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Renewable Energy Engine for Economic Growth and National Security in Ukraine

This article discusses the importance of transitioning to 100% renewable energy in Ukraine for economic growth and national security. It highlights the benefits of renewable energy, such as energy autonomy and reduced dependence on Russia and other countries.

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Renewable Energy Engine for Economic Growth and National Security in Ukraine

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  1. 100% Renewable Energy Engine for Economic Growth and Imperativ for National Security in Ukraine Hans-Josef Fell PresidentofEnergy Watch Group Member of German Parliament 1998-2013 Kyiv, October 12th, 2016

  2. Gas Productionin Europe Witheuropean gas moreenergyindependencyfromRussia?

  3. Global warming increase dramatically in 2016 °C Global warming The Paris Agreement targetof 1,5 °C will bereached in 2020 !! Source: NOAA

  4. Ukraine supportstheParis ClimateAgreement • 1,5°C means all GHG emissionsneedtobestoppedlatestby 2030: 100% Renewables • 100% Renewablesmeansenergyautonomy;noenergydependencyfromRussia, Europe andothers

  5. The crisesofclimatewarming & energydependencycanonlybesolvedbytwo parallel strategies: • Stopgreenhouse gas emissions (not only a reductionofemissions) • switch to 100% renewables • completelystoptheuseof fossil andnuclearenergies in energy, chemistry, transport, agriculture 2. Take out carbonfromtheatmosphere • convertplants to humussoil (biocoal) • reforestbigareas, greenthedeserts • organicagriculture The Target must be330 ppm CO₂ This leads to global cooling, insteadof global warming

  6. Renewablesconquer German Energy In the background: nuclear power plant Grafenrheinfeld shut off in June 2015 In the foreground: Windpower named „Hans-Josef Fell“ PV and biogas farmland

  7. Renewable Energy as a Job Engine in Germany Nuclearsector 38.000 Source: BEE /BMU 2011

  8. RenewableslowertheGerman exchangeelectricityprice (Baseload) since 2010 €/MWh Nuclearphase out 2010 source: EEX(2015); http://www.finanzen.net/rohstoffe/eex-strom-phelix-baseload-year-future/Chart

  9. Solar & wind arethecheapestenergyoptionnowLevelizedCostof Energy Comparison US Minimum and Maximum Price in March 2015 PV – Rooftop 300 70 PV – Free Field Wind 77 Biomass 110 Geothermal 117 Gas (CHP) 101 150 Coal 136 Nuclear LCOE ($/MWh) Source: Lazard‘s LCOE Analysis, Version 9.0 (2015)

  10. Countries with a 100% RE target Denmark; Sweden; Costa Rica; Island; Scotland; Upper Austria Cities with 100% RE target Barcelona; Masdar City; Munich; Msheireb Downtown Doha; Vancouver; San Francisco; Copenhagen; Sydney; Small Island States with 100% RE target Islands of Tuvalu; Maledives; Cook Islands Germany

  11. Transition towards a 100% renewable energy system by 2050 for ukraine Michael Child, Dmitrii Bogdanovand Christian Breyer Lappeenranta University of Technology, Finland Sustainable Energy Forum and Exhibition Kiev, Ukraine, 12 October, 2016

  12. Agro-PV in ItalyYields: Solar electricity, biofuels,food 4 GW Solar in Tschernobyl, bestoption: AGRO-PV for Food (orbiofuels, whenradioactivepolluted)

  13. WaterSnail: High efficient hydropower; zerofishmortality; Q = 3 * 8.00 m³/s H = 3.30 m P = 3 * 220 kW Ukraine Government 27.12.2008: Floodprotectionwithhydro power: Dnjestr, Prut, Siret, Tis Electricityby 3 Cent/kWh www.aquahelica.com

  14. Climate Protection and Energy Security Policies PromotingRenewableEnergyand Chemistry & OrganicFarming: • Climateprotectioninto national constitution • Laws forfeed-in-tariffs (GET FIT fordeveloping countries) • Taxreliefforrenewables • Carbon tax • Cancelingsubsidiesfor fossil andnuclearenergy, fossil chemistryand intensive agriculture • Research andeducationforrenewablesandorganicfarming • Reducingobstaclesforapproval • Disposebigareasforreforestingandregreening Not successful: • Tenderingorcertificatesystems • Emission trading

  15. Installed Wind Capacity – EEG vsTendering Costof wind energy: ~7 Cent/kWh in Germany ~13 Cent/kWh in GB in MW Germany, feed in tarif Source: Volker Quaschning, 2016: http://www.volker-quaschning.de/datserv/windinst/index.php

  16. Key Points of an Effective Renewable Energy Act (Feed-in Law; EEG) • Privileged grid access • Feed-in tariff have to be sufficient for an economic operation, differentiated through technologies and size • Funding of the feed-in tariff via electricity rate • No cap for feed-in of renewable energies • Garanteed peroid of renumeration • Also: no obstructions by a restrictive permission policy

  17. GET FiT • GET FiTis the abbreviation of Global Energy Transfer Feed-in Tariffs for developing countries • It is a concept for facilitating private sector investments in renewable energies in developing countries • Grants areusedtosupplementtheexistingFiTmechanismforthefirstfiveyears • First project in Uganda (launch in 2013): • 90 mio. US$ over a fiveyearperiod • 125 MW ofrenewableenergies • Financedby Deutsche Bank, KfW, Great Britain Source: Deutsche Bank, GET FiT

  18. Carbon BubbleFossil/nuclear investments turn into stranded investment • Coal/gaspower, nuclearisalreadystrandedinvestment: • E.ON; RWE now will swap out coalandnuclearbusinessandconcentrate on Renewablesanddistribution • AREVAfrenchnuclearcompany: 35 bn. € debts • Peabody: biggestcoalcompany: bankruptcy in April 2016 • China partlybegins to banuseofcoal (Beijing 2020) • GB endstheuseofcoalby 2025 • New nuclearplants in EU, USA: financialflops • New drilling for deepseaoil in Brasil andshale gas in USA are not economicallyviable • Bank of England, HSBC warn about fossil investment • Big fondsleave fossil shares (3.4 Bill. US Dollar)

  19. Investment in Renewablessince 2004 source: Bloomberg, Clean Energy Investment in Numbers, 2016 Ownpresentation Hans-Josef Fell www.hans-josef-fell.de

  20. Global Cooling/Globale Abkühlung Strategies for Climate Protection/Strategien gegen die Klimaschutzblockade www.globalcooling- climateprotection.net http://www.beuth.de/de/artikel/globale-abkuehlung Source: Beuth

  21. Thank You Very Much for Your Attention! www.hans-josef-fell.de

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