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2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission

2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission. 19 May 2010. Presentation outline. Background to the petroleum industry Critical facts about the industry Industry’s interdependence map 2010 FIFA World Cup readiness Risk identified and mitigating steps Transnet Strike – Current Scenario

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2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission

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  1. 2010 FIFA World Cup SAPIA readiness submission 19 May 2010

  2. Presentation outline • Background to the petroleum industry • Critical facts about the industry • Industry’s interdependence map • 2010 FIFA World Cup readiness • Risk identified and mitigating steps • Transnet Strike – Current Scenario • Potential Impact of Transnet Strike – Worst Scenario

  3. Critical facts about the industry • The industry is interdependent and shares logistic facilities such as depots, pipelines and rail • Gauteng is the biggest market and will also host the majority of the games. It is critical for the industry to ensure un-interrupted supply for this market • 60% of ORTIA jet fuel supply comes from Natref via a dedicated pipeline. • 40% of RSA petrol and diesel supply is sourced from inland refineries and the balance from coastal refineries and imports. • Competition commission exemption was granted to allow enhanced logistic planning for the 2010 FIFA World Cup • The industry and DoE are working together through the Ministerial Task Team (MTT) and Logistics Planning Team (LPT) primarily focusing on jet fuel readiness and cooperation on logistics

  4. Synfuels Tankfarm Refinery Tankfarm Refinery Tankfarm Storage Road tanker Coastal Refineries DJP (Final Products) Transnet Rail Storage Transnet Pipelines Crude Oil Storage Inland Refineries Storage Depots SBM Single Buoy Mooring (Isipingo) Pipeline SCI Sasolburg Transnet Pipelines Secunda Retail stations Consumer Road tanker Commercial customers Retail station tank The South African liquid fuels Industry interdependence

  5. 2010 FIFA World Cup readiness Refinery Readiness • Refineries status • All Refineries fully operational • Jet fuel - Daily injection – 3700 m³ through pipeline from Natref • Critical plants and equipment identified and closely monitored • Planned stock levels – 7-9 days from May • Imports • Products are imported to balance demand. • Shutdowns • No planned shutdowns during world cup that will impact fuel production 22 Days to Kickoff… • Jet Fuel • 40% increase forecasted in jet fuel demand • Stock levels at ORTIA • 19 May – 9.0 days (42 634 m³) • Planned end of May – 9 days • Rail from coast • Rail increased from 15 RTCs to 40 per day Petrol and Diesel • Critical sites identified for SWC period • Credit card acceptance at critical sites • Expected throughput for period to increase by 10% • July prices only to be changed on 2nd Wednesday • Additional trucks & drivers secured • Depots facilities to be optimised around critical feeder sites

  6. Risks identified and mitigating steps Timing is a crucial factor to effecting mitigation plans for 2010 SWC kick-off

  7. Transnet Strike – Current Scenario Update • Rail and Ports are impacted • Rail fed depots getting full (Tarlton, Rustenburg) • Sporadic market stockouts, especially ex Rail supplied depots • Refinery depot gantries – heavily congested (Secunda, Sasolburg) Prolonged Strike Activity implies: • Dealers will go into “panic mode” – fill up tanks (2005 industry experience relived) • More stockouts at service stations and depots • Refineries may shut down due to tanks being full • Supply crisis, threatening country’s economy and the WC2010 event 19 May 2010

  8. Potential impact of Transnet strike – Worst Scenario

  9. CONTACT INFORMATION: Maurice Radebe Chairman Office Address: Shanghai House, 52 Wierda Road West, Wierda Valley, Sandton, South Africa Tel: +27 (0)11 783 7664 Fax: +27 (0)11 783 5400 Email: khensi@sapia.co.za

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