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Adjustment of Forecast Supply

Adjustment of Forecast Supply. Adjustment of Forecast Supply. Timeline. April 1: Use Heise Forecast July: Use actual accounting data and predict supply for remainder of season September: Use actual accounting data and predict supply for remainder of season. April 1.

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Adjustment of Forecast Supply

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  1. Adjustment of Forecast Supply Adjustment of Forecast Supply

  2. Timeline • April 1: Use Heise Forecast • July: Use actual accounting data and predict supply for remainder of season • September: Use actual accounting data and predict supply for remainder of season

  3. April 1 • Use Heise natural flow forecast to predict natural flow diversion

  4. April 1 • Predict reservoir fill and storage allocation based on similar year.

  5. July and September • Have the storage allocation for each of the canals. • Will know the natural flow diverted up to that point. • Will find a year with similar reach gains to predict natural flow diversions for the remainder of the season.

  6. TFCC 2002 Example

  7. 2002 Example

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