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Dr. Velizar Shalamanov Ph.D. Student Nikolay Tomov Research Assoc. Irena Nikolova

BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES. Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses IPP-BAS. The Role of Computer Assisted Exercises as a Tool for Concept Development and Experimentation in Bulgarian Navy Transformation. Dr. Velizar Shalamanov Ph.D. Student Nikolay Tomov

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Dr. Velizar Shalamanov Ph.D. Student Nikolay Tomov Research Assoc. Irena Nikolova

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  1. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses IPP-BAS The Role of Computer Assisted Exercises as a Tool for Concept Development and Experimentation in Bulgarian Navy Transformation Dr. Velizar Shalamanov Ph.D. Student Nikolay Tomov Research Assoc. Irena Nikolova Ph.D. Student Nikolay Pavlov

  2. Contents of presentation: BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES • Introduction.CDE process in Navy Transformation. • New focus on CAX technology. • Architecture of CAX support environment. • Role of CAX in CDE. • CoE in OA capabilities in CAX support. • Development of CoE in OA under SfP981149 project. • Project management in CoE in OA and implementation of the current projects. • Conclusion. Opportunities for cooperation between CoE, Navy, NATO / EU and Industry.

  3. Concept Development - NATO View BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Capability Doctrine Implementation Plan Equipment People Concept Training Organisation Infrastructure Logistics Experimentation Feedback Modelling & Sim Research Verification Plan Quantitative Qualitative Facts Lessons Learned Observations

  4. NATOExperimentation BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES “The process of exploring innovative methods to improve current capabilities and methods of operation, especially to assess the innovative method’s feasibility, utility, and limits.”

  5. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Why Conduct Experimentation? • To inform Defence decision making • To provide compelling evidence for Change • To reduce/understand Complexity and Risk • Limitations of other Analytical Techniques in: • Representing ‘Human Dimension’ • Providing evidence for non Equipment interventions • To produce objective, usable results as a result of an appropriate level of scientific rigour

  6. Model - Test - Model Paradigm (OA) Studies Environment of executive decision making, Experimentation studies, concept definition, op. planning, procurement BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES New New Knowledge Knowledge Analytical (Analytical) Models Models/Theories Real World Real World Experiments Experiments Knowledge Knowledge Requirements Requirements Knowledge Knowledge Knowledge

  7. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Concepts to CapabilityParallel Development Model I D E A Concept Development Concept Refinement Capability Implementation Capability Concept Analysis Modeling & Simulation Experi- ments Demon- strations Exercises Fielded Capability Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership, Personnel, Facilities & Interoperability

  8. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES New focus on CAX technology The Knowledge and Networks revolution: • Acceleration driven by market forces, COTS and commoditisation • Wide access to unprecedented computing power • Exponential growth in bandwidth, storage, software and connectivity, in tandem with reducing cost • New organisational, structural business models based on proliferation • Distribution ( of assets, nodes and computing power ) and decentralisation ( “edge” devices eg. peer-peer, machine-to-machine )

  9. Role of CAX in CD&E BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES • CAX enable inexpensive gaming for great number of scenarios • CAX enable “simulation” of scenarios and missing players • CAX enable modeling of natural and dangerous process and phenomena • CAX ease communications and mediation among all levels of public, private and authority relationship • CAX create conditions for quantitative “measurements” of group work and analysis

  10. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Role of CAX in CD&E • CAX enable good “stimulation” of thinking and experimentation, as well good furnishing of documentary evidence trough the experimentation process • CAX enable knowledge accumulation in time for different groups of participants, scenarios and periods • CAX enable concept experimentation, technological demonstrations, testing of system architecture for decision making

  11. Customer Planning and Costing Scenario Development Scenario Simulation Mapping in GIS the Scenario Development Lessons Learned Analysis Documentation of Officials’ acts Decision making and responds of Officials BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Architecture of CAX support environment

  12. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES NATO Science for Peace Programme • A nonmilitary cooperation activity under the Euro Atlantic Partnership Council • Projects are of a cooperative nature, jointly carried out by scientists and end users from NATO and Partner Countries • SfP 981149“Operations Research Support to Force and Operations Planning in the New Security Environment” • Projectmajorpurposeisbuildingalibraryofmodelsforaneffectiveandtimelyscientificsupportindecision-making, CAX and MAXinCrisisManagementSystems

  13. AMoI IMI DSC IPP NC3A NOA TNO RTO CAX / MAX C4 Architecture BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Organizational structure of the CoE in OA Center of Excellence W G 1 W G 2 Emergency Management / Crisis Management BAS WG3 WG4 WG5 Force Planning Acquisition Planning WG6 DSC End Users SACP / MoD / MoI WG7

  14. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Where is the Center of Excellence situated? President Parliament Government Security Council Other Agencies Civil Protection MoD MoI Center of Excellence in OA Crisis management Customers Partners Institutes of BAS / Universities Defense Industry / Other Industries

  15. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Project Management in the Center of Excellence NATO / EU Reporting Presentation to Users Internal Reporting BAS Budget WG1 Infrastructure WG7 Management/Reports WG2 SW/Math tools SfP 981149 SfP 981922 WG3 CAX CI2RCO, BIS21+ Center of Excellence WG4 C4 SACP WG5 Force Planning MoD / MoI WG6 Acquisition / Logistic MoE&S / MT&T ARWs Training

  16. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Center of Excellence Infrastructure

  17. BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES The Center of Excellence in the CDE/ATD process in support of Transformation Transformation Process … => Concept Development Experimentation Advanced Technology Demonstration Acquisition Center of Excellence in OA Transformation Offices Acquisition Offices Training / CAX Force Employment Offices Force Preparation Offices Deployment Operations

  18. Conclusion: Opportunities for cooperation between CoE, Navy, NATO / EU and Industry BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES • Development of operational concept for Navy in NATO/EU environment and framework for BSR security cooperation • Development of ROC and Mission Capabilities Packages • Development of Navy Architecture and Naval C4 Architecture • Experimentation and Training through CAX • Acquisition Planning, ATD and testing through CAX • Logistics Planning and testing through CAX • Implementation planning for Navy integration and its management - certification through CAX

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