1 / 26

Fourth Quarter Operating Results Conference Call Slides

Fourth Quarter Operating Results Conference Call Slides Slides contain certain non-GAAP measures. For reconciliation to GAAP measures refer to the Unocal 4Q 2003 Earnings News Release and Quarterly Fact Book. 2003 Performance Wrap-up. Clean earnings $ 2.95 per share ROCE 12.6 %

edolie
Télécharger la présentation

Fourth Quarter Operating Results Conference Call Slides

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Fourth Quarter Operating Results Conference Call Slides Slides contain certain non-GAAP measures.For reconciliation to GAAP measures refer to the Unocal 4Q 2003 Earnings News Release and Quarterly Fact Book

  2. 2003 Performance Wrap-up Clean earnings $ 2.95 per share ROCE 12.6 % Operating cash flow $ 2.047 billion Free cash flow $ 883 million Reduction in net debt and other financings $ 691 million Year-end debt / total cap ratio 39% Reserve replacement * 149% Worldwide F&D costs $ 6.92 / BOE * Excluding purchases & sales

  3. Unocal 2003 – Operations Highlights • Significant deepwater discoveries: St. Malo, Puma (Gulf of Mexico) and Gehem (Indonesia) • Agreements in Thailand to extend gas sales contracts and increase contract volumes; plans to double oil production • A restructured North American business • East China Sea exploration & production PSCs • Gas sales agreement for new field in Bangladesh • Major Progress on AIOC Phase 1 project & pipeline • Debt reduction for 2003 (39% debt-to-cap)

  4. Unocal What To Watch For In 2004 • Major new developments near completion, resulting in 8-10% production growth in 2005 • AIOC, Mad Dog, Bangladesh, Thai oil • Continued deepwater exploration success and appraisal of 2003 deepwater discoveries • St. Malo, Puma, Gehem • Commercial progress in Perdido (Trident) • Launching Indonesia deepwater gas developments for Bontang LNG • Meet $8.00 per BOE Finding & Development Cost Target for all of North America, including the reduced Gulf of Mexico shelf program

  5. Net Debt Reduced in 2003($MM) Total Debt / Total Total Net Capitalization DebtCashDebt * Ratio Dec. 31, 2002 3,338 ** 168 3,170 47% Dec. 31, 2003 2,883 404 2,479 39% Decrease in net debt ($691) * Total debt minus cash ** Proforma for FIN 46

  6. 2004 Estimated Capital Expenditures Total = $1,926 MM Other E&P $600 MM Deepwater GOM $85 MM Deep Shelf GOM $30 MM Deepwater Indonesia $60 MM All Other $120 MM Explor. Drilling $295 MM Major Projects (incl. BTC) $930 MM All Other $110 MM Note: Excludes Capitalized Interest

  7. Unocal Reserves & Production Reserves(MMBOE) 12/31/2003 Production(MBOE/D) 2003 Average Other Intl. 17% Other Intl. 8% Far East 50% Lower 48 32% Far East 46% Lower 48 21% 35 293 145 373 889 205 31 101 109 32 Alaska 7% Alaska 6% Canada 6% Canada 7% Total: 1,765 million barrels of oil equivalent 62% gas 38% oil Total: 448,200 barrels of oil equivalent per day 64% gas 36% oil

  8. 2003 Year-End Preliminary Proved Undeveloped Hydrocarbon Reserves West Seno Phase 1 & 2 AIOC Merah Besar Mad Dog K2 Ranggas Major Developments 40% All Other 20% Thailand 40 % P.U.D. = 880 Million BOE Total = 1,765 Million BOE

  9. Thailand Proved Undeveloped Reserves350 Million BOE • Current Production is Pipeline Limited • Net Sales Commitments expected to rise from 590 MMCFPD to 920 MMCFPD, contract extension to 2022 • Third Pipeline is under Construction – Est. Completion 2006 • Thailand has a long history of just-in-time Development and routine promotion of PUD units to PDP and Production. • In order to justify Thailand’s investment in Pipelines and Power Plants the government requires assurance of Proved Reserves for future needs. • Thai National pipeline company reviews Unocal’s reserve estimates as part of their due diligence

  10. Quality AssuranceReserve Process • Reserves are calculated by professionals degreed in engineering and geology • Calculations are reviewed by business unit’s qualified experts • Business Unit Vice President and experts make representation that annual reserve estimates are in accordance with SEC standards • In aggregate, a rotating 50% of the asset base and 90% of changes reviewed by the corporate review team • Leader reports directly to the CFO • No team member has direct or indirect management ties to the `business unit under review • All team members are considered an expert in their discipline • No team member has a reserve volume goal • One member from independent 3rd party (Ryder Scott) • Material changes reviewed by Management Committee • Letter of Confidence issued by Outside Audit Firm

  11. 2003 Proved Hydrocarbon ReservesAudit Coverage Total = 1,765 Million BOE Audit Team Review 33 % Not Reviewed In 2003 Audit Team & Partner Review 11 % 23 % 33 % 100 % of Major Changes Reviewed Every Year 95 % of All Changes Reviewed in 2003 Third Party Review

