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Algerian Succession – Key Power Groups

Algerian Succession – Key Power Groups. Presidency. The strong influence of civil war veterans is evidenced by the ministerial post devoted to the group. DRS (Military Intelligence). Primary Decision-making and influencing power. ANP (People’s Armed Forces).

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Algerian Succession – Key Power Groups

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  1. Algerian Succession – Key Power Groups Presidency The strong influence of civil war veterans is evidenced by the ministerial post devoted to the group DRS (Military Intelligence) Primary Decision-making and influencing power ANP (People’s Armed Forces) Private Sector/ Private Individuals Cabinet Veterans & Children of Deceased Council of Ministers Governing Coalition (FLN, MSP, RND) UGTA (Official public sector trade union) Public Sector Media Advisory power Constituents of the CNCD protest movement - evidence that the protest leaders possess nuisance value at best Parliament Legal Opposition Local Government Outlawed Opposition With a million members, the pro-government UGTA is a crucial hinge group whose participation in protests would be a major sign of the power balance shifting Independent Trade Unions Protest power Religious groups? Human Rights Groups Elected Institutions Unelected Institutions Civil Society

  2. Algerian Succession – Summary of Key Individuals President Abdel Aziz Bouteflika 18 MONTH TRAJECTORY GOVERNMENT STATE SECURITY BUSINESS/PRIVATE DRS** ANP* Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia – Head RND Party Justice M Tayeb Belaiz Lt Gen Mohamed “Toufik” Mediene C-o-Staff Lt Gen Ahmed Gaid Saleh Saeed Bouteflika ^ Upward Trajectory Vice-PM Noureddine Yazid Zerhouni Finance M Karim Djoudi C-Espionage Maj Gen Ahmed Kherfi Ground Force Maj Gen Ahcen Tafer Abdur Bouteflika ^ Defence M. Gen (Rt) Abdelmalek Guenaizia Energy M Youcef Yousfi Army Security Maj Gen Mhenna Djebbar Air Force Maj Gen Abdelkader Lounes Amal Lamari ~ Pharmalliance SARL Neutral Trajectory Defence Sec Gen Maj Gen Ahmed Senhadji * Public Works M Amar Ghoul - MSP External Security Maj Gen Rachid Laalali Navy Maj Gen Malik Naceb NourredineCherouati CEO Sonatrach Interior M Dahou Ould Kablia M. Of State Abdelaziz Belkhadem Air Defence Maj Gen Mohamed Baaziz Mohamed Meziane Fmr CEO Sonatrach Downward Trajectory Foreign M Mourad Medelci Veterans M Mohammed Cherif Abbes Special Forces Brig Gen Rachid Saoudi FACTION LOYALTY POLICE***/SURETE*** Education M Boubekeur Ben Bouzid Gendarmerie Maj Gen Ahmed Boustila SureteNationaleMaj Gen Abdelghani Hamel FORMER GOVERNMENT/MILITARY Bouteflika Loyalist Fmr Energy M Chakib Khelil Fmr Head DRS General Mohamed Betchine OPPOSITION/ TRADE UNIONS Head DRC Said Sadi Fmr Telecoms M Bessalah Head MSP BouguerraSoultani Mediene Loyalist Fmr Commerce M Djaboub Head Workers Party Louis a Hanoune Inconclusive/ Unaligned * Reports to Defence Minister ** Nominal reporting line to Army Chief *** Reports to Interior Minister ^ Brother to President ~ Daughter of deceased Deputy Head of DRS

