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Polar Operations 2010 Update

Polar Operations 2010 Update. Cross Polar Working Group CPWG/9 Montreal Canada April 28-30, 2010 Gene Cameron Manager Worldwide Support Flight Dispatch United Airlines. Polar Routes. UNITED POLAR ROUTES. WASHINGTON. 82 N. CHICAGO. #1. #1A. #2. #3. #5. #4. BEIJING. SHANGHAI.

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Polar Operations 2010 Update

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  1. Polar Operations 2010 Update Cross Polar Working Group CPWG/9 Montreal Canada April 28-30, 2010 Gene Cameron Manager Worldwide Support Flight Dispatch United Airlines

  2. Polar Routes

  3. UNITED POLAR ROUTES WASHINGTON 82 N CHICAGO #1 #1A #2 #3 #5 #4 BEIJING SHANGHAI HONG KONG TOKYO

  4. Polar Benefits • Flight Time Reduced Up To 1 Hour or more • Increase in Payload/Reserve Fuel Capability • Arrive With Planned Landing Fuel • Absence of Turbulence • Possibility for New Service to Asia From a Number of North American Cities

  5. Who’s Flying North Polar Region Toronto Air Canada, Cathay Pacific Newark Continental, Singapore New York (JFK) Air China, American, Cathay Pacific, China Eastern, Delta, Korean Washington United, Korean Detroit Delta Atlanta Delta, Korean Houston Continental, Emirates Chicago American, Korean, United Minneapolis Delta Los Angeles Emirates San Francisco Emirates, United

  6. Who May Also Be Flying North Polar Region In 2010 Air India All Nippon Asiana EVA Fed Ex Japan JET UPS

  7. United Polar Operations1999-2010 1999 12 2000 253 • 466 2002 461 • 461 2003 578 2004 1096 2005 1402 2006 1484 2007 1832 2008 1565 2009 1411 2010 256 (Mar 2010) Total 1999-2010 10,816 P-1 424 P-2 1000 P-3 4648 P-4 4309 P-5 431

  8. Main Traffic Flows in Russian Airspace in 2009 Total in 2009 - 234469 flights (-6.8%) Crosspolar ATS Routes Trans-East ATS Routes 8527 flights (+6.6%) 17385 flights (-17.0 %) Transpolar ATS Routes 12380 flights (-11.1%) Trans-Siberian ATS Routes 7514 flights (-2.5%) Trans-Asian ATS Routes 73826 flights (-7.6%) Asian ATS Routes 86471 flights (-2.5%)

  9. Traffic Density per ATS Route System in 2006- 2009

  10. Traffic Density for Crosspolar Routes in 2006-2007

  11. Crosspolar Traffic Density in 2009

  12. Operational Concerns • Cold Fuel • Communications • Emergency Landing Sites • Enroute Alternates (ETOPS) • Search and Rescue • Recovery Plan • Solar Radiation

  13. Operational Limits • Based on warmest freeze point allowed by specification. • Actual freeze point typically much lower.

  14. Communications • Primary Company Communications Is Via ACARS Data Link and SATCOM Voice • HF is required generally above 82 North • HFDL is utilized by some operators • Iridium SATCOM Voice and Data is under review. Concern for the satellite constellation continuity

  15. Iridium Network Capabilities • Pole-to-pole coverage • Satellite diversity assures high probability of access

  16. Emergency Airports • May NOT have Medical Facilities • May be UNABLE to Remove Passengers from Plane • May NOT have Lodging, Food, Water • May NOT have Protection from the Elements • May be unable to Service the Aircraft