  12. Unocal 1Q 2004 Outlook Summary Worldwide Production: 410,000 – 420,000 boed EPS Adjusted after tax (diluted): $0.70 - $0.80 Feb 2nd Analyst Mean Estimate: $0.73 Commodity Price Assumptions (NYMEX Benchmark at 1-29-2004) Oil: $ 34.25/bbl (WTI) Gas: $ 6.00/mmBtu (Henry Hub) Earnings Sensitivities to Commodity Prices Oil: $8 MM change for every $1/bbl change Gas: $3 MM change for every $0.10/mmBtu change in North America realization Pretax Dry Hole Forecast: $40 - $50 MM

  13. Unocal 2004Non E&P Earnings Outlook Ranges Million $ 1Q Full Year Trade 0 - 1 0 - 4 Midstream 20–25 65–75 Geothermal 12–18 50–65 Corporate & Other Admin & General (20)–(24) (90)-(95) Net Interest (23)–(28) (80)-(90) Environ. & Litigation (3)-(6) (18)-(24) Other (30)-(35) (100-110)

  14. Unocal 1Q 2004 Material Hedge Positions* Daily VolumeFixed Price Fixed Price Gas, MMMBTU 448 $6.25 Oil, MBO 30 $30.14 Collars CeilingFloor Oil, MBO 2 $28.40 $24.00 * NYMEX trading closed for January & February

  15. Unocal 2Q 2004 Material Hedge Positions Daily VolumeFixed Price Fixed Price Gas, MMMBTU 102 $5.31 Oil, MBO 26 $30.67 CollarsCeilingFloor Gas, MMMBTU 13 $5.76 $4.65 Oil, MBO 2 $28.40 $24.00

  16. Unocal 3Q 2004 Material Hedge Positions Daily VolumeFixed Price Fixed Price Gas, MMMBTU 140 $5.29 Collars CeilingFloor Oil, MBO 2 $28.40 $24.00

  17. Unocal 4Q 2004 Material Hedge Positions Daily VolumeFixed Price Fixed Price Gas, MMMBTU 140 $5.29 Collars CeilingFloor Oil, MBO 2 $28.40 $24.00

  18. Unocal Full Year 2004 Material Hedge Positions* Daily Volume Fixed Price Fixed Price Gas, MMMBTU 211 $5.80 Oil, MBO 14 $30.39 Collars CeilingFloor Gas, MMMBTU 3 $5.76 $4.65 Oil, MBO 2 $28.40 $27.41 * NYMEX trading closed for January & February

  19. Unocal 4Q Reported and Adjusted Earnings $ Million$ Per Share Reported Fourth Quarter 2003 180 .68 Special Items Gain on Sale of L 48 Assets (3) (.01) Canadian Statutory Tax Rate (29) (.11) Insurance Recoveries (17) (.06) Premium on Debt Buy Back 28 .11 Environmental & Litigation 15 .05 Restructuring Charge 1 - Discontinued Ops (R&M) (8) (.03) Adjusted Fourth Quarter 2003 167 .63

  20. Unocal Adjusted Earnings $ Million$ Per Share Fourth Quarter 2003 167 .63 Third Quarter 2003 190 .72 Decrease (23) (.09) Factors: Higher worldwide oil/liquids prices 8 .03 ($28.33 vs. $27.28) Higher worldwide gas prices 9 .03 ($3.65 vs. $3.60) Higher E&P expenses (Timing) (37) (.13) Lower Earnings from non E&P oper. (10) (.04) Lower production volumes (19) (.07) (420 MBOE/D vs. 441 MBOE/D) Timing of Crude Oil Liftings 10 .03 Lower Corporate & Other Expense 16 .06

  21. Unocal E&PLower 48 Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 Lower 48 - lower earnings (27) Higher oil and liquids prices 3 ($28.50 vs. $27.71) Higher Natural Gas Prices 4 ( $4.91 vs, $ 4.82) Higher cash expenses (10) Lower Dry Holes (9) Lower production volumes (15) $ Million

  22. Unocal E&PAlaska Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 Alaska – higher results 4 Higher liquids price 1 ($30.73 vs. $29.39) Timing of crude oil liftings 3 $ Million

  23. Unocal E&PCanada Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 Canada - Lower results (8) Timing of 3Q Gain on sale of Tar Sands (7) Lower Prices (3) Liq. ($ 22.94 vs. 24.02) Gas ($ 4.34 vs, $4.64) Income Tax & Other 2 $ Million

  24. Unocal E&PInternational Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 International - Higher earnings 2 Lower production (3) ( 236 MBOEPD vs. 238 MBOEPD) Timing of crude oil liftings 7 Tax rate & Other 3 Higher liquids prices 5 ($28.73 vs. $27.20) Higher natural gas prices 7 ($2.96 vs. $2.87) Timing of Cash Expenses (17) $ Million

  25. Unocal Non E&P Operating Segment Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 Non E&P - Lower earnings (10) Geothermal Timing of Power Results (6) All Other (1) Oil and gas marketing - (Trade) (3) $ Million

  26. Unocal Corporate & Other Results4Q 2003 vs. 3Q 2003 Corp. & Other - Lower expenses 16 Lower net interest expense 6 Higher Minerals results 2 Timing of litigation expense 7 All Other 1 $ Million

More Related