  3. Algerian Succession – Key State Security Individuals President Abdel Aziz Bouteflika 18 MONTH TRAJECTORY STATE SECURITY DRS** Lt Gen Mohamed “Toufik” Mediene Lt Gen Mohamed “Toufik” Mediene Upward Trajectory C-Espionage Maj Gen Ahmed Kherfi C-Espionage Maj Gen Ahmed Kherfi Army Security Maj Gen Mhenna Djebbar Army Security Maj Gen Mhenna Djebbar Neutral Trajectory External Security Maj Gen Rachid Laalali External Security Maj Gen Rachid Laalali ANP* C-o-Staff Lt Gen Ahmed Gaid Saleh C-o-Staff Lt Gen Ahmed Gaid Saleh Downward Trajectory Ground Force Maj Gen Ahcen Tafer Ground Force Maj Gen Ahcen Tafer FACTION LOYALTY Air Force Maj Gen Abdelkader Lounes Air Force Maj Gen Abdelkader Lounes Bouteflika Loyalist Navy Maj Gen Malik Naceb Navy Maj Gen Malik Naceb Air Defence Maj Gen Mohamed Baaziz Air Defence Maj Gen Mohamed Baaziz Mediene Loyalist Special Forces Brig Gen Rachid Saoudi Special Forces Brig Gen Rachid Saoudi POLICE***/SURETE*** Air Defence Maj Gen Mohamed Baaziz Air Defence Maj Gen Mohamed Baaziz Inconclusive/ Unaligned Special Forces Brig Gen Rachid Saoudi Special Forces Brig Gen Rachid Saoudi * Reports to Defence Minister ** Nominal reporting line to Army Chief *** Reports to Interior Minister ^ Brother to President Ϯ Reports to Defence Minister

  4. Algerian Succession – Key Government Individuals 18 MONTH TRAJECTORY GOVERNMENT Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia Upward Trajectory Vice-PM Noureddine Yazid Zerhouni Demoted from interior ministry in 2010 reshuffle. Seen as being old and having mishandled the Tounsi murder has fallen out of favour with Bouteflika Defence M. Abdelmalek Guenaizia Defence M. Abdelmalek Guenaizia Neutral Trajectory Defence Sec Gen Maj Gen Ahmed Senhadji Ϯ Defence Sec Gen Maj Gen Ahmed Senhadji Ϯ Interior M Dahou Ould Kablia Promoted from deputy position in 2010 reshuffle. MALG leader since 1990, close ally to Bouteflika and Zerhouni. Ties to DRS see him as an effective balance candidate. Possible succession candidate Downward Trajectory Foreign M Mourad Medelci Foreign M Mourad Medelci FACTION LOYALTY Justice M Tayeb Belaiz Justice M Tayeb Belaiz Finance M Karim Djoudi Finance M Karim Djoudi Bouteflika Loyalist Energy M Youcef Yousfi Energy M Youcef Yousfi Water M Abdelmalek Sellal Water M Abdelmalek Sellal Mediene Loyalist M. Of State Abdelaziz Belkhadem M. Of State Abdelaziz Belkhadem Veterans M Mohammed Cherif Abbes Veterans M Mohammed Cherif Abbes Inconclusive/ Unaligned * Reports to Defence Minister ** Nominal reporting line to Army Chief *** Reports to Interior Minister ^ Brother to President Ϯ Reports to Defence Minister

  5. Algerian Succession – Presidency President Abdel Aziz Bouteflika Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia Vice-PM NoureddineYazid Zerhouni Saeed Bouteflika Abdulla Bouteflika Bouteflika Loyalist Mediene Loyalist Inconclusive/ Unaligned Official Structure Factional Members

  6. Algerian Succession – DRS General Mohamed “Toufik” Mediene Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia Vice-PM NoureddineYazid Zerhouni Saeed Bouteflika Abdulla Bouteflika Bouteflika Loyalist Mediene Loyalist Inconclusive/ Unaligned Official Structure Factional Members

  7. Algerian Succession – ANP General Mohamed “Toufik” Mediene Prime Minister Ahmed Ouyahia Vice-PM NoureddineYazid Zerhouni Saeed Bouteflika Abdulla Bouteflika Bouteflika Loyalist Mediene Loyalist Inconclusive/ Unaligned Official Structure Factional Members

  8. Algerian Succession – Notes • Economic Interests • Private, Public, Countries, Individuals, FDI, major projects, Algerian local cos and ownership • AQIM and connections to DRS • Regionalism - Tribal issues – Berber, Touareg etc - http://themoornextdoor.wordpress.com/2010/03/07/addendum-on-regionalism/ • Western Sahara, relationship to Morocco • Migration • Political Timeline

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