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Way Forward on Results Monitoring DPG 6 November 2007

Way Forward on Results Monitoring DPG 6 November 2007. Johannes Hoogeveen Poverty Monitoring Group. Why Monitor Results?. Performance Monitoring Have results been achieved? Was value for money delivered? Policy design and planning

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Way Forward on Results Monitoring DPG 6 November 2007

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  1. Way Forward on Results MonitoringDPG 6 November 2007 Johannes Hoogeveen Poverty Monitoring Group

  2. Why Monitor Results? • Performance Monitoring • Have results been achieved? • Was value for money delivered? • Policy design and planning • Without an accurate understanding of reality it is not possible to plan. • The use of data for performance monitoring may jeopardize the accuracy with which it reality. • Already there are instances where there seems to be a disconnect between reality and official statistics.

  3. Results and the MKUKUTA Monitoring System MKUKUTA Monitoring System has filled an important information gap that existed until 2001 Major surveys have been done • HBS, LFS, DHS, THIS, Ag. Census, VOP Monitoring and Analysis have improved • MKUKUTA indicators • MAIR and PHDR reports Communications have improved • RAWG open seminars, Poverty Policy Week Despite some progress, the information to adequately inform decision making, to confidently report about progress and to monitor service delivery is still absent.

  4. LGA/MDA Data Demand for and use of data remains low, especially in LGAs/MDAs. LGA/MDA data production and reporting systems remain weak. National Data Surveys report outcomes infrequently, too late and at high cost. Increased focus on economic and spatial statistics needed. MKUKUTA Monitoring System The system is bureaucratic, was captured and is unable to deliver value for money. MMS is not integrated with national system (donor driven?) Reasons for weak results performance

  5. Two initiatives provide excellent opportunities to improve results monitoring Opportunity I: Harmonized Performance Reporting • Task Force to Harmonize Mkukuta, Strategic Planning and MTEF has made concrete proposals to rationalize reporting. • MoF, MPEE, PO-PSM, PMO-RALG, NAO, PMO participate in Task Force • Budget guidelines 2007 obliges every institution to prepare quarterly progress reports, annual performance reports and 3-annual outcome reports • These reports (intend to) replace existing reports to MoF, MPEE, CCM, Sector Reviews etc.

  6. Key issues: How to ensure that the performance reports meet DP needs? How to how to ensure that performance reports reflect reality accurately?

  7. Opportunity IITanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) • National Bureau of Statistics leads efforts to prepare a national statistical strategy cover NBS, MDAs and LGAs • Areas of Focus • Economic statistics • Spatial statistics • Routine data systems in MDAs and LGAs • TSMP also incorporates strategies to: • Align staff incentives with data production • Improve office environment • Adjust Statistics Act • Rationalize the survey calendar • Improved quality control NBS can support MDAs and LGAs to improve their stats. production. Performance reports will provide better incentives for improved data production and reporting. Yet, sector specialists will need to promote the quality of statistics and reporting.

  8. Economic Statistics Review data production systems Use 2007 HBS to rebase CPI and the National Accounts/GDP National Panel Survey (NPS) Collect outcome indicators (such as poverty; enrollment; access to infrastructure; water) for PAF and MKUKUTA annually Validate routine data Understand income dynamics Two Quick Wins of TSMP should be embraced by DPs immediately With relatively small investments, economic statistics can be greatly improved.

  9. National Panel Survey • Panel survey is included in the MKUKUTA calendar • NPS is overseen by a Technical Committee led by NBS. • Survey implementation will be outsourced. • NBS will need TA to finalize and manage the NPS. • The NPS is on a critical path. To deliver annual outcome indicators following HBS 2007, the survey needs to be fielded by May 2008. • World Bank can provide TA. • Addition resources are needed for first round. • Funding needs to be guaranteed for the next 5 survey rounds

  10. Areas for follow up • Performance Reporting • DPG Sector Working Groups to ensure that performance reports reflect DP needs and are of good quality. • Statistics • Ensure complementary funding ($ 4-500,000) asap and quarantee funding for at least next 5 years ($ 7-800,000 annum). • Data and reporting that is reliable • Institutionalize an independent ‘results’ monitor, within or outside GoT • Development Partners • Use division of Labor to bring expertise in results monitoring (statistics and reporting)

  11. “Without reliable statistics we do not know whether their lives improve”

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