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Engineering Sustainable Energy Systems The Green Islands case study

Engineering Sustainable Energy Systems The Green Islands case study. Carlos A. Santos Silva MIT-Portugal Program / Sustainable Energy Systems Instituto Superior Técnico. São Miguel, Azores. Lagoa Sete Cidades, São Miguel.

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Engineering Sustainable Energy Systems The Green Islands case study

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  1. Engineering Sustainable Energy SystemsThe Green Islands case study Carlos A. Santos Silva MIT-Portugal Program / Sustainable Energy Systems Instituto Superior Técnico

  2. São Miguel, Azores Lagoa Sete Cidades, São Miguel

  3. The energy system in São Miguel(… as perceived by the Azores local agents) São Miguel

  4. Energy Strategy for 2018 • Goals for all Azores • 75% of renewables on electricity production • 40% of renewables on primary energy (electrification of other sectors) • Plan (for São Miguel) • 3MW Geothermal by 2010 • 9MW Wind by 2011 • 10MW Geothermal by 2013 • Questions • Another 10 MW Geothermal after 2013? • Storage system? • How to use biomass? • Is this enough? What else? Green Islands Project

  5. The energy system in São Miguel(… the real system in 2007) 27% 47%

  6. Strategy for 2018 Local Agents MIT Portugal

  7. Green Islands Project

  8. Engineering a Sustainable Energy System • Technical dimension • Storage / Smart Grids/ Electric Vehicles / Biomass • Economic dimension • EU or PPP / Energy markets • Social dimension • Acceptance / Behavior Changes / Education / Collective welfare • Critical Infrastructures • Energy /Transportation /Communication • Energy and Sustainability • Safety /Security • Fundamentals • Complexity, Uncertainty…

  9. Tools for Energy Planning Green-X EPPA TIMES LEAP Homer MAED DER-CAM ENPEP TRNSYS RETScreen MESSAGE

  10. Planning tools gaps Space TIMES Green-X LEAP EPPA Region /Country Grid Analysis Methodology DER-CAM Optimization House /Neighborhood Projections Homer Time Second Hour Year

  11. New generation of planning tools Space TIMES Extended TIMES Region /Country Methodology Optimization House /Neighborhood Projections Time Second Hour Year

  12. Model Calibration (2008)

  13. Green Islands Case: TIMES-MARKAL to build scoping scenarios • Business As Usual • 37 MW Geothermal: [ 24 + 3 + 10 ] (2013) • 5 MW Hydro • 9 MW Wind (2011) • MPPRen (+ Renewables & Storage) • 47 MW Geothermal: [ 24 + 3 + 10 ] +10 (2013) • 9 MW Hydro [5+4] • 9 MW Wind (2011) • 10 MW Biomass (2013) • 15 MW Pump-Storage (2013) • MPPRenDom (+ Household Efficiency) • Energy Efficiency Gains from New Appliances • Electricