1 / 29

INEOS

INEOS. 9 th June 2009 : Langesund. Agenda. Impact of the recession on European Petrochemicals INEOS response to recession INEOS & Skanled Future plans for Rafnes. Impact of the Recession. OECD Composite Leading Indicator: May 09. USA. UK. China. Euro Zone.

nimrod
Télécharger la présentation

INEOS

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. INEOS 9th June 2009 : Langesund

  2. Agenda • Impact of the recession on European Petrochemicals • INEOS response to recession • INEOS & Skanled • Future plans for Rafnes

  3. Impact of the Recession

  4. OECD Composite Leading Indicator: May 09 USA UK China Euro Zone

  5. INEOS Overall Global Weekly Order Trend

  6. Ethylene: margin improvement becoming evident BOC : Feb 09

  7. Propylene: margin improvement becoming evident BOC : March 09

  8. Benzene: margin improvement becoming evident BOC : Feb 09

  9. Butadiene: margin improvement becoming evident BOC : April 09

  10. Ineos Technologies: Major Licences won in 2008 Example of Delays in new Plant Construction SIBUR, Tomsk (Russia) 200 KTe Innovene P Leshan (China) 150 KTe BiChlor BCPL/GAIL (India) 300 KTe Innovene G Pequiven (Venezuela) 400 KTe PVC 400 KTe EDC Sinopec, Wuhan (China) 300 KTe Innovene S Polimerica (Venezuela) 430 KTe Innovene G 400 KTe Innovene S Essar (India) 400 KTe Innovene G 400 KTe Innovene S 900 KTe Innovene P Braskem (Brazil) 200 KTe PVC 200 KTe EDC

  11. Ineos Technologies: Major Licences won in 2008 Few untouched by financial crisis Delayed min 1 year, financing/market SIBUR, Tomsk (Russia) 200 KTe Innovene P Leshan (China) 150 KTe BiChlor BCPL/GAIL (India) 300 KTe Innovene G Payments delayed, 6 months, banking issues Delayed min 1 year, financing / market Pequiven (Venezuela) 400 KTe PVC 400 KTe EDC Payments delayed, 6 months, banking issues Sinopec, Wuhan (China) 300 KTe Innovene S Payments delayed, 4 months, banking issues Polimerica (Venezuela) 430 KTe Innovene G 400 KTe Innovene S Delayed min 1 year, financing/market Essar (India) 400 KTe Innovene G 400 KTe Innovene S 900 KTe Innovene P Braskem (Brazil) 200 KTe PVC 200 KTe EDC

  12. Ineos Technologies: 2009 Licencing Opportunities Salavat, Sibur (Russia) 300 KTe Innovene P 500KTe Innovene G Rosneft (Russia) 250 KTe Innovene P 320KTe Innovene S BASF (Germany) 250 KTe EDC Azerchimia (Azerbaijan) 400KTe Innovene S Jiangshan (China) 80 KTe MAN Yanchang (China) 300 KTe Innovene S 300KTe Innovene G 300KTe Innovene P Unipetrol (Czech) 250 KTe Innovene S 200KTe Innovene P Chimprom (Russia) 135 KTe BiChlor 35KTe PVC Sonatrach/Total (Algeria) 450 KTe Innovene G CNOOC (China) 400 KTe Innovene S 300KTe Innovene G 400KTe Innovene P China 8 x 100KTe BiChlor TBC (Egypt) 900 KTe Innovene G Thai Plastic (Thailand) 350KTe EDC OPAL, ONGC (India) 1,080 KTe Innovene G 340 KTe Innovene P Miandoab (Iran) 200 KTe BiChlor 300KTe VCM 300KTe PVC

