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Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University ryan_boyles@ncsu

Climate Review and Outlook. Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University ryan_boyles@ncsu.edu. Mike Moneypenny Hydrologist / Forecaster NOAA National Weather Service - Raleigh Michael.Moneypenny@noaa.gov. October 2009 – March 2010. October 2010 – yesterday.

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Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University ryan_boyles@ncsu

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  1. Climate Review and Outlook Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University ryan_boyles@ncsu.edu Mike Moneypenny Hydrologist / Forecaster NOAA National Weather Service - Raleigh Michael.Moneypenny@noaa.gov

  2. October 2009 – March 2010 Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  3. October 2010 – yesterday Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  4. Last 60 days Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  5. Last 30 days Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  6. Short-term Outlook Last Night’s Rainfall Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  7. NWS 6-10 Day Outlook Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  8. NWS 8-14 Day Outlook Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  9. ENSO Outlook • El Nino event in winter 2009-2010 • El Nino typically associated with wetter winters in NC (esp central, eastern NC) • La Nina event in winter 2010-2011 • La Nina typically associated with drier winters in NC (esp central, eastern NC) Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  10. Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  11. NWS Precip Outlook: AMJ Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  12. Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  13. Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  14. Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

  15. Summary • Its been a dry winter, especially in central and eastern NC • Wetter recently in Mountains • La Nina fading • No guidance for summer (as usual) • Still too early to predict ENSO for next winter Drought Management Advisory Council - Raleigh, NC - March 24, 2011

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