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High-Speed Rail in Scandinavia - What are the alternatives? KTH Railway Group

High-Speed Rail in Scandinavia - What are the alternatives? KTH Railway Group Bo-Lennart Nelldal, Ph D Professor 2013-04-10. KTH Railway Group - System approach. Revenue. Security. Competition/ Cooperation. Profitability. Efficient train system. Capacity. Cost. Recovery?.

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High-Speed Rail in Scandinavia - What are the alternatives? KTH Railway Group

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  1. High-Speed Rail in Scandinavia - What are the alternatives? KTH Railway Group Bo-Lennart Nelldal, Ph D Professor 2013-04-10

  2. KTH Railway Group - System approach Revenue Security Competition/ Cooperation Profitability Efficient train system Capacity Cost

  3. Recovery? Quality crises Climate crisis New tracks and trains Energy crisis 2 Air expansion Break through of privat car Energy crisis 1

  4. High Speed in Norway Oslo-Trondheim 553 km travel time: 6:38 Average speed 80 km/h Old line single track Mixed operation High Speed in Sweden Stockholm-Malmö 600 km travel time: 4:25 Average speed 135 km/h Upgraded line double track Mixed operation Real High Speed in France: Paris-Marseille 780 km travel time: 3:05 Average speed 250 km/h Newbuilt line double track Dedicated high speed line

  5. When is Real High-Speed Lines possible in Scandinavia? • There should be a major endpoint market with long-distance travel • There should be significant intermediate markets along the route • There should be a high demand for freight transport for getting benefits of separating freight and fast passenger trains

  6. Passenger transport Long distance travels >100kmWith all modes assigned on the road network Freight transport flows in Swedenblue=truckred=raillilac=shipping

  7. Ortsstorlek Stockholm >1 milj invånare Göteborg 0,5 - 1,0 milj inv. 250 - 500 tusen inv. Malmö 100 - 250 tusen inv. Uppsala 50 - 100 tusen inv. Gävle Luleå Uleåborg Skellefteå Umeå Trondheim Östersund Örnsköldsvik Big freight flows Sundsvall Tammerfors Åbo Bergen Falun Gävle Borlänge S:t Petersburg Oslo Helsingfors Uppsala Karlstad Västerås Örebro Tallinn Stockholm Stavanger Eskils - Moss tuna Skövde Norrköping Linköping Trollhättan Borås Göteborg Jönköping Riga Varberg Ålborg Århus Halmstad Helsing - borg Köpen - hamn Lund Malmö Odense Målstandard Kiev Blandtrafik 250 km/h Blandtrafik 200 km/h Hamburg Annan viktig linje Bremen

  8. Ortsstorlek Stockholm >1 milj invånare Göteborg 0,5 - 1,0 milj inv. 250 - 500 tusen inv. Malmö 100 - 250 tusen inv. Uppsala 50 - 100 tusen inv. Gävle Luleå Uleåborg Skellefteå Umeå Trondheim Östersund Örnsköldsvik Big passenger flows Sundsvall Tammerfors Åbo Bergen Falun Gävle Borlänge S:t Petersburg Oslo Helsingfors Uppsala Karlstad Skövde Västerås Örebro Tallinn Stockholm Stavanger Eskils - Moss tuna Norrköping Linköping Trollhättan Borås Göteborg Jönköping Riga Varberg Ålborg Århus Halmstad Helsing - borg Köpen - hamn Lund Malmö/Copenhagen Odense Målstandard Kiev Blandtrafik 250 km/h Blandtrafik 200 km/h Hamburg Annan viktig linje Bremen

