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Introduction

This draft report provides an overview of the MaineDOT's Strategic Transit Plan, including goals and core values, existing services inventory, need and demand models, performance measures, and projected costs. It also includes a summary of theoretical plans and priorities gathered from regional transit summits. The report compares Maine to other states in terms of transit funding and explores methods for estimating urban and rural demand.

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Introduction

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  1. Introduction Sue Moreau Manager, Multimodal Planning Division Bureau of Planning MaineDOT

  2. Self introductions • Name • Affiliation • Pick one: • Estimate of first day above 70° below 0° • Vacation plans. How you spent your summer. • Last time used of public transportation

  3. Calendar for Final Report November 10: Draft Report Emailed to Committee November 20: Steering Committee Draft Report Discussion November 28: Comments to Consultants on Draft December 15: Draft Posted for 30 Days January 15: Public Hearing on Final Plan January 15, 2015: Final Steering Committee Meeting DRAFT FINAL

  4. Agenda • Project Review. • Regional Transit Summit Summary. • Cost Overview. • Break • Peer State Discussion How does Maine compare? • Calendar

  5. Summary of Key Activities • Goals and Core Values • Inventory of Existing Services • Need and Demand Models • Elderly Needs Research • Surveys • Random Statewide Telephone • Rider Survey • MaineDOT Customer • Public Involvement • Hearing on Need and Telephone Survey Results • Regional Transit Summits with LCP • Steering Committee Meetings • Performance Measures and Service Standards • Cost Analysis and Future Projected Costs • Concept Paper – Interim Report

  6. Conceptual Tasks MaineDOT Strategic Transit Plan - 2025 Peter Schauer Associates

  7. Theoretical Plans and Priorities from Regional Transit Summits A total of eight summit meetings were held between October 17, 2013, and December 13, 2013.

  8. Regional Summit dates and Locations • October 17, 2013 – Waterville (Armory) • October 31, 2013 – Belfast (U. Maine Hutchinson Center) • November 7, 2013 – Presque Isle (U. Maine at Presque Isle) • November 12, 2013 – Bangor (Bangor Parks and Recreation Dept.) • November 13, 2013 – Sanford (York County Community Action Corp.) • November 14, 2013 – Portland (Portland Public Library) • December 10, 2013 – Auburn (Auburn Public Library) • December 13, 2013 – Ellsworth (Ellsworth City Hall Auditorium)

  9. Summary of theoretical plans and priorities from Regional Transit Summits

  10. Cost OverviewSeptember 25, 2014 Estimating Rural Needs

  11. Estimating Rural Need TCRP Report 161 Methods for Forecasting Demand and Quantifying Need for Rural Passenger Transportation: Final Workbook Transit Cooperative Research Program Washington, D.C. 2013

  12. TCRP Approach for Documenting Need/Demand Persons residing in households owning no automobile: Derived from Census (American Community Survey five-year estimates, 2008-2012, File B08201). Key question: How much transit service would be needed to fully address the mobility needs of transit dependent persons?

  13. TCRP Formula Number of Households having no vehicle X mobility Gap What is the Mobility Gap? Number of trips/household/day in a household with one vehicle (5.0) minus number of trips/household/day with no vehicle (3.3) = 1.7 Mobility Gap of 1.7 is an estimate for New England.

  14. Example: Aroostook County Number of no-vehicle households: 2,472 Daily mobility need: (2,472) x 1.7 = 4,202 trips Annual Mobility Need = 4,202 trips x 300 = 1,260,600 trips.

  15. Page 17 TCRP Report Quote from page 17 of the TCRP Report: “In the testing of these suggested methodologies with a number of rural transit agencies, it was found that, at best, only about 20% of the mobility gap trip-based need was met.”

  16. Estimating Urban Demand • The following approach was developed in consultation with the Metropolitan Planning Organizations of Maine’s urbanized areas. • The mobility gap is based on the 2009 National Household Travel Survey, Federal Highway Administration. 10 trips/day for all-vehicle households 4.8 trips/day for no-vehicle households = gap of 5.2 trips/day/no-vehicle household • Includes trips by all modes. • PACTS uses a different methodology, but the mobility gap is roughly the same (5.02).

  17. How does Maine compare to other states?

  18. Choosing Maine’s “Peer States” • Basics found in: • American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) Survey of State Funding for Public Transportation 2012. • AASHTO survey refined two ways by: • National Cooperative Research Highway Program (NCHRP) Report 569 Comparative Review and Analysis of State Transit Funding Programs. • First method grouped by specific objectives; • Geographic (Northeast) • Population (Smallest of 4 groups) • Urban/Rural (2nd to most rural of 5 groups) • Income (2nd to lowest of 5 groups) • Transit Services (lowest of 5 groups)

  19. (NCHRP) Report 569 Comparative Review and Analysis of State Transit Funding Programs. (Con’t.) Second method: 5 devised groups by natural cluster of scoring cutting across wider set of criteria: • Percent urban area • Percent urban VMT • Percent Hispanic/Latino • Percent African-American • Percent household income below $30,000 • Percent transit journey to work • Total population • Percent population over 65 • Percent population disabled • FTA urbanized area formula • FTA flex funds • State transit funding

  20. Maine’s “Peer States” Closer look at seven of 12 in consultation with MaineDOT: Idaho Montana Wyoming North Dakota New Hampshire Vermont West Virginia

  21. - Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 - Small Urban and Rural Transit Center August 2014 Data source is Rural National Transit Database (NTD). Data for transit providers receiving §5311 Non-Urbanized Area Formula Program funding. Does NOT include providers receiving only §5310 funds, or providers receiving both section §5311 and §5307 Urbanized Area Formula Program funding.

  22. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Operating Expense per Mile Peer state avg. $3.04 Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  23. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Farebox Recovery Ratio Peer state avg. 5.4% Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  24. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Demand Response Trips / Mile Nat’l. avg. 0.11 mi. WV is all fixed or deviated fixed route Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  25. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Deviated or Fixed Route Trips / Mile Peer state avg. 0.43 mi. Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  26. “Peer State” Performance Measures Deviated Fixed Route and Demand Response Trips / Mile Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  27. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Demand Response Trips / Hour Nat’l. avg. 2.15 trips/hr. WV is all fixed or deviated fixed route Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  28. “Peer State” Performance Measures2012 Median Agency Fixed Route Trips / Hour Nat’l. avg. 10.8 trips/hr. Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  29. “Peer State” Performance MeasuresFixed Route and Demand Response Trips / Hour WV is all fixed or deviated fixed route Data Source: Table 37. Rural Transit Fact Book 2014 (from Rural National Transit Database. 2012)

  30. “Peer State” Per Capita State Funding For Public Transportation (FY2010) ( Data Source: AASHTO Survey of State Funding for Public Transportation 2012. )

  31. DRAFT Per Capita from AASHTO Survey. §5311 Trips per Hour (Rural Transit Fact Book 2012)

  32. Calendar for Final Report November 10: Draft Report Emailed to Committee November 20: Steering Committee Draft Report Discussion November 28: Comments to Consultants on Draft December 15: Draft Posted for 30 Days January 15: Public Hearing on Final Plan January 15, 2015: Final Steering Committee Meeting DRAFT FINAL

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