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IoT Innovation Forum (2015)

"The Unbearable Lightness of IoT Forecasting", presented at the IoT Global Innovation Forum, Dallas (USA), April 2015

mjadoul
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IoT Innovation Forum (2015)

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  1. The Unbearable Lightness of IoT Forecasting Marc Jadoul ( @mjadoul) Dallas, 21 April 2015 1 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  2. Photo: pictures.4ever.eu Good morning. How was your breakfast? 2 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  3. (1) http://www.powerretail.com.au/case-profiles-studies/high-tech-bread/ (2) http://gigaom.com/2013/08/20/podcast-hard-boiled-quirky-and-ge-will-connect-your-eggs-and-crack-open-the-iot-space/ (3) http://www.nbcnews.com/tech/gift-guide/out-milk-lgs-new-smart-fridge-will-let-you-know-n99531 (4) http://www.npr.org/blogs/thesalt/2014/07/15/331402697/calorie-counting-machine-may-make-dieting-easier-in-the-future (5) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/10364890/WiFi-kettle-allows-you-to-boil-water-from-bed.html (6) http://www.instructables.com/id/Smart-Coffer-Cup-Temperature-Reminds-For-Your-Hot-/ (7) http://www.voanews.com/content/smart-spoon-allows-parkinsons-sufferers-to-feed-themselves/1830217.html Breakfast in 2020 Perfectly baked bread thanks to the wireless temperature sensor implants in the dough.(1) A connected egg tray tells you how many eggs you have left in your smart fridge.(2)(3) The iKettle was switched on while you were still in bed.(5) The smart bowl calculates the calories you’re taking in.(4) Your cup monitors the temperature of your tea.(6) A smart spoon assists people with hand tremors.(7) 3 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  4. A typical family home could contain more than 500 smart devices by 2022. Gartner, September 2014 4 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  5. The next step in Internet evolution Internet of CONTENT Internet of SERVICES Internet of PEOPLE Internet of THINGS Pre-internet era + + + + H2H WWW Web 2.0 Social M2M 5 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  6. When 3 industries come together… COMMS enabled BIG data M2M communications IT enabled CE enabled 6 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  7. Internet of Things Source: Gartner, July 2014 7 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  8. At the end of 2014 the number of mobile-connected devices exceeded the world’s population And this is just a beginning … Source: gsmaintelligence.com Image: http://gizmodo.com/a-map-of-every-device-in-the-world-thats-connected-to-t-1628171291 8 8 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. COPYRIGHT © 2014 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  9. The IoT in 2020: it’s going to be biiiiig (though nobody really knows how big…) 28.1 billion “things” in 2020 26 billion “units” by 2020 18 billion M2M “connections” by 2022 $7.1 trillion global revenues by 2020 $300 billion services revenues in 2020 of which 2.6 billion are cellular $1.9 trillion global economic value in 2020 $1.2 trillion Global opportuniy by 2022 Source: IDC, October 2014 Source: Gartner, March 2014 Source: Machina Research, January 2013 9 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  10. Photo: motortrend.com What are they actually counting? 1car 100sensors Air–fuel ratio, blind spot monitor, crankshaft position, curb feeler, defect detector, engine coolant temperature, Hall effect sensor, manifold absolute pressure, mass flow, oxygen, parking sensors, radar gun detector, speed, throttle position, tire-pressure, torque, transmission fluid temperature, turbine speed, variable reluctance, water-in- fuel, water-on- windshield, wheel speed, etc. etc. 5connections Cellular data Bluetooth Wi-Fi Homelink TPMS (GPS) 10 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  11. Image: http://www.bobmcmahon.com Did they count everything? 11 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  12. All ‘things’ great and small? (1) (8) (2) (3, 4) (7) (6) (5) (1) http://www.m2mnow.biz/2013/05/11/11795-container-tracking-systems-installed-base-grew-54-in-2012-says-new-berg-insight-report/ (2) http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archives/2014/09/schiphol_airport_tests_cameras.php (3) http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-25197917 (4) http://www.psfk.com/2014/01/true-love-bra.html (5) http://www.idownloadblog.com/2014/01/06/ces-2014-kolibree-toothbrush/ (6) http://smartinteractionlab.com/whistle-connected-dog-collar/ (7) http://www.cnet.com/news/how-googles-robo-cars-mean-the-end-of-driving-as-we-know-it/ (8) http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/baidu-launches-smart-chopsticks-to-detect-contaminated-food-9711478.html 12 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  13. The short tail vs the long tail Assets/Application KILLER APPS SEGMENT/INDUSTRY/ BUSINESS SPECIFIC THE LONG TAIL # Applications 13 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  14. A complex and diverse ecosystem TELE- COM Based upon: Matt Turk, Sutian Dong, FirstMark Capital, 2013 14 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  15. Photo: visitoakdaleca.Com Why should we care about the network? 15 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  16. Photo: visitoakdaleca.Com Within the next 5 years, more than 90% of all IoT data will be hosted on cloud-based service provider platforms. Within 3 years, 50% of IT networks will transition from having excess capacity to handle the additional IoT devices to being network constrained with nearly 10% of sites being overwhelmed. IDC, December 2014 16 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  17. The network can make or break the IoT experience Horizontalization Manageability Scalability Performance Big data handling Interoperability Security Flexible growth http://www2.alcatel-lucent.com/techzine/iot-internet-of-things-network-can-make-break/ 17 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  18. Are you ready for this new experience? Home Discover Activity Fido@connected_collar Your dog needs a walk 3h Inventory @my_suitcase 3 pairs of fresh socks left 2h Time Keeper @Timekeeper Conclude your talk NOW! 2m Mike @ETSI_microphone3 The next speaker is ready ;-) 5s 18 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  19. Photo: http://www.picturesonwalls.com Thought of the day… 19 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

  20. 20 COPYRIGHT © 2015 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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