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PERFORMANCE OF INDONESIAN AGRICULTURE AFTER 2004

This article highlights key facts about the performance of Indonesian agriculture after 2004, including changes in labor, GDP growth, domestic production, and the international market. It also discusses the impact of productivity and future challenges.

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PERFORMANCE OF INDONESIAN AGRICULTURE AFTER 2004

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  1. PERFORMANCE OF INDONESIAN AGRICULTURE AFTER 2004

  2. Facts • Labor worked in agriculture decreased from 43.9% (2005) to 36.5% (2011) • GDP of agriculture grew at 3.07% from 2010 to 2011 • Agriculture sector contributed 0.5% of total economic growth in 1st and 2nd quarters 2012. In 2011 it was 0.4% at the same period.

  3. 1. DOMESTIC PRODUCTION

  4. Farmer’s Terms of Trade (NTP), 2005-2009 Domestic Investment, 2005-2009, Rp billion Foreign Investment, 2005-2009, US $ million Source: Bappenas, 2011

  5. Production of Paddy, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 3.4% Production of Maize, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 9.9% Production of Soybean, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 0.9% Source: Bappenas, 2011

  6. Production of CPO, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 8.9% Production of Rubber, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 1.6% Production of Cocoa, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 2.2% Source: Bappenas, 2011

  7. Production of Banana, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 5.2% Production of Oranges, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 4.1% Production of Shallot, 2005-2009, million T Growth of 5.2% Source: Bappenas, 2011

  8. Agric Balance of Trade, 2005-2009, US $

  9. 2. INTERNATIONAL MARKET

  10. Export Product Dynamics (EPD) Market Attractiveness (growth) Strength of Business (market share) Source: Esterhuizen, 2006

  11. Estate Crops

  12. Horticulture

  13. Surveys in some international markets (China, Mid East, Europe, US)show that most of processing tropical products come from Philippines and ThailandIn domestic market, its very easy to find some processing products (canning) in supermarket Low Value Addition

  14. Dried fruits Banana Pineapple Rambutan and Jackfruits Young Bamboo Paria

  15. White pepper powder is imported form India Cinnamon stick is imported from India

  16. Answer • How to shift Agribusiness curve to be more leptocurtic: • Increase quantity • Ensure Continuity • Reduce diversity of quality • Note: in 2009, Indonesia’s pineapple was banned by Japan because of inability to satisfy minimum quota of 1,000 T

  17. Answer Impact of PRODUCTIVITY Increase

  18. Answer Lesson Learn Future Challenge: To satisfy the demand for food until 2050, production must increase at least 1% per year. 80% of such increase comes from productivity increase. 1. India: government support on credit, irrigation and production inputs. 2. Vietnam: irrigation, pests and diseases brigade and mechanization (rendement 70%). 3. Indonesia: irrigation, Research and development, extension.

  19. Terima Kasih FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT IPB Jl. KAMPER KAMPUS DARMAGA BOGOR 16680 PH: 0251-8626520, FAX: 0251-8626631 Website : http://www.fem.ipb.ac.id

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