  9. Ortsstorlek Stockholm >1 milj invånare Göteborg 0,5 - 1,0 milj inv. 250 - 500 tusen inv. Malmö 100 - 250 tusen inv. Uppsala 50 - 100 tusen inv. Gävle Luleå Uleåborg Big freight flows+Big passenger flows=Traffic separation is necessary Skellefteå Umeå Trondheim Östersund Örnsköldsvik Sundsvall Tammerfors Åbo Bergen Falun Gävle Borlänge S:t Petersburg Oslo Helsingfors Uppsala Karlstad Skövde Västerås Örebro Tallinn Stockholm Stavanger Eskils - Moss tuna Norrköping Linköping Trollhättan Borås Göteborg Jönköping Riga Varberg Ålborg Århus Halmstad Helsing - borg Köpen - hamn Lund Malmö/Copenhagen Odense Målstandard Kiev Blandtrafik 250 km/h Blandtrafik 200 km/h Hamburg Annan viktig linje Bremen

  10. Umeå Strategic Corridors Trondheim Sundsvall Bergen Oslo Stockholm Stavanger Kristiansand Gothenburg Aarhus Copenhagen/Malmö Odense Hamburg Berlin

  11. Customer requirements for passenger transport • 3 hrs travel time: Daily business travel possible and a good alternative to air from city to city • 2 hrs travel time: Train substitute air transport and is also competetive for transfer to airports • 1 hr travel time: Daily commuting possible, induces new travel and have impacts on localisation

  12. International transports 2011– between Sweden and the continent of western Europe 1 truck every 15 seconds 1 freight train every 40 minutes Both directions incuded 1 EU-truck average load 15 tons 1 freight train avrege load 600 tons 1 freight train = 40 trucks

  13. Customer requierments for freight transport • On time performance and on line information • Appropriate transport time i.e. production on daytime and transport overnight 18:00-6:00 • Low cost: Lower than truck • High capacity: Loading gauge, axle load, train length and train weight

  14. Capacity with mixed and separated traffic Capacity with only freight trains Capacity with mixed traffic Consumes capacity Capacity with only high speed trains

  15. High-Speed Trains have good punctuality- because they have their own track • High Speed Train Shinkansen between Tokyo and Osaka • 11 trains per hour and direction with regular overtakings • Average delay was only 42 seconds at 2005 • Includes typhoons and blizzards!

  16. Operating speed today and design speed for HSL

  17. Norwegian state High Speed Investigation 2:11 6:38 2:45 6:38 5:30 13:00 4:00 8:12 2:47 6:05 2:06 6:41 3:02 6:38 2:10 4:27 1:40 3:55 2:45 6:38 Only High Speed Trains Freight trains on old lines Trondheim Bergen Oslo Stockholm Stavanger Kristiansand Gothenburg Copenhagen/Malmö WithHigh Speed LinesTraveltime h:min withfastesttrainto/from OsloToday (2011) Hamburg 19 Berlin

  18. Norwegian state High Speed Investigation 2:11 6:38 2:30 6:38 2:25 6:38 2:45 6:38 5:35 13:00 4:05 8:12 2:47 6:05 2:30 6:38 1:45 3:55 1:40 3:55 2:06 6:41 2:47 6:05 4:00 8:12 5:30 13:00 2:45 6:38 2:25 6:41 1:55 4:27 2:10 4:27 3:02 6:38 Norsk Bane AS High Speed Investigation Only High Speed Trains Freight trains on old lines Both High Speed Trains, InterCity and Freight trains Trondheim Trondheim Ålesund Bergen Bergen Oslo Oslo Stockholm Stockholm Stavanger Stavanger Kristiansand Kristiansand Gothenburg Gothenburg Copenhagen/Malmö Copenhagen/Malmö WithHigh Speed LinesTraveltime h:min withfastesttrainto/from OsloToday (2011) Hamburg Hamburg 20 20 Berlin Berlin

  19. Swedish State investigation and Europe Corridor Stockholm Only High Speed Trains - Freight trains on old lines Jönköping Gothenburg 2:00 1:20 Malmö 2:25 2:55 Copenhagen 4:40 5:30 Berlin Hamburg

