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A post-2015 development framework

A post-2015 development framework. Lars Engberg-Pedersen Senior researcher. The strength of the MDGs. Focus on poverty reduction and well-being A limited set of simple goals Focus on outcome, not input Focus on objectives, not means Goals supplied with indicators enabling annual monitoring

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A post-2015 development framework

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  1. A post-2015 development framework Lars Engberg-Pedersen Senior researcher DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  2. The strength of the MDGs • Focus on poverty reduction and well-being • A limited set of simple goals • Focus on outcome, not input • Focus on objectives, not means • Goals supplied with indicators enabling annual monitoring • Good time frame, not too long, not too short DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  3. The weaknesses of the MDGs • Too much focus on developing countries, too little on rich countries • Too strong focus on social aspects of life, too little on employment and production • Too little concern with the political dimensions of poverty • Too little concern with inequality • Irrelevant in many country contexts DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  4. Current global changes • Poverty is increasingly a result of international processes (climate change, rising food and fuel prices, financial crisis…) • A chaotic ‘aid architecture’ • Heterogeneous development paths • 75% of the world’s poor live in middle income countries • Changes in the balance of global power due to rising ‘emerging economies’, economic crisis, aging populations in rich countries, etc. • Aid resources are dwarfed by other financial flows (FDI, remittances, philanthropy, illicit capital flows, etc.) DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  5. Current contentious issues • Inequality or ‘getting to zero’ • Climate change and development • Global or universal goals • Ends and/or means • Financing • A changing world DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  6. Inequality in the post-2015 framework • Gender equality – probably yes • Social protection floors – yes • Measurement of progress among the poorest – yes • Stand-alone goal on reduced inequality – not likely • A possibility is to use the Palma ratio dividing the income of the top 10% with the income of the bottom 40% DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

  7. Possible goal: Halving the Palma ratio DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

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