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Dmitry Prikhodko Economist FAO Investment Centre Division

Волатильность цен на зерно: Укарина и мировые рынки Grain Price Volatility : Ukraine and World Markets. Dmitry Prikhodko Economist FAO Investment Centre Division. Связь между ценами на зерно в Украине и мировыми ценами Correlation of grain prices in Ukraine with international prices.

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Dmitry Prikhodko Economist FAO Investment Centre Division

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  1. Волатильность цен на зерно: Укарина и мировые рынкиGrain PriceVolatility: Ukraine and World Markets Dmitry Prikhodko Economist FAO Investment Centre Division

  2. Связь между ценами на зерно в Украине и мировыми ценамиCorrelation of grain prices in Ukraine with international prices Ukraine-France/Rouen R=0,83 Ukraine-US Gulf, R=0,74 Own presentation based on APK-Inform data

  3. Волатильность ценPrice Volatility • Волатильность цен на зерно существенно выросла с 2003-04 МГ во всем мире • Grain price volatility has considerably increased since MY 2003/04 Но HOWEVER • Цены EXW в Украине колеблются не выше уровня мировых цен • EXW Prices in Ukraine are no more volatile than prices in world markets

  4. Волатильность ценPrice Volatility Ст. отклонение цен на пшеницу в Украине, США и Аргентине, USD/t St. Deviation of wheat prices in Ukraine, USA and Argentina, USD/t Own calculations based on APK-Inform data

  5. Волатильность ценPrice Volatility Ст. отклонение цен на ячмень в Украине, Канаде и Венгрии, USD/t St. Deviation of barley prices in Ukraine, Canada and Hungary, USD/t Own calculations based on APK-Inform data

  6. Волатильность ценPrice Volatility Ст. отклонение цен на кукурузу в Украине, Аргентине и США, USD/t St. Deviation of corn prices in Ukraine, Argentina and USA, USD/t Own calculations based on APK-Inform data

  7. Заключение / Conclusions 1) Цены в Украине тесно связаны с мировыми; 1) Prices in Ukraine closely correlate with international prices; • Цены в Украине колеблются не более мировых цен; 2) Prices in Ukraine are no more volatile than the world prices

  8. Заключение / Conclusions 3) Риски международных зерноторговых компаний, экспортирующих украинское зерно, страхуются за пределами Украины; 3) Price risks of international grain trading companies which export grain from Ukraine are insured outside of Ukraine. 4) Как застраховать ценовой риск сельскохозяйственному производителю в Украине?; 4) How can a farmer in Ukraine insure price risks?

  9. Спасибо за внимание! Thank you for attention! E-mail: Dmitry.Prikhodko@fao.org

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