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ENP and the German EU Presidency: Progress or Stalemate?

ENP and the German EU Presidency: Progress or Stalemate?. Petr Kratochvíl Institute of International Relations, Prague. ENP – Introductory Remarks. Young policy, yet quickly maturing Familiar tensions East vs. South Enlargement substitute vs. pre-enlargement policy

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ENP and the German EU Presidency: Progress or Stalemate?

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  1. ENP and the German EU Presidency:Progress or Stalemate? Petr Kratochvíl Institute of International Relations, Prague

  2. ENP – Introductory Remarks • Young policy, yet quickly maturing • Familiar tensions • East vs. South • Enlargement substitute vs. pre-enlargement policy • First signs of stabilisation • Geographic scope • Instruments used • Known carrots offered and reforms required (Action Plans)

  3. Expectations from Germany • Regarding the ENP • Neue Ostpolitik • Changing the EC´s approach • New institutional structure • Higher financial allocations for the Eastern ENP countries • Regarding the wider Eastern policy • Replacement of PCA with Russia • New strategy for Central Asia

  4. Major Disappointments • Overestimation of Germany´s power to forge EU´s eastern policy • No institutional change • No preference for the East in financial terms • Momentum lost at the start of Presidency • Flawed Central Asia strategy • Attempts at removing sanctions • Missing leverage over highly undemocratic regimes

  5. Major Achievements • Improved relations with Ukraine • Negotiations on a new agreement • Visa-facilitation • More financial means from the EC • Better balance between Russia and ENP countries • Internal reshuffling in German politics • End of „Russia-first“ approach • More unified stance in Samara

  6. Contentious Issues • Unknown evolution of relations with Russia • Little progress in multilateral energy dialogue • Unclear link between the ENP and Russia • Discord among advocates of the East (moderates vs. radicals)

  7. Conclusion • Germany relatively successful • Need for coalition-building and better coordination • No change in the East-South division in the short term • No new impulses for the East until 2009

  8. Thank you.

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