  17. ENROUTE AIRPORTS Blue: Published in AIP Red: Not published ___: Surveyed Bodo Fairbanks Longyearbyen Anchorage Barrow Rovaniemi Oulu Polar 1 King Salmon Russia Far East Tracks Polar 2 Murmansk Polar 3 Polar 4 FANSTAR St. Petersburg Nome Cold Bay Arkhangelsk Mis Shmindta Moscow Pevek Amderma Nizhniy Novgorod Syktyvkar Anadyr Usinsk Ukhta Salehard Tiksi Kazan Norilsk Khatanga Samara Novyj Urengoj Igarka Ufa Shemya Is. Kogalym Ekaterinburg Surgut Polyarnyj Raduzhnyi Magadan Nizhnevartovsk Yakutsk Petropavlovsk-kamchatsky Mirny Novosibirsk Krasnojarsk Barnaul Neryungri Bratsk Abakan Irkutsk Yuzhno-sakhalinsk Chita Blagoveschensk Ulan-ude Existing tracks Khabarovsk Choibalsan Ulaanbaatar Proposed tracks Sapporo

  18. Enroute Alternates (ETOPS) Canada: Iqaluit (CYFB) 8600FT Yellowknife (CYZF) 7500FT Alaska: Fairbanks (PAFA) 11050FT Anchorage (PANC) 11584FT Barrow (PABR) 6500FT Greenland : Thule (BGTL ) 9997FT Norway: Longyear (ENSB) 7221FT Russia: Norilsk (UOOO) 10925FT Yakutsk (UEEE 10827FT Magadan (UHMM) 11325FT Khabarovsk (UHHH) 12467FT

  19. Chicago HKG POLAR CAP Search & Rescue Norway SAR Greenland SAR North Pole Canadian SAR Russian SAR USCG Juneau & 11 AF RCC Anchorage

  20. Chicago HKG Extended U.S. Area POLAR CAP Search & Rescue Norway SAR Greenland SAR Russian SAR North Pole Canadian SAR USCG Juneau & 11 AF RCC Anchorage

  21. POLAR CAP Search & Rescue • SAR Agreements Effectively Extend U.S. Actual Responsibility • SAR Exercise May 19 with Norway on simulated 777 Polar flight from Washington to Beiing with a ditching at 82N.

  22. DIVERSION & RECOVERY PLAN For diversions to offline airports A: Provide for Passengersand Crew B: Recover Aircraft

  23. Polar Safety Kits • Polar Safety Kit Will Be Onboard all Polar Flights • Each Kit Contains Two Suits • The Captain Will Determine Who Will Have Access To The Kits • Their Purpose Is To Allow Someone To Deplane For Coordination Of Services, etc.

  24. Passenger Recovery Plan • Plan Immediate Relief (Shelter And Food) • Determine If Other Carriers Service the Airport • Fly A UAL Charter To Pick Up Passengers • Coordinate US Military Assistance If Needed

  25. Solar Activity Review NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center ”Space Weather Now” Website http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/ Do Not Plan A Polar Operation If An S4 Solar Storm is Active or Expected S3 Storm Will Permit Polar Operations At Flight Level 280 or FL310 CPWG sub-group and ICAO OPS MET focus on Space weather products.

  26. ROUTE FLEXIBILITY DAILY ROUTE SELECTION IS BASED ON: Forecast en-route winds Desired Payload Destination weather HF radio propagation Suitable en-route airports (777) Solar radiation issues Approved Entry points

  27. Slot Allocation Anchorage ATC provides Slot Allocation All polar routes from North America except Polar 1 require slots. Anchorage Center Track Allocation plans 10 minute slot separation between aircraft on same rourte and flight level (No buffer in slot allocation) On Line Track Advisory is web based and provides better situational awareness of all planned polar operations within Track Advisory and is Dispatcher user friendly.

  28. Current “Manual” Track Advisory QU ANCDPXA CHI17R .CHIVQUA 291311 043293 986/041765 TKF UAL897.1640.KIAD.ZBAA.340.RAMEL.2250.10 EISIR 291311 102263 641^ QU ANCDPXA CHI17R .CHIVQUA 291323 043293 987/041765 TKF UAL851.1741.KORD.ZBAA.320.ORVIT.2343.10.340.ORVIT.2343.15 EISIR 291323 102263 674^

