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The Land Rush in West Africa – Investors and investment models Ward ANSEEUW

The Land Rush in West Africa – Investors and investment models Ward ANSEEUW. West Africa. Source: Land Matrix, base 2011. Host countries. # projects. ha. Source: Land Matrix, base 2011. Concentration of investments. Source: Land Matrix, base 2011.

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The Land Rush in West Africa – Investors and investment models Ward ANSEEUW

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  1. The Land Rush in West Africa – Investors and investment models Ward ANSEEUW

  2. West Africa Source: Land Matrix, base 2011

  3. Host countries # projects ha Source: Land Matrix, base 2011

  4. Concentration of investments Source: Land Matrix, base 2011

  5. The investment dynamics – new actors, new investment models

  6. Investors - Africa Announced/Reported deals

  7. Investors in Africa # projects verified

  8. Investors in West Africa

  9. Investors • Private investors • Traditional Western food-producing, processing, and exporting companies seeking to increase market share • Capital-rich / food insecure Land and water scarce populous but capital-rich(Asian countries, Gulf States - China: 20% of world pop / 9% of world arable land) • New actors –Outside of agriculture (financial sector, …) • Direct gov. involvement • Sovereign wealth Funds • State-owned enterprises • Avoiding markets • Hedge funds, • Pension funds • Invest banks • Asset management comp • Diversifying portfolio/ • speculation

  10. 7 land investment models in Africa High failures Increasedintegration Adaptation strategies Few inclusive models

  11. Non-land investment models and “Production” grabbing • High cost of productive, competitive agricultural production (Increase of debt - Input prices increase - the land is not enough as collateral) - no collateral • Internalisation - The production is never owned by farmer • Price risk - managed through hedging on futures markets (SAFEX) • Production risk (flood, drought…) is covered by the multi-peril insurance & geographical/commodity diversity • Lowering transactions costs • Speculation Commercial banks engagement in primary agricultural production Agricultural engineering/asset management companies Investment/equity funds

  12. A complex and inter-dependent environment … Drivers LT Demographic Change in diet and energy use MT Food production Biofuels Industrial production Forest/fibre production Ecosystemic Services/Tourism Speculation Facilitators -Land governance -Democratic governance -Economic governance and market regulations -Crisis of family farming (the perception thereof) A GOVERNANCE PROBLEM (not an investor one only) DOMESTIC land acquisitions Triggers Food price crisis

  13. Large-scale land acquisitions as aggravator Facilitators -Crisis of the perception of family farming -Land governance -Economic governance and market regulations -Democratic governance Drivers Food production Biofuels Industrial production Forest/fibre production Ecosystemic Services/Tourism Speculation Triggers Food price crisis LSLA as aggravators

  14. Thank you! Dr Ward ANSEEUW CIRAD Researcher Post Graduate School of Agriculture and Rural Development University of Pretoria Pretoria 0002 South Africa Tel:   +27 (0)12 420 5022 Fax:  +27 (0)12 420 3206 Websites: www.cirad.fr www.up.ac.za www.landportal.info/landmatrix www.commercialpressuresonland.org

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