1 / 25

PAF 101

Module 5, Lecture 6. PAF 101. “ There is nothing more difficult to carry out, nor more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to handle, than to initiate a new order of things. ”. -Niccolo Machiavelli . Class Agenda. Announcements Strategies Change in South Africa Assignments.

garron
Télécharger la présentation

PAF 101

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Module 5, Lecture 6 PAF101 “There is nothing more difficult to carry out, nor more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to handle, than to initiate a new order of things.” -Niccolo Machiavelli

  2. Class Agenda • Announcements • Strategies • Change in South Africa • Assignments

  3. Competition Points Winners Losers Competition Points as of 4/16/2014

  4. Prince Chart SU tuition increases should be held to the rate of inflation 44 / 224 = 20% Probability of Implementation:

  5. Choosing A Player With which to develop a strategy • Firm Issue Position • High Priority • High Power

  6. Exercise 10.1 • Player Implementing the Strategy • Strength • Weakness • Opportunity • Threat

  7. S.W.O.T. Analysis for Your Player

  8. Thinking About Strategies • A strategy for Exercises 10.1-10.4 is a specific action your chosen player will take to move the probability close to his or her issue position. • Making arguments using research and emotion are a given and therefore can not be your strategy

  9. Thinking About Strategies What actions can you take to change: • Issue Position • Power • Priorities

  10. Change Issue Position of Players With: • Lowest issue position (best to start with) • Highest priority • Highest power

  11. Threats must: • Target a specific player • Be credible • Not push other players to oppose you • Not raise priority of the players that oppose your position

  12. Promises must be: • Credible • Not illegal • Specific • A.K.A horse trading, back scratching, quid pro quo, trade-offs

  13. A compromise is taking less than you wanted. Compromises must be: • Specific • Appealing to the player • Credible • Not throwing the baby out with the bath water

  14. Actions to take to change your player’s power: • Numbers • Money • Long terms and very difficult • Allies

  15. How the greatest change agent of the 21st century used the Prince System

  16. Facts About South Africa • Population About 13% White, 75% Black, 9% Mixed, and 3% Indian • 16th Century Dutch Colonize and Become Afrikaners • 1910 - British Takeover After Beating Up Afrikaners • 1948 - National Party Establishes Apartheid As Law • 1950’s-1990’s - Organized and Violent Opposition • 1994 - Multi-Racial Regime Headed By Mandela Takes Power

  17. Facts about Mandela • Joins African National Congress (ANC) in 1942 • Jailed in 1963 • Released in 1990 • Becomes President in 1994

  18. “One person, one vote in South Africa” Figure 1: 1986 Prince Chart Probability of Implementation: 98/373= 26%

  19. Facts About South Africa • Decline of South African Economy • Building of International Pressure • Fall of Soviet Union • Growing fear of civil war by all sides Timing is everything, as in the case of all change

  20. Player Selection for Strategy

  21. Facts About South Africa Major challenges were overcome by threats, promises, horse trading, and compromise • Cohesion of “friends” – ANC, PAC, Lib. Party, Communist Party, Inkatha, International Business and Most Countries • Building Trust with “enemies” – National Party, Military, Conservative Parties

  22. “One person, one vote in South Africa” Figure 2: 1990 Prince Chart Probability ofImplementation: 238/313= 76%

  23. Lessons About Change • Change is very slow and very hard • Macro social, economic, and political trends have to be properly aligned • Fear is the most powerful source of change, greed is the second most powerful • Capacity for compromise comes from culture, circumstance, and leadership

  24. Speaker Next Class (4/18) Frank J. Lazarski President United Way of Central New York 518 James Street P.O. Box 2129 Syracuse, New York 13220 315-428-2201 Flazarski@unitedway-cny.org **You should come to class on Friday prepared with questions to ask!

  25. For Next Class • Review what you wrote for 9.2-9.5 • Complete the exercises in Chapter 10 • Start thinking about 11.1 • Community service forms due on Monday, April 21stby 12:45! http://classes.maxwell.syr.edu/paf101

More Related