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Role of Pharmacoepidemiology in post-marketing Surveillance. Nicholas Moore Bordeaux, France. Role of Pharmacoepidemiology in post-marketing Surveillance. 莫尔 教授 法国波尔多第二大学. From Evidence-based medicine to Hope-based Medicine. Drug development. Traditional approach.
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Role of Pharmacoepidemiology in post-marketing Surveillance Nicholas Moore Bordeaux, France Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Role of Pharmacoepidemiology in post-marketing Surveillance 莫尔 教授 法国波尔多第二大学 Changsha, Nov 30 2010
From Evidence-based medicineto Hope-based Medicine Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Drug development Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • NCE / screen • Biotech • Me too • … Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Receptors • Animal models Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Receptors • Animal models • Compared with other drugs • Geared for activity on disease predictors Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • In animal models • Using preordained (GLP) organs etc... Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development • Clinical trials in selected populations • Phase I, II, III Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development • Marketing authorization (NDA) Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development • Marketing authorization (NDA) • Mass marketing Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development • Marketing authorization (NDA) • Mass marketing • Mass Problem Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Traditional approach • Chemists invent new chemical entity • Pharmacologists test it for activity • Toxicologists test it for toxicity • If all goes well • Clinical development • Marketing authorization (NDA) • Massive marketing • Massive Problem • Drug withdrawn/suspended Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Think • Cerivastatin • Rofecoxib • And many others… Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Why? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
We knew all about the drug • Good preclinical studies • Great trials • On carefully selected patients • Without any risk factors • Using the best dose • For the right duration Changsha, Nov 30 2010
We had good meta-analyses • From these good clinical trials • Done according to NICE and Cochrane • Showing • Superior efficacy • Excellent tolerability • Cost-effectiveness Changsha, Nov 30 2010
all the experts were happy And there was all the evidence! Changsha, Nov 30 2010
But • Real life is different from clinical trials • And real drugs are used on real patients with possible real consequences Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Patients can be different in real life than in clinical trials Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Patient selection in trials Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Comparison of data from clinical trials and real life use • Celecoxib : • Simvastatine : Martin K, et al, Differences between clinical trials and post-marketing use, Br J Clin Pharmacol 2004;57:86-92, Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Patient diversity in real life Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Use can be different Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Drug trials of COXIBs in OA • Against tNSAIDs (ibuprofen, diclofenac) • Full dose • No gastroprotection • For 6 months to 1 year Changsha, Nov 30 2010
NSAIDs in OA GPRH Study 250 GP/Rh 1000 NSAIDs Users Changsha, Nov 30 2010
NSAIDs in OA Number of treatment days bought over 9 months Changsha, Nov 30 2010
NSAIDs in OA Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Celecoxib: first buyers of 14000 initial prescriptions in December 2000 Changsha, Nov 30 2010
NSAIDs in OA • Only 10 to 25% have more than 2-3 months of treatment per year • What is the meaning of risks (and benefits) estimated from full-time full dose use? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Clinical trials give real answers • That doesn’t mean they’re useful Changsha, Nov 30 2010
So that EBM should really be HBM Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Hope-based Medicine We hope the results of clinical trials will be duplicated in real life use of the drugs Changsha, Nov 30 2010
How can the applicability of EBM be ensured? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Pharmacology Study of the effects of drugs (in man) Epidemiology Study of the distributions and determinants of diseases and health in the population Pharmacoepidemiology • Pharmaco-Epidemiology • Use of epidemiological methods to study the distribution and effects of drugs in populations Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Need to understand • What is happening ? • Who has the disease ? • Who is using the drug ? • With what consequences? • Positive • Negative • Financial • … Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Populations Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Treated Population Unduly treated Duly Treated Forbidden Population Unduly untreated Target Population The different populations Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Treated Population Forbidden Population Ideally: Duly Treated Target Population Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Treated Population Forbidden Population Target Population at worst: Unduly treated Unduly untreated Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Treated Population Unduly treated Duly Treated Forbidden Population Unduly untreated Target Population Most often Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Need to study • Drug exposure • What, when, and for how long, at what dose • Outcomes • And then, what happened? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Data sources • Ad hoc • Specific studies • Pre-existing • For research: panels, cohorts • Databases : • Clinical (GP, hospitals) • Administrative: insurance systems Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Data sources • The prescriber • Ad hoc studies • databases • The patient • Cohorts • Direct contact/polls • Databases • Health insurance • GP databases • … Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Methodologies Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Methodologies ? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
? Changsha, Nov 30 2010
Study Methods Present Past Future Changsha, Nov 30 2010