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Assessing confidence and communicating meaning:

Assessing confidence and communicating meaning: The experience of the LWEC Climate Change Impact Report Cards Mike Morecroft. LWEC Climate Change Impacts Report Card for Biodiversity and ecosystems. Accessible high level summary Underpinned by peer reviewed reviews

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Assessing confidence and communicating meaning:

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  1. Assessing confidence and communicating meaning: The experience of the LWEC Climate Change Impact Report Cards Mike Morecroft

  2. LWEC Climate Change Impacts Report Card for Biodiversity and ecosystems Accessible high level summary Underpinned by peer reviewed reviews Consensus of research community One of a series of climate change impacts report cards covering different sectors

  3. http://www.lwec.org.uk/resources/report-cards/biodiversity

  4. LWEC Climate Change Impacts Report Card for Biodiversity Peer review: Independent group Peer review: Working group Peer review: Review authors

  5. Evidence on climate change impacts Monitoring and survey Experiment Theory Modelling indicators

  6. Assessing confidence agreement Overall confidence Amount of evidence Over the last century the directions of change in range margins of many animal species are consistent with recorded increases in temperature. H

  7. Lessons for indicators Consensus of scientific community Peer review Traceability to primary research / monitoring Assessment of confidence / uncertainty Indicators are part of a larger evidence base Qualitative assessments can be valuable as well as quantitative Text can be powerful Communication matters

  8. There is strong evidence that climate change is already affecting UK biodiversity. Impacts are expected to increase as the magnitude of climate change increases.

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