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Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China

Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China. Meridith Blevins 1 on behalf of Han-Zhu Qian 1 , Jie Lou 2 , Yuhua Ruan 3 , Glenn F. Webb 1 , Bryan Shepherd 1 , Yiming Shao 3 , Sten Vermund 1 1 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN

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Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China

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  1. Modeling of HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China Meridith Blevins1 on behalf of Han-Zhu Qian1, Jie Lou2, Yuhua Ruan3, Glenn F. Webb1, Bryan Shepherd1, YimingShao3, Sten Vermund1 1 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 2 Shanghai University, China 3 National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, China CDC (Contact: han-zhu.qian@vanderbilt.edu)

  2. Diagram of the model

  3. Five scenarios for HIV testing, linkage, ART, and condom use in MSM in Beijing • Scenario 1: A + B + E (maintaining current coverage of interventions) • Scenario 2: B + C + E (increased ART coverage only) • Scenario 3: B + C + F (increased HIV testing, linkage and ART, but no increased condom use) • Scenario 4: A + D + E (increased condom use only) • Scenario 5: B + D + F (increased HIV testing, linkage, and ART, plus increased condom use)

  4. Predicted HIV prevalence rate among MSM in Beijing, China through 2020 Maintaining current coverage of interventions Increased ART coverage only Increased HIV testing, linkage and ART, but no increased condom use Increased condom use only Increased HIV testing, linkage, and ART, plus increased condom use Funding for this project was provided by National Institute of Health grants 1R01AI094562-01 and 1R34AI091446-01A1.

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