  29. Current Track Advisory QU CHIVQUA .ANCDPXA 291312 THE FOLLOWING TRACK ADVISORY REQUEST WAS ACCEPTED OK UAL897.1640.KIAD.ZBAA.340.RAMEL.2250.10 EISIR 291311 102263 642^ QU CHIVQUA .ANCDPXA 291324 THE FOLLOWING TRACK ADVISORY REQUEST WAS ACCEPTED OK UAL851.1741.KORD.ZBAA.320.ORVIT.2343.10.340.ORVIT.2343.15 EISIR 291323 102263 675^

  30. Current Track Advisory [[QU ANCDPXA . TKL QU HDQDHUA .ANCDPXA 291836 GATEWAY RESERVATION LIST (COMPILED 03/29/10 18:22) PAGE 1 OF 4 ANCHORAGE ARTCC TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT GATEWAY RESERVATION LIST =========================================== =REQUESTED= =RELEASED= WHEEL CROSS WHEEL CROSS UP FIX UP FIX RELEASED FLIGHT TIME TIME DEPT DEST TIME TIME ALT TRK ============================================================

  31. Current Track Advisory FLIGHTS FOR TRACK ORVIT CROSSING FIX ORVIT UAL851 1845 0046 KORD ZBAA 1845 0046 320 ORVIT UAL835 1544 2147 KORD ZSPD 1544 2147 340 ORVIT COA9 1530 2150 KEWR RJAA 1537 2157 340 ORVIT AAL289 1556 2200 KORD ZSPD 1603 2207 340 ORVIT UAL803 1704 2325 KIAD RJAA 1704 2325 340 ORVIT UAL895 1800 2350 KORD VHHH 1800 2350 340 ORVIT CCA982 2050 0321 KJFK ZBAA 2050 0321 340 ORVIT ============================================================ FLIGHTS FOR TRACK RAMEL CROSSING FIX RAMEL CPA841 1430 2026 KJFK VHHH 1430 2026 320 RAMEL ACA0015 1500 2044 CYYZ VHHH 1500 2044 320 RAMEL UAL897 1640 2250 KIAD ZBAA 1640 2250 340 RAMEL COA99 1945 0148 KEWR VHHH 1945 0148 340 RAMEL CPA831 2015 0212 KJFK VHHH 2015 0212 340 RAMEL ============================================================

  32. Current Track Advisory ANALYSIS OF ABOVE ADVISORY NUMBER OF FLIGHTS PUT INTO PROGRAM: 49 NUMBER OF FLIGHTS SCHEDULED ON-TIME: 46 NUMBER OF FLIGHTS SCHEDULED WITH DELAY: 3 MINIMUM DELAY: 4 MAXIMUM DELAY: 7 AVERAGE DELAY TIME: 6.0^

  33. DOTS+ Online Provides… • a live view of the GRL View is automatically updated; changed values are highlighted User can modify requests by editing a particular value on the GRL itself, like a spreadsheet User can see a graphical view of each track to more easily identify available slots

  34. DOTS+ Online Provides… • more security Certain actions permitted based on user role Password-protected user accounts Write access times-out after 15 minutes of inactivity • default data, to reduce errors Track names Allowed altitudes for each track Basic validation of data (e.g. wheels up time, etc.) • request lists Store frequently-used requests Lists can be edited before being submitted Lists available to all members of the same airline

  35. DOTS + -Gateway Reservation List

  36. Gateway Reservation List • A graphical view is also available.

  37. DOTS + ZAN Display Routes Tracks available in ZAN

  38. What’s New Over the Horizon? • New Routes South of Polar 1 – Summer 2010 • Online Track Advisory (Easier Access and Enhancements) • More Routing Flexibility in Russia through new routes and ACC consolidations • 240 Minute ETOPS Certification on B777s • Boeing 787 Polar Operations • 2011 RVSM in Russia and Mongolia

  39. The Russian Federation continues establishing 12+1 consolidated ACCs by 2015

  40. SUMMARY Polar Operations Must Consider the Following Challenges • AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE, RANGE LIMITS • COLD FUEL ISSUES • SOLAR RADIATION • ROUTE FLEXIBILITY • COMMUNICATION LIMITATIONS ENROUTE • TWIN ENGINE (ETOPS) OPERATIONS • SLOT ALLOCATION

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