  20. COINCO Swedish State investigation and Europe Corridor Only High Speed Trains - Freight trains on old lines Stockholm Stockholm Only High Speed Trains - Freight trains on old lines 3:20 Oslo Jönköping Jönköping Gothenburg 2:00 Gothenburg 2:00 1:20 1:20 Malmö 2:25 Malmö 3:20 2:55 3:50 Copenhagen Copenhagen 4:40 5:35 5:30 6:25 Berlin Berlin Hamburg Hamburg

  21. The missing link in COINCO Stockholm 3:20 Oslo Stockholm 3:20 Oslo Jönköping Gothenburg 2:00 Jönköping 1:20 Gothenburg 2:00 1:20 New link for approx 80? Mdr SEK Double track for 200-250 km/h ready 2021 New link for Approx 40 Mdr SEK Malmö 3:20 Malmö 4:05 2:25 3:50 4:35 Copenhagen Copenhagen 2:55 Berlin Berlin Hamburg Hamburg

  22. Planning in Denmark and Germany

  23. Denmark Mixed operation - sometimes with alternative routes Planed and decidedcompleted 2021 • Köpenhamn-Köge-Ringsted new double track250 km/h with ETCS • Ringsted-Rödbyupgraded line 200 km/h • Storströmsbron new double track bridge 200 km/h • Rödby-Puttgarden new double track tunnel, 200 km/h

  24. Germany Mixed operation Planed and decidedcompletedto 2021 • Puttgarden-Lübeck partlysingletrackelectrified, 160 km/h • Fehmarnsund singletrack bridge (regional project double track) • Lübeck-Hamburg fourtrack Hamburg-Bargteheide 160 km/h

  25. Denmark - Germany Mostly mixed operation Planed and decidedcompleted 2021 • Double track • 200-250 km/h • Some alternative routes for freight • Loading gauge G1 axleload 25 tons Planed and decidedcompleted 2021 • Partlysingle, double, fourtrack • 160 km/h • Mixed operation • Regional plans for higher standard • No state plans for higher standard

  26. Vision for future High Speed Rail in Scandinavia Trondheim New high speed links double trackfor 250-350 km/hConventional lines with upgraded track for 200-250 km/h Bergen Oslo Stockholm Stavanger Kristiansand Gothenburg Copenhagen/Malmö Hamburg Berlin

  27. Vision for Green Freight Corridors in Europe • Prioritized Railway network • High Capacity • Deregulated • Non bueraucratic • Competitive track fees • Long trains • High and wide loading gauge • Interoperability • Intermodality

  28. The Øresund and Fehmarnbelt Links- Setting a new standard for freight Source: Hans Boysen, KTH

  29. Decision taken • To build Ostlänken Stockholm-Linköping and Gothenburg-Landvetter for 250-320 km/h dedicated lines as a first step of a real high speed lines in Sweden • To build double track from Öxnered-Gothenburg-Malmö-Copenhagen for 200-250 km/h mixed traffic • To build double track from Copenhagen-Puttgarden for 200-250 km/h mostly mixed traffic • To build double track for 200-250 km/h Oslo-Halden mixed traffic t.b.d? • To apply Öresund standard for freight on Rödby-Puttgarden

  30. What is missing? • A strategic plan for high speed passenger transport from Scandinavia to northern Germany • A strategic plan for high capacity freight transport from Scandinavia to northern Germany • A common standard for speed on upgraded and new built lines in Scandinavia • A best practice standard for loading gauge and axle load for freight on upgraded and new built lines • A plan for financing and build the missing links as fast as possible

  31. What can we achieve? • Very short travelling times and increase the availiability for people and business • Better capacity for freight and regional trains on the conventional tracks • Better climate and enviroment because people go by train instead of plane and car and more freight will go by rail • Replace airplanes on distances up to 600 kilometres and cooperate with planes for feeder transports • A sustainable society

  32. ThankYou! Home page: www.railwaygroup.kth.se bo-lennart.nelldal@abe.kth.se

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