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The Path to 4G April 2, 2008 Kris Rinne

The Path to 4G April 2, 2008 Kris Rinne. Growth Drivers: Wireless Data Apps. Percentage of U.S. cell phone subscribers who used their phones for various activities beyond merely making phone calls.

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The Path to 4G April 2, 2008 Kris Rinne

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  1. The Path to 4GApril 2, 2008Kris Rinne

  2. Growth Drivers: Wireless Data Apps Percentage of U.S. cell phone subscribers who used their phones for various activities beyond merely making phone calls. Survey of U.S. Mobile subscribers; Data based on three-month average for period ending July 31, 2007. Source: M:Metrics Inc.

  3. Growth Driver: Video Customers • 8.4 million mobile video subscribers 1Q07 • Penetration up 125% since 1Q06 Source: Telephia, FCC

  4. Growth Drivers: Mobile Workforce (in billions) Mobile workforce is defined as anyone who spends 20% or more time away from primary work location. Source: Industry Reports and Forrester 2006

  5. 62% of Americans have used Mobile Data 58% have sent an SMS, emailed or browsed the internet with their phone 41% have logged onto the Internet away from home or work either with a wireless laptop connection or a handheld device. Growth in Mobile Data Usage Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, March 2008

  6. Wireless Data Traffic(Mbps in millions) Connectivity Drivers 4 x between ’06 and ’07 2006 2007 2005

  7. LTE HSDPA+ HSPA HSUPA HSDPA

  8. Seamless Network Access:Continue Mobile Broadband Evolution Backward compatible migrationon the existing global standard LTE (R8) – 100 Mbps and beyond peak down HSPA+ (R7) – MIMO, 64QAMPotential 11.5 Mbps peak up Potential 28 Mbps peak down HSUPA/HSPA – 500 to 800 Kbps up 1.5 Mbps peak up (potential 5.76M) 600 to 1400 Kbps down 3.6 Mbps peak down (potential 14.4M) Performance HSDPA – 400 to 700 Kbps 3.6 Mbps peak UMTS – 150 to 180 Kbps 384 Kbps peak EDGE – 100 to 130 Kbps 237 Kbps peak Today GPRS – 25 to 40 Kbps 48 Kbps peak Past Present Future Time Speeds are typical user throughput.

  9. 28,000 3600-7200 1,400 1800 700 384 600 237 48 180 400 130 40 150 100 25 UMTS/HSPA+R7 UMTS/HSDPA R5 UMTS/HSPA R6 UMTS EDGE GPRS 2007/2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2009/2010 Mobility Assets: Faster Data Speeds Average Downlink Speedsby Technology(Kbps) Technology Road Map • Peak speeds today provide a DSL-like experience • LTE is designed to evolve from HSPA • With HSPA R7 peak speeds of up to 28 Mbps • With LTE peak speeds beyond 100

  10. GSM Technologies Dominate Worldwide GSM: 86% of World’s Wireless Users 200+ UMTS Operators 89 Countries with UMTS 164 Upgraded to HSPA Unmatched international roaming capabilities Source: 3G Americas

  11. Over 600 Million Wireless Broadband Connections in 2010 Source: Strategy Analytics Nov. 2006

  12. Expand 3G Wireless Broadband Network

  13. 466 HSPA Devices Available Worldwide Source: GSM Association

  14. AT&T HSPA Devices Go International PC Cards Sierra Wireless AC881 Sierra Wireless USBConnect 881 Option GT Ultra Option GT Ultra Express Smartphones/PDAs Blackjack IISamsung AT&T TiltHTC

  15. LTE Standards status January 2008 LTE Terrestrial Radio Access Network technology specifications have been approved by 3GPP and are now under change control, leading to their inclusion in the forthcoming 3GPP Release 8. • Hardware impacting L1/L2 specifications functionally frozen for both FDD and TDD. Full set of 3GPP Release 8 system specifications on track for approval during Q4 2008.

  16. DL LTE(20MHz) 300M DL LTE(10MHz) 140M 100 Mbps 100 Mbps MIMO/64QAM 41M UL LTE (20MHz) 50M MIMO 2x2 28M UL LTE (10MHz) 25M HSDPA 14.4M HSUPA/16QAM 11M HSDPA 7.2M 10 Mbps 10 Mbps HSUPA 5.6M HSDPA 3.6M HSDPA 1.8M HSUPA 2.0M 1 Mbps 1 Mbps DL R’99-384k UL R’99 384k 100 kbps 100 kbps 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HSPA/LTE Peak Throughput Evolution:Expected to double every year in Average HSPA DL & UL Peak Throughputs expected to double every year in average Limitations not induced by the Technology itself but time frames required to upgrade infrastructure and transport networks, obtain devices with corresponding capabilities and IOT tests

  17. LTE Mobility Advantages AT&T will continue to utilize WiMAX for applications primarily focused on fixed LTE Advantages for Mobility: • Most customers, devices and applications • Supports worldwide roaming • Compatibility with existing AT&T Networks • Designed to support efficient voice operation (VoIP)

  18. LTE Mobility Advantages • Shorter frame size, lower amounts of overhead, and lower overall latency than WiMAX • LTE data throughput will be equivalent to or betterthan WiMAX when both are operated in FDD mode • LTE shorter frame size supports higher throughputs at moderate to high vehicle speeds

  19. LTE HSDPA+ HSPA HSUPA HSDPA

  20. Questions?

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