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Safeguards in a World of Ambient Intelligence (SWAMI) : "Dark" scenarios SWAMI FINAL CONFERENCE

Safeguards in a World of Ambient Intelligence (SWAMI) : "Dark" scenarios SWAMI FINAL CONFERENCE 22 nd March 2006 – Brussels I. Maghiros, Y. Punie, S. Delaitre. Introduction. AmI vision The promise: embedded intelligence that works (cost/efficiency)

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Safeguards in a World of Ambient Intelligence (SWAMI) : "Dark" scenarios SWAMI FINAL CONFERENCE

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  1. Safeguards in a World of Ambient Intelligence (SWAMI) : "Dark" scenarios SWAMI FINAL CONFERENCE 22nd March 2006 – Brussels I. Maghiros, Y. Punie, S. Delaitre JRC – IPTS Seville

  2. Introduction • AmI vision • The promise: embedded intelligence that works (cost/efficiency) • The challenge: manage vast amounts of linkable heterogeneous data • The risk: serious potential threats, far beyond what is known today Objective SWAMI scenarios: Identify important things that can go wrong with regard to identity, privacy, security, … Discuss social, economic, legal, technological and ethical implications • Why dark scenarios • To contrast the predominance of ‘bright’ scenarios • Alternative vision of the future we do NOT want to materialise • However, these are NOT doom scenarios JRC – IPTS Seville

  3. Dark (adverse) scenarios • Characteristics • Realistic although fictional (extrapolate from current trends) • Description of plausible futures (non-traditional extrapolations) • A tool for stimulating debate, structuring thinking, ‘what if’ games, aiding in synthesis, and raising awareness intuitively • Highlight potential vulnerabilities and associated threats • Expose key socio-economic, legal, technological, ethical risks • Identify challenges related to identity, privacy and security • Alert policy makers as to the need to develop safeguards JRC – IPTS Seville

  4. Literature review Experts workshop Internal workshop Drafting scenarios Technology check Reality check Scenario stories Scenario analysis Situations AmI technologies AmI applications Issues Drivers Legal SWAMI Scenario Approach JRC – IPTS Seville

  5. SWAMI dark scenarios Individual / micro level Scenario 1: A typical family(at home, at work, outdoors) Scenario 2: Seniors on a journey(travel and health issues) Private Sphere / Private concerns Public Sphere / Public concerns Scenario 3: Corporate Boardroom & court-case(data aggregator) Scenario 4: Risk Society(Digital Divide, environment, traffic & crowd management) Society / macro level JRC – IPTS Seville

  6. Dark scenario 1: A Typical Family • Story overview • A typical family in 3 different but blurring environments at Home, at Work and also outdoors, making use of AmI devices and services. System vulnerabilities and crime opportunities are exploited as the family leads an everyday life. Different scenes • Scene 1 – At Home: Digital blackmail, unfounded suspicions due to extensive profiling, impacts on work and home environments. • Scene 2 – At Work: Shopping while at work, data laundering, accidental mistake and consequences. • Scene 3 – At the Park: Location-based advertising, irritation, consequences, dependence on AmI, exclusion; erroneous identification, AmI facilitated crime, usability/costs. JRC – IPTS Seville

  7. Dark scenario 2: Seniors on a journey • Story overview • Focuses on senior citizens and their health related needs while on a bus tour abroad. An exploited vulnerability in the traffic system causes an accident, raising many different issues such as: individual needs vs. economies of scale; reliance on AmI infrastructure; equal and fair access, usability and accessibility principles. • Different scenes • Scene 1 - News from the police report: Senior citizen dies after bus accident • Scene 2 - Travel preparation and check-in procedure for public transportation • Scene 3 - Traffic supported by ambient intelligence • Scene 4 - Emergency situation • Scene 5 - Ambient intelligence and medical care JRC – IPTS Seville

  8. Dark scenario 3: Corporate Boardroom • Story overview • A ‘Data Aggregator’ successfully corners the data market for public and private sector clients until their business model is exposed to society-at-large through insider data theft, and fraudulent data use. Media reports uncover the scandal and a court case puts a stop to abuse. However, it will take the victims much more time to gain control over their personal data that have been exposed. • Different scenes • Scene 1 – Management Board Meeting: data aggregation and mining, data theft, dependency on AmI infrastructure, risks in business setting. • Scene 2 – The Court case: future legal framework does not allow misuse of abuse of data collected, democratic principles prevail. JRC – IPTS Seville

  9. Dark scenario 4: Risk Society • Story overview • Different stories on likely adverse consequences of AmI for society at large including public action against personalised profiling, global scale digital environmental divides and public life disruptions. In all cases AmI diffusion is both widening and bridging existing gaps. • Different scenes • Scene 1 – The Anti-Personalised Profiling Action Group (APPAG). • Scene 2 – AmI Divides • Scene 3 – Public Life Disrupted by Virus Attack • Scene 4 - AmI-system aided mass risk management JRC – IPTS Seville

  10. Contents of Dark scenarios JRC – IPTS Seville

  11. Dark scenarios: Conclusions (1/3) Varied, Wide and Deep Issues • Varied because of AmI infrastructure touches upon all aspects and areas : work, transport, health, entertainment, private life, business, political etc. • Wide because dark situations can encompass “dark feelings” (ranging from irksome to burdensome; and entail annoyance and embarrassment) but also “dark experiences” such as theft, harassment, accidents etc. • Deep because the impact can be severe (e.g. digital divide) and difficult to revoke (e.g. profiling, ID Theft) Varied & Context dependent Safeguards • Varied: political, economic, social, legal, technological involving different stakeholders • Context dependent especially in terms of multi – stakeholder involvement JRC – IPTS Seville

  12. Dark scenarios: Conclusions (2/3) Key SWAMI Issues There are obvious advantages to AmI space although intelligence lies firmly with people. • Privacy • Identity • Security • Trust • Loss of Control • Dependency • Exclusion • Victimisation Impact on personal life is likely to be much greater than what we perceive it to be today. Zero-risk is not possible. JRC – IPTS Seville

  13. Dark scenarios: Conclusions (3/3) Methodological Issues • Successfully highlighted potential vulnerabilities & associated threats • Detailed analysis of situation as to technologies/devices, applications, drivers, issues, legal analysis. • Raises awareness as to possible incentives, contextual and trust factors • More than appealing scripts: ‘reality and technology’ checks. • However, ‘delicate’ exercise (prospective research). • Need to handle known weakness: • few qualitatively new risks identified • current behavioural patterns may induce more risk in tomorrow’s AmI world JRC – IPTS Seville

  14. Thank you !Any Questions ? • Contact Details • Ioannis Maghiros • Project Officer • EC – DG JRC – IPTS – Seville • ioannis.maghiros@cec.eu.int JRC – IPTS Seville

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