  13. Ineos Technologies: 2009 Licencing Opportunities Significant delays across most projects Delayed, min 1 year Salavat, Sibur (Russia) 300 KTe Innovene P 500KTe Innovene G Delayed, min 1 year Rosneft (Russia) 250 KTe Innovene P 320KTe Innovene S Delayed min 6 months BASF (Germany) 250 KTe EDC Delayed, 9 months Azerchimia (Azerbaijan) 400KTe Innovene S Jiangshan (China) 80 KTe MAN Delayed, min 6 mths Delayed, min 1 year, financing Yanchang (China) 300 KTe Innovene S 300KTe Innovene G 300KTe Innovene P Unipetrol (Czech) 250 KTe Innovene S 200KTe Innovene P Chimprom (Russia) 135 KTe BiChlor 35KTe PVC Delayed, min 1 year Sonatrach/Total (Algeria) 450 KTe Innovene G CNOOC (China) 400 KTe Innovene S 300KTe Innovene G 400KTe Innovene P China 8 x 100KTe BiChlor TBC (Egypt) 900 KTe Innovene G Thai Plastic (Thailand) 350KTe EDC OPAL, ONGC (India) 1,080 KTe Innovene G 340 KTe Innovene P Miandoab (Iran) 200 KTe BiChlor 300KTe VCM 300KTe PVC Delayed, min 1 year, financing

  14. INEOS Response to Recession

  15. Cost Management • 10% Reduction in fixed costs during Q4 2008 • Further 10% reduction in fixed costs for 2009 • Pay freeze across organisation • Bonuses cancelled for 2009 • Dividends cancelled for 2009 • Contractors reduced by 26% in Q1 09 versus Q4 08

  16. Cash Management • Capital expenditure reduced from €600m in 2008 to €250m in 2009 • Capital spend limited to essential items • Stock volume reduction • Stocks reduced by 22.5% in Q1 09 versus Q4 2008 • Cash release from stocks of €317m

  17. Q1 Financial Performance • EBITDA in Q1 2008 was €420m • EBITDA in Q1 2009 was €200m • Operating cashflow of €428m • Net cash inflow after financing charges in excess of €100m

  18. Q1 2009 Industry Performance • Major decrease in financial performance across the sector • INEOS EBITDA • Q1 09 = €200m • Q1 08 = €420m • Reduction = 52% • Determined from Financial Statements Q1 09 • Considers Chemical Business Activities only as appropriate

  19. INEOS and Skanled

  20. Original Concept for INEOS • Skanled pipe comes through Grenland • INEOS constructs and operates a Gas Separation Plant to extract … • Ethane from dry gas • Additional Ethane spiked into gas flow at Karsto

  21. Cancellation of GSP • INEOS decided in January that the GSP project could not work • Return on Investment was very poor • World ethylene demand had collapsed further undermining the investment • INEOS cash availability was limited • Could not secure long term agreements for economic gas supply

  22. Revised Skanled Scope • Branch line to Grenland • Would allow Yara to consume dry gas and release the ethane currently used by Yara • INEOS would use the Yara ethane to expand the cracker at Rafnes (+150kt NGL) • €70-75m investment in cracker expansion

  23. Future Plans for INEOS in Grenland

  24. The INEOS Cracker • Yara ethane expansion option not available without Skanled • Expansion based on additional LPG’s s feasible and will be the subject of further study • Expansion will need to be timed with recovery in European ethylene demand • INEOS still believes that the best option for the Rafnes cracker is a significant expansion based on additional ethane

  25. Additional Ethane • Ethane is a valuable chemical feedstock • It should not be exported from Norway for fuel use when significant value can be added within Norway • The challenge is to find ways to economically extract ethane from the dry gas system • We believe that Norway can have a highly competitive petrochemical industry if a solution can be found to the ethane issue

  26. INEOS ChlorVinyls • Securing feedstock for the Rafnes cracker opens the way for further expansion in ChlorVinyls chlorine/EDC in addition to cracker expansion • BUT • We need more confidence in the long term supply of economic power to Grenland

  27. Long Term Power • INEOS in Grenland is a large consumer of electricity, ~1,3 TWh annually • Electricity is a raw material and an important part of production costs • Final products are mainly exported and competition is global • Access to competitive, long-term power contracts is a key issue for investments

  28. The Power Challenge • INEOS is partially covered by long term contracts to 2015 • No long term contracts in place after 2015 • Similar to many power intensive users in Norway • Need to secure competitive, long term contracts within current market framework • Indirect carbon costs increase power price (even for CO2 free generation) • Illiquid market for long term contracts of 15-20 years • Extensive up front guarantees required

  29. Summary • INEOS remains very committed to Grenland • Still seeking expansion options across our businesses • Need competitive long term power supplies • Opportunity for Norway to add significant value to Norwegian ethane in Grenland

More Related