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Scottish Crime and Justice Survey, 2008-09

Scottish Crime and Justice Survey, 2008-09. Catherine Millington. Overview. Survey methodology Estimating victimisation National Indicator 30: Reduce overall crime victimisation rates by 2 percentage points by 2011 Perceptions of crime

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Scottish Crime and Justice Survey, 2008-09

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  1. Scottish Crime and Justice Survey, 2008-09 Catherine Millington

  2. Overview • Survey methodology • Estimating victimisation • National Indicator 30: Reduce overall crime victimisation rates by 2 percentage points by 2011 • Perceptions of crime • National Indicator 35: Increase positive public perception of the general crime rate in the local area • Police and criminal justice system

  3. Survey Methodology • Large-scale continuous survey measuring people’s experience & perceptions of crime in Scotland • 16,003 face-to-face interviews with Scottish adults (aged 16+) in private households

  4. Large sample size: • More accurate measurement of less prevalent crimes e.g. serious assault • Sub-national estimates at police force area (PFA) & community justice authority area (CJAA) • Combining 2009/10 & 2010/11 will give LA results • Allowed questionnaire to be split into modules, extending topic coverage while retaining reliable reporting at national level

  5. Limitations of the SCJS • Coverage - excludes businesses, those under 16yrs, those living in institutions, e.g. student accommodation, ‘victimless’ crimes, e.g. speeding • Respondent recall error • Sampling error – to indicate the extent, key results presented with their calculated confidence intervals. These are bands within which there is confidence that the ‘true’ value lies 95 % of the time.

  6. Estimating victimisation - the extent of crime • 1.04 million crimes in Scotland from SCJS 08/09 • The same as in 2005/06 • 0.73 million property crimes (70% of crime) involving theft or damage to personal or household property; • 0.32 million violent crimes of assault or robbery (30% of crime).

  7. Estimating victimisation - the extent of crime

  8. Estimating victimisation - the extent of crime over time

  9. Estimating victimisation National Indicator 30: Reduce overall crime victimisation rates by 2 percentage points by 2011 • The proportion of Scottish adults who were the victim of one or more crime is 20.4% • this compares with 21.3% in 2005/06 (decrease 0.9%) • performance is “maintaining” • Although the last year on year change was not statistically significant it was part of a steady downward trend in the victimisation rate since the early 90s.

  10. Varying risk of crime – population characteristics % of adults who were the victim of one or more crime

  11. Varying risk of crime -Crime types % of adults/households who were the victim of one or more crime

  12. Comparison with England & Wales • The risk of being a victim of crime: • Scotland: 20.4% (SCJS 2008/09) • E&W: 23% (BCS 2008/09) • The risk of being a victim of violent crime: • Scotland: 4.1% • E&W: 3.2% • The proportion of crime • Scotland: 30% of crime is violent crime • E&W: 20% of crime is violent crime

  13. Violent crime, alcohol & weapons • In 58% of violent crime the victim thought the perpetrator was under the influence of alcohol • In 29% of violent crime the victim was under the influence of alcohol • A weapon was used (or threatened to be used) in 28% of violent crimes • 1/3 of these weapons were knives • 1/4 were bottles

  14. Was what happened a crime? % of crime

  15. Reported to the police? • An estimated 38% of crime is reported to the police • Most common reasons for unreported crime: • 41% too trivial / not worth reporting • 29% police could not have done anything • 16% police would not have bothered or been interested

  16. Perceptions of crime National Indicator 35: Increase positive public perception of the general crime rate in the local area • 69% of adults perceived the general crime rate in their local area to have stayed the same or reduced in the past 2 years • this compares with 65% in 2005/06 • performance is “improving” • Fewer adults (28%) thought that the crime rate in their area had increased over the last two years • this compares with 32% in 2005/06

  17. How common are crimes in your local area?

  18. How are these impressions formed?

  19. Perceived risk ‘vs’ actual risk

  20. Confidence in the police: Do the police in your area do a good job? % of adults

  21. Other topics from the survey Workplace abuse Monetary impacts of crime Card and identity fraud Safety cameras Emotional responses to crime Injuries sustained through violent crime Community sentencing Attitudes to sentencing Civil justice

  22. To view • SCJS 2008-2009 Reports, including - First findings, Partner abuse, Sexual victimisation, Illegal drug use & Technical report • SCJS 2008-2009 Data tables and regional results Please see the following website: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Research/by-topic/crime-and-justice/crime-and-justice-survey/publications • Full data sets are available to download on the UK Data Archive: http://www.data-archive.ac.uk/findingData/scsTitles.asp

  23. Thank you, Questions? Catherine.Millington@scotland.gsi.gov.uk

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