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CLIMATE CHANGE: INTERNATIONAL UPDATE

CLIMATE CHANGE: INTERNATIONAL UPDATE. August 2007. MAIN EVENTS UNTIL DECEMBER 2007. August: Vienna UNFCCC intersessional September: APEC September : UN High Level Event September: US Major Economies Meeting November: EAS November: CHOGM December : UNFCCC COP 13.

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CLIMATE CHANGE: INTERNATIONAL UPDATE

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  1. CLIMATE CHANGE: INTERNATIONAL UPDATE August 2007

  2. MAIN EVENTS UNTIL DECEMBER 2007 • August: Vienna UNFCCC intersessional • September: APEC • September : UN High Level Event • September: US Major Economies Meeting • November: EAS • November: CHOGM • December : UNFCCC COP 13

  3. The “Bali Roadmap” : eight elements • Further commitments for Annex 1 • Contributions from developing countries • Adaptation • Technology • Financing • Deforestation • Impact of response measures • Strengthened carbon markets

  4. What’s changed from a year ago? • IPCC Fourth Assessment Report – its science and economics have influenced the politics • Plethora of leaders’ climate visions • Appearance of the “road map” • Non- Kyoto approaches now pledge support for UNFCCC • Language shifts: “measurable and reportable”; “post-Kyoto”, “global” emissions reduction goal • Some developing countries nuancing positions

  5. What hasn’t changed • Avoiding the “N” word - Negotiation • Avoiding the “C” word – Commitments • The North-South split – still a serious blockage • US Administration unlikely to engage fully in UNFCCC before 2009

  6. NZ: current policy guidelines • Want an inclusive (of all major emitters) post 2012 agreement – open mind as to what sort • Ready to take on more international commitments in very good company • Want improvements to Kyoto • Leading on pastoral agriculture greenhouse gases • Want fair recognition of national circumstances

  7. Questions for NZ this year • Quantifying targets: for Annex 1; for NZ • For NZ, conditional or unilateral or both? • Expectations of developing economies, US • Rules around land use, agriculture, forestry • Air and maritime emissions: bunker fuels • Domestic/international linkages

  8. Who’s doing what?: key contacts • Post-2012 emission reduction commitments (Roger Lincoln/Chris Livesey MfE, Dominic Milicich TSY) • Agricultural emissions international research partnership (Hayden Montgomery MAF) • LULUCF rules post-2012 (Bryan Smith MAF) • Avoided deforestation (Bryan Smith MAF) • Treatment of international aviation and maritime fuels post -2012 (Kathy Perreau MoT) • Flexibility mechanisms post-2012 (Mark Storey MfE)

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