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Monthly Review – November 2013

Monthly Review – November 2013. Some tropical indices and SST, and MJO Some mid-latitude anomalies Global climate change issues Noteworthy weather events Other ongoings Special: “The fluid is falling”, both in the ocean/atmosphere. Huug van den Dool, Dec, 6, 2013.

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Monthly Review – November 2013

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  1. Monthly Review – November 2013 • Some tropical indices and SST, and MJO • Some mid-latitude anomalies • Global climate change issues • Noteworthy weather events • Other ongoings • Special: “The fluid is falling”, both in the ocean/atmosphere Huug van den Dool, Dec, 6, 2013

  2. 6th of the month is early • No NMME • Only some monthly updates are in

  3. Synopsis:ENSO-neutral is expected to continue into the Northern Hemisphere summer 2014.

  4. MJO

  5. Mid-Latitude (or global)

  6. A few global climate change issues

  7. September 2013:     392.93 ppm September 2012:     390.40 ppm

  8. Noteworthy weather

  9. /home/www/cpc/htdocs/products/people/wd51hd/sst/201311

  10. Thanksgiving eve!

  11. 2nd “once in 20 year” storm in NW Europe, in a 2 month window! Dec, 5 and Oct, 28.

  12. Greatest pressure drop: 12 mb/6 hours.

  13. Nov, 13, 2013: Tropical cyclone 3A hitting Somalia

  14. Other ongoings

  15. CA-SST weights at the end of October 2013

  16. CA-SST weights at the end of November 2013 Little changes in weight in one month (that is good!) Last 13 years are positive (supports or is consistent with “OCN”) Weights are small, only three in excess of |0.10|, very unusual 1987 continues as a high –ve weight. Reaching 2 years soon. Determinism?

  17. Specification or down-scaling at lead -3

  18. Specification or down-scaling at lead -3

  19. The fluids are falling Not about November - Heat Burst (atmosphere) - Brinicle (ocean)

  20. http://www.bbc.co.uk/nature/15835017

  21. Have a safe Sunday, Dec, 8, 2013

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