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The Surrey Adult Social Care Workforce Context Surrey Partnership Council 11 September 2014. Ken Akers, Workforce Lead, Adult Social Care. What is the future for adult social care?. What is the future for adult social care?. Surrey demographics: 2013 to 2035. Source: POPPI, PANSI and ONS.
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The Surrey Adult Social Care Workforce ContextSurrey Partnership Council11 September 2014 Ken Akers, Workforce Lead, Adult Social Care
Surrey demographics: 2013 to 2035 Source: POPPI, PANSI and ONS • These graphs show the % increase in the different adult groups between 2013 and 2035. • The most significant increases are: • People aged 65+: increase of 55% from 2013 to 2035 (People aged 85+ 128% increase) • Older People with a Learning Disability: increase of 55% from 2013 to 2035
The Surrey adult social care workforce now • Out of an economically active population of 600,400 in Surrey, 10.6% of workers are employed in the human health and social work sector • Skills for Care estimate there were approximately 33,900 jobs in the adult social care sector in Surrey in 2010, employing around • 29,400 people Who employs the adult social care workforce in Surrey? Source: Skills for Care
The Surrey adult social care workforce now What is the make-up by job role of the adult social care workforce in Surrey? Source: NMDS • The majority of frontline adult social care staff (66%) are in non professionally qualified roles
Demand: Projected growth in number of adult social care jobs in Surrey (2010-2025) Source: Skills for Care • Between 8,135 and 27,798 extra adult social care jobs will be needed in Surrey by 2025, depending on the model used
Demand: Estimated number of adult social care workers which would need to be recruited/annum (2010-2025) Source: Skills for Care and NMDS • Current average turnover across the adult social care sector is 20.7% • Depending on the model used, by 2025 up to 12,771 jobs will need to be recruited every year to ensure all jobs are filled (assuming turnover does not change)
Supply: Proportion of the Surrey population who are economically active (2010-2035) Source: ONS • Although Surrey’s population is projected to grow by 19.5% by 2033, over half of this increase is accounted for by people of pensionable age (i.e. 65 years old and over) • The ratio of adult social care jobs to economically active population almost doubles between 2010 and 2025 (assuming “maximising choice“ scenario)
Supply: Surrey economy Unemployment Source: NMDS and ONS Pay • Compared to other regions, Surrey has a relatively small unemployed population. A significant percentage of these are aged 24 and under. • Compared to other regions, gross hourly pay in Surrey is relatively high. It is almost x2.5 times the gross hourly pay for care workers.
Supply: Distance to work Source: NMDS • Almost 75% of the residential care workforce live within 6 miles of their work base. • 60% of the non-residential care workforce live within 6 miles of their work base.
Developing social care workforce strategy DEVELOPING, MONITORING AND REVIEWING Health Education Kent, Surrey and Sussex District and borough authorities Surrey County Council Surrey Care Association Surrey Independent Living Council Surrey Community Action Acute, community and other health providers Skills for Care Clinical ccommissioning groups Action for Carers Health and Wellbeing Board Surrey residents Skills for Care Regional Network Better Care Fund Board Workforce Board Engagement forums ENABLING AND SETTING DIRECTION ENGAGING AND CONSULTING Public Sector Transformation Network Commissioners Reference Group Health Education Partnership Board Surrey County Council Member Reference Group Partnership boards and joint projects Partner organisations leadership teams Workforce organisations, service providers and community organisations DELIVERING AND IMPLEMENTING
