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Central Florida Leadership Survey Hispanic Summit 2007

Central Florida Leadership Survey Hispanic Summit 2007. May 29-June 3, 2007. Central Florida Leadership Survey. Sample of 702 respondents taken from a population of registered voters Base sample of 502 registered voters. supplemented by over-sample of 200 Hispanic voters

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Central Florida Leadership Survey Hispanic Summit 2007

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  1. Central Florida Leadership SurveyHispanic Summit 2007 May 29-June 3, 2007

  2. Central Florida Leadership Survey • Sample of 702 respondents taken from a population of registered voters • Base sample of 502 registered voters. supplemented by over-sample of 200 Hispanic voters • Final results weighted to reflect the known percentage of registered voters with Hispanic surnames • Interviews conducted May 29-June 3, 2007 • Typical interview was about 10 minutes • Sampling error of ±3.7% for results based on full sample of 702 • ± 4.5% for Anglo subsample, n=481 • ± 6.5% for Hispanic subsample, n=217

  3. Key findings • Although Hispanics seeking the American Dream in Central Florida think of discrimination as a problem, they are less likely than Hispanics in the rest of nation to feel victimized by discrimination. • Hispanics and Anglos agree that today’s immigrants posses strong family values and work hard at jobs other Americans don’t want, but they disagree over the assimilation of immigrants into society and extent of social problems caused by immigration. Healthcare and education impacts are flash-points. • Older Anglos are most pessimistic about immigration while younger female Anglos are most optimistic. • The status quo in legal immigration policies is preferred. • Solid majorities of both Hispanics and Anglos endorse a path to permanent legal status for illegal immigrants. • Neither political party is seen as offering better immigration policies.

  4. WHO are the Hispanics of Central Florida, and HOW are they doing?

  5. Most reside in Orange, metro Orlando area MetroOrlando76%

  6. Most hail from Puerto Rico,but Mexico is soaring

  7. No preference for ethnic terminology Which term do you prefer, Hispanic or Latino? Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  8. Hispanics skew much younger than Anglos +23 points over Anglos Two or three times more than Hispanics

  9. Hispanics are much newer voters + 24 points vs. Anglos + 24 pointsvs. Hispanics

  10. Independence from any party - 24 points under Anglos + 18 points over Anglos

  11. Parity at top of socio-economic ladder, but Hispanics crowd lower rung +14 points more than Anglos Parity

  12. Discrimination thought a genuine obstacleHispanic responses only Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America? No31% Yes68% Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  13. Hispanics vs. Anglos: Different realities Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America? Even Anglos who accept the reality of discrimination think of it as a minor, not a major, problem (10% major; 29% minor)

  14. Central Florida Hispanics perceive less discrimination than do all U.S. Hispanics Think discrimination is a problem preventing Hispanics from succeeding in America? US/Pew: 58% No31% Yes68% US/Pew: 82% US/Pew: 15% Pew Hispanic Center6/5 – 7/3, 2006 2,000 nationwideHispanic adults US/Pew: 24% Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  15. Ultimately, Hispanic optimism triumphs Direction things are headed in your part of Florida? Anglos are +17 points more pessimistic than Hispanics Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  16. The problem of immigration, and perceptions of immigrants

  17. Concern over illegal immigration is widespread and intenseAll respondents Concerned79%

  18. Anglo worries outpace Hispanic How concerned are you about illegal immigration? Anglos are +15 points more “very” concerned than Hispanics

  19. Conservative, senior Anglos worry most(% “very concerned,” selected categories of Anglos)

  20. But most Anglos acknowledgethat Latin American immigrants... Percentage “Yes” shown

  21. Central FL opinions roughly match national sentiment about key jobs issue US/NYT: 12% US/NYT: 30% New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S. Note: Percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding. US/NYT: 59%

  22. What worries central Florida Anglos most today about immigrationand immigrants?

  23. Anglos especially don’t perceive assimilation like in years past Perceived willingness of immigrants to adapt to American way of life, compared to those in early 1900s ~6:1 margin is stark and troubling

  24. Many Anglos are nervous about immigrants’ social impact Percentage “Yes” shown Latin American immigrants...?

  25. Most Anglos (and many Hispanics) say hospitals, schools are besieged Latin American immigrants overburden local hospitals & school districts? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  26. Most Anglos and plurality of Hispanics want quicker adoption of English Think most recent immigrants learn English within a reasonable amount of time? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  27. Central FL opinions roughly match national Think most recent immigrants learn English within a reasonable amount of time? US/NYT: 7% US/ NYT: 31% New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S. Note: Percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding. US/NYT: 62%

  28. Hispanics are satisfied (Anglos less so) with ESL programs Effectiveness of public school ESL courses teaching English? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” responses are not shown; many Anglos are unsure re: ESL courses

  29. Bottom line is positive for Hispanics, a muddle for Anglos Point-of-view closest to your own: Immigrants today “strengthen the country” vs. “are a burden”? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  30. What do Central Floridians want to do on key “hot-button” immigration issues? • Visas and legal immigration • In-state college tuition • Amending constitution for “birthright” citizenship • Border Security • Amnesty

  31. Status quo on legal immigration is plurality preference, but as many Hispanics want boost Legal immigration should be...? Hispanics: 18% Anglos: 27% US/NYT: 35% US/NYT: 39% Anglos: 43% Hispanics: 34% Hispanics: 34% Anglos: 19% US/NYT: 20% New York Times (NYT) Poll: 5/18 – 5/23, 2007 1,125 adults in U.S. Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

  32. Support for holding steady with current levels of HB1 visas Level of temporary, high-skilled worker visas should be...? Anglos: 50% Hispanics: 41% Anglos: 13% Hispanics: 42% Anglos: 27% Hispanics: 10%

  33. On the surface, a balance of opinion about in-state tuition for children of illegals .... Illegals who graduate from FL high schools should be given in-state college tuition rates?

  34. ... but topline numbers mask deep ethnic divisions Illegals who graduate from FL high schools should be given in-state college tuition rates? - 29 point difference Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  35. Hispanics united, Anglos divided on birthright citizenship Amend Constitution so parents mustbe legal residents for newborn to be citizen? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  36. Anglos most in “favor” of amending constitution to limit citizenshipConservatives, retirees, Republicans, males

  37. Anglos most opposed to amending constitution to limit citizenshipLiberals, young, low-income, Democrats

  38. Most Anglos and many Hispanicsare ready to spend more on border security To prevent illegal immigration, government should...? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  39. Solid majorities of Hispanics and Anglos endorse a path to permanent legal status Illegals currently in U.S. should be allowed to...? Note: “Unsure” and “refused” not shown

  40. Taking all issues into account, which central Florida Anglos are most and least favorable to immigrants and immigration?

  41. Multi-item scale of attitudes toward immigration points to young Anglo females as best friend of immigrants Select categories of highest scale scores, Anglos only

  42. Multi-item scale of attitudes toward immigration identifies retirees as least friendly to immigrants Select categories of lowest scale scores, Anglos only

  43. Neither political party is seen as having the “best position” on immigration Anglos: 24% Anglos: 28% Hispanics: 16% Hispanics: 17% Note: percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding. Anglos: 26% Hispanics: 35%

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