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Looking Ahead Stuart Starr MITRE

Prepare for Success. NATO Code of Best Practice (COBP) for C2 Assessment. 3. Problem Formulation. Sponsor Problem. 4. Solution Strategy. 6. Human & Organisational Issues. 5. Measures of Merit (MoM). 7. Scenarios. Looking Ahead Stuart Starr MITRE. 8. Methods & Tools.

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Looking Ahead Stuart Starr MITRE

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  1. Prepare for Success NATO Code of Best Practice (COBP) for C2 Assessment 3 Problem Formulation Sponsor Problem 4 Solution Strategy 6 Human & Organisational Issues 5 Measures of Merit (MoM) 7 Scenarios Looking Ahead Stuart Starr MITRE 8 Methods & Tools Products 11 9 Data 10 Assess Risk

  2. Organizational • •USD(I) • People • E&T for analysts … & decisionmakers! • Data • DoDD 8260 • Metadata! • Processes • CoBPs • Experimentation • Capability-based assessments • Products • Integrated architectures Looking Ahead: Future C2 Assessment Challenges • Culture • Thinking joint/ interagency / combined • Hoarding to sharing • R&D • Representation of soft factors • Tools • • Innovative tools (e.g., ABM) • Cope with DOTML-PF • Create, orchestrate new tools Legend: - Advance -Challenge

  3. Observations: Advances In many ways, we are improving our ability to evaluate the impact of C2 on mission effectiveness; e.g., • Cultural changes (e.g., a growing recognition that meaningful assessments require explicit consideration of joint C2) • Emerging processes (e.g., commitment to experimentation; refined NATO CoBP) • Emerging tools • System dynamics models (e.g., CAPE) • Effects based operations (e.g., Causal Assessment Tool) • Agent based models (e.g., Mana) • Constructive campaign models (e.g., JWARS) • Federated constructive models (e.g., Pegasus) • Virtual models (e.g., JSB) • DoD Directive on data (e.g., “analytical baselines”) • Interest in enhanced experimentation

  4. Observations: Residual Challenges However, in several key dimensions, the problem is getting harder … • Culture: Overcoming the multiple dimensions of fear that promote hoarding • Organizational: Compensating for the fracture of ASD(C3I) • People: Educating analysts (and decisionmakers!) on best practices in C2 assessment • Processes: Performing capability-based assessments for key mission areas (e.g., IO, SASO, counter-terrorism) • Tools: Creating, and employing efficiently, tools that can address the co-evolution of DOTMLPF • R&D: Creating models that represent “soft factors” credibly • Data: Implementing sound data management practices (“Metadata!…”)

  5. Final Observations If future C2 assessments are to be responsive todecisionmakers’ needs, it will require • Enhancing cross-community communications; e.g., • Organizationally (e.g., Services, Inter-agency, coalition) • User types (e.g., decisionmakers, operational users, technologists, analysts) • Systematically addressing all of the residual challenges cited, particularly in the areas of • Culture • Education & training • Data • Product creation

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