diplomatic Normalization • Russia • Limited Political Power • Balance China and Japan North Korea

  18. Outcome Analysis III:Social Issues • Refugees • Humanitarian Aid • Social differences • Human rights

  19. U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program:Solution “6–2–6”

  20. Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu Questions? December 7th 2009Maxwell School, Syracuse University

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