1 / 27

Shaping migration policies for economic recovery Rainer M ü nz

Shaping migration policies for economic recovery Rainer M ü nz. Seminar: Tracking migration trends in Europe during recession and recovery. “ Migration Trends, Demographic Outlook and the Need for Smart Migration Policies ”. Rainer Münz Erste Group Bank AG, Head of Research & Development

ferdinand-delaney
Télécharger la présentation

Shaping migration policies for economic recovery Rainer M ü nz

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Shaping migration policies for economic recovery Rainer Münz Seminar: Tracking migration trends in Europe during recession and recovery

  2. “Migration Trends, Demographic Outlook and the Need for Smart Migration Policies” Rainer Münz Erste Group Bank AG, Head of Research & Development Policy Network Seminar “In or Out ? Tracking migration trends in Europe during the recession and recovery” London, July 7, 2009

  3. Europe‘s Migration Pattern

  4. From Emigration to Immigration

  5. Europe: From Emigration to Immigration,1950-1960(annual net migration rate per 1000 inhabitants) below -5 . -5 to -2 -2 to 0 0 to +2 +2 to +5 over +5 Source:Eurostat, UN Quelle: UN Population Division 2000; Darstellung: Humboldt-Universität Berlin

  6. Europe: From Emigration to Immigration,1990-2000(annual net migration rate per 1000 inhabitants) below -5 . -5 to -2 -2 to 0 0 to +2 +2 to +5 over +5 Quelle:Eurostat, UN Quelle: UN Population Division 2000; Darstellung: Humboldt-Universität Berlin

  7. Europe: From Emigration to Immigration, 2000-2007(annual net migration rate per 1000 inhabitants) below -5 . -5 to -2 -2 to 0 0 to +2 +2 to +5 over +5 Source:Eurostat, UN Quelle: UN Population Division 2000; Darstellung: Humboldt-Universität Berlin

  8. EU27: Immigration Minus Emigration, 1960-2007 (annual abs. numbers) Quelle: Eurostat

  9. Today

  10. 80% of Europe’s Population Growth Comes From Immigration …

  11. … But the Situation Varies From Country to Country(2008, in 100,000 people) 100,000 people Source: Eurostat

  12. Again More Migration Within Europe

  13. GDP Growth in Central Europe (EU10) vs. Employment Growth in Western Europe (EU15) EU10 (CE/SEE) EU-15 Employment GDP EU10 EU15 Source: wiiw

  14. Growth vs. Decline in Employment 2000-2005 in % Source: Eurostat, Berlin Institute

  15. Citizens of New EU Member States Increasingly Working in the West (CE work force working in EU 15 in % of total work force, 2007) Source: WIIW. Eurostat, OECD

  16. 43 Million Migrants EU 27: Where Do They Have Come From? 14 million migrants from other EU member states 29 million migrants from (today‘s) third countries - among them: 19 million from Africa, Asia, South America Source: Labour Force Survey 2007

  17. Employment rates by citizenship, 2007 in % Source: EU LFS, Berlin Institute

  18. European Migration and the Crisis

  19. European Migration in Times of Crisis • Return migration within EU • Additional incentives by EU governments for non-EU migrants to go back • Fewer remittances • Are we loosing people with talent and skills that we will soon need again?

  20. European Migration in Times of Crisis • So far: More men than women have lost their jobs • In certain sectors and regions: growth of unemployment quicker among native-born than among foreign-born workers • Rigidities of the labour markets • Rigidities of the housing markets

  21. Future Challanges for Europe

  22. Europe Is Getting Older! Population Structure in EU27, 2008 and 2060 Source: Eurostat, Convergence Scenario, Europop2008

  23. Development of Labour Force and Old-Age-Dependency Ratio (no migration) Source: Eurostat, Convergence Scenario, Europop2008

  24. Development of Labour Force and Old-Age-Dependency Ratio (+50 million immigrants) Source: Eurostat, Convergence Scenario, Europop2008

  25. Who Does Best in Migration Policy? • Traditional immigration countries as a bench mark • UK • Sweden • Do we need joint action at EU level

  26. What Do We Need? • Smart migration policies • A truly open single EU labour market • The willingness and ability to make use of talents and skills of future migrants • Better integration

  27. Thank You! Rainer Muenz rainer.muenz@erstegroup.com

More Related