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Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003

GAS SUPPLY POTENTIAL FOR EUROPE GTE Conference 22 -23 October. Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003. EU Gas Demand and Gas Import Availability. 13.5 TCM indigenous Resources. 172 TCM Resources in economic reach. Additional Potential. Available Export. EU Demand.

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Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003

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  1. GAS SUPPLY POTENTIAL FOR EUROPE GTE Conference 22 -23 October Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003

  2. EU Gas Demand and Gas Import Availability 13.5 TCM indigenous Resources 172 TCM Resources in economic reach Additional Potential Available Export EU Demand EU Additional Potential EU Production

  3. OGP MAIN MESSAGES • There is sufficient gas resource within and outside the EU/EEA area • Economic conditions and continued technological advances will remain key determinants • Continued investment in infrastructure / field development and appropriate risk-sharing mechanisms are needed • Diversified supply sources will secure import demand growth

  4. EU INSTRUMENTS & INITIATIVES • Second Gas Directive • Infrastructure Incentives - Article 22 • Commission Communication on Energy Policy for the enlarged EU, its Neighbours and Partner Countries • Gas infrastructure Proposals • Investment funding (Field Dev./ Infrastructure) • Revision of TEN - Energy Guidelines • Priority Axes Gas • TEN - Energy financing

  5. Energy related EU Foreign Policy • EU - Russia Dialogue • Energy Charter Treaty Process • Euro - Mediterranean Energy co-operation • Company initiatives -

  6. EU Facilitating Role • Support required business environment and offer financial instruments to secure investments in infrastructure • Continue to support long-term contracts and long-term capacity reservations in order to bring gas timely to market • Take a leading role in market development by providing a stable, predictable regulatory and fiscal environment within the EU & support such an environment in the producing & transit countries

  7. GAS SUPPLY POTENTIAL FOR EUROPE GTE Conference 22 -23 October Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003

  8. GAS SUPPLY POTENTIAL FOR EUROPE GTE Conference 22 -23 October BACK - UP Eckhard Wiemann Brussels October 2003

  9. Available Export Volumes in Reach of EU Additional Potential(Africa, Middle East,Caribbean & FSU w/o Russia) Caribbean Middle East FSU Africa

  10. Demand Based on EUROGAS + Acc. Countries Estimates Additional Potential Production Forecast EU/EEA Production Forecast including Major Accession Countries

  11. Reserves and Potential in Reach of EU by Regions (BCM)

  12. Reserves and Potential in EU/EEA and Accession Countries (BCM)

  13. Definitions of Gas Resources • Reserves: • Meaning remaining resources in all currently known gas accumulation, • which will be produced in the future under currently economic • conditions and the current available technology • Discovered Potential: • Meaning all other known remaining gas resources, including gas from • undrilled structures, which need new, advanced technologies, or • improved economic conditions or any other incentives to be • developed and brought to the market. • Undiscovered Potential: • Meaning remaining gas resources, which are of exploratory nature or • speculative I.e. leads indicated by seismic. • Excluded are all future resources, which are based on geological • statistical methods or the historic rate of discovery.

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