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CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index

CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index. NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek. THE CONCEPT. Peace is not (only):. Peace is (also):. a gift. an agenda. a reward.

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CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index

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  1. CONTRIBUTION TO PEACE IN THE WORLD • The GEO/GRIP multi-dimensional index NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  2. THE CONCEPT • Peace is not (only): • Peace is (also): • a gift • an agenda • a reward • a policy • a status • a commitment • a situation • a LT engagement Something to tend to, to maintain, to contribute to • No static condition • A dynamic process NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  3. THE SCOPE Peace is manyfold: • security • diplomacy • human rights • peacekeeping • rule of law • peacebuilding • good governance • development • democracy • Ranking 152 countries in 2005 • with a multi-dimensional index gathering 20 indicators • from open and recognized sources NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  4. THE MEASURE • Three sets of indicators 1. Security 2. Human rights 3. Environment NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  5. 1. Security • Contribution to peacekeeping operations (UN) • Ratification of 5 international conventions • Development aid in relation with GDP (UNDP) • Social expenditures in relation with military budget (UNDP) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  6. 2. Human rights • Ratification of 4 international conventions • Freedom of press index (RSF) • Corruption Index (Transparency International) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  7. 3. Environment • Ratification of 4 international conventions • Protected areas (WCMC) • Ecological footprint (WWF) NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  8. THE FORMULA • Each indicator has a value between 0 and 1 • Each indicator has the same weight in the formula • Except the conventions, which are aggregated and ponderated • Final ponderation: ICPM = 2S +2HR +1E • ICPM has a value between 0 and 5 NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  9. THE RESULT NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  10. THE FIGURES NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

  11. THE CRITICS • Apples and oranges do not make peace • Ad hoc formula for hidden agenda • Intuitive work, no science • To be improved NATO ARW – Indicators and Databases for Risk Prevention Grenoble – 21-23 June 2007 – Contribution of Xavier Zeebroek

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