1 / 27

WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa , Middle East and Europe

WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa , Middle East and Europe Activity Report 2012 Enric Terradellas (AEMET), eterradellasj@aemet.es José M. Baldasano (BSC-CNS), jose.baldasano@bsc.es Emilio Cuevas (AEMET), ecuevasa@aemet.es.

niel
Télécharger la présentation

WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center for Northern Africa , Middle East and Europe

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. WMO SDS-WAS programmeRegional Center forNorthernAfrica, Middle East and EuropeActivityReport 2012EnricTerradellas (AEMET), eterradellasj@aemet.esJosé M. Baldasano (BSC-CNS), jose.baldasano@bsc.esEmilio Cuevas (AEMET), ecuevasa@aemet.es 2013-1 meeting of the WMO SDS-WAS Regional Steering Group for Northern Africa, Middle East and Europe, 21 January 2013

  2. Outline • Intercomparison and evaluation of dust prediction models • Web portal • Capacity building • Important meetings • Plans for 2013 WMO SDS-WAS programme Regional Center forNorthernAfrica, Middle East and Europe http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es

  3. Intercomparison and evaluation of dustpredictionmodels

  4. The models • Joint visualization • Generation of multi-model products • Evaluation of dust AOD using AERONET data • Evaluation of surface concentration • Evaluation of vertical profiles

  5. Themodels • VARIABLES: Dust surface concentration – Dust Optical Depth at 550 nm • LEAD TIME: 0 – 72 hours, every 3 hours • GEOGRAPHICAL DOMAIN: 25ºW – 60ºE, 0 – 65ºN

  6. Jointvisualization. Dust AOD at 550 nm RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00

  7. Jointvisualization. Surfaceconcentration RUN: 21 Oct 2012 VALID: 21 Oct 2012 12:00 – 24 Oct 2012 00:00

  8. Generation of multimodelproducts • Model outputs are bi-linearly interpolated to a common 0.5ºlon x 0.5ºlat grid mesh. Then, different multi-model products are generated: • CENTRALITY: median - mean • SPREAD: standard deviation – range of variation

  9. nrtevaluationusing AERONET data SANTA_CRUZ_TENERIFE TAMANRASSET_INM

  10. Evaluation scores using AERONET data • Bias Error • Root Mean Square Error • Correlation Coefficient • Fractional Gross Error • Monthly • Seasonal • Annual • Besidesdust, there might be other aerosol types. Therefore, negative BE could be expected.

  11. Exploringthe use of visibilitytoevaluatedustsurfaceconcentration Koschmiederequation Tegen and Lacis (1996) Meteorologicalstations PM10 = 914.06 V-0.73 + 19.03 D’Almeida (1986) TSP = 1339.84 V-0.67 Ben Mohamed et al. (1992)

  12. Available at http://sds-was.aemet.es/models SEEB, Oman NEJRAN, Saudi Arabia Terra/MODIS 17 Mar 2012 17:00 KUWAIT Int. Apt., Kuwait

  13. Evaluation of surfaceconcentrationwith AQ data fromTurkey

  14. Exploringthe use of lidartoevaluatedust vertical profiles

  15. Web portal

  16. http://sds-was.aemet.es sdswas@aemet.es

  17. Archive • PM10/PM2.5 • Back-trajectories • EUMETSAT RGB-DUST images • UKMO MSG retrievals • Joint visualization of forecast Surf. Conc. • Joint visualization of forecast DOD 550 • Monthly comparison models / AERONET • Evaluation scores (monthly, seasonal, annual) • Multi-model products • Guidance for forecasters

  18. Capacitybuilding

  19. 19-23 Nov 2012: Cours sur l’utilisation des produits satellitaires aux applications agrometeorologiques, Niamey, Niger

  20. 26-28 Nov 2012: Workshop on Meteorology, Sand and Dust Storm (SDS), Combating Desertification and Erosion. Ankara, Turkey

  21. Importantmeetings

  22. 9-15 Sep2012: WMO Fifteenth Session of the Commission for Basic Systems (CBS-15), Jakarta, Indonesia Sep 2012. The WMO CBS-15 meetingrecommendsthedesignation of the Center as Regional SpecializedMeteorological Center withSpecializationonAtmosphericSand and DustForecast(RSMC-ASDF). Jul 2013. Itisexpectedthatthe WMO Executive Council meetstherecommendation and the RSMC startsworking.

  23. UNEP and WMO organized a special session on the scientific aspects of the Regional SDS Programme. Experts gave recommendations on the programmeimprovement. 20-22 Nov 2012: Regional ConferenceonDust and Dust Storm, Kuwait

  24. Plansfor 2013: Outstandingactivities

  25. Dissemination of numerical forecast products (Mar 2013) • Publication of an activity report (Jun 2013) • Start of activities in the Operational Center (Sep 2013) • Preparation of a scientific conference on dust to be held in Barcelona in spring 2014 (together with a face RSG meeting) • Participation in capacity building activities (Turkey, Oman) • Joint evaluation of the dust models: new approaches

  26. WMO SDS-WAS programmeRegional Center forNorthernAfrica, Middle East and Europehttp://sds-was.aemet.essdswas@aemet.es Thanksforyourattention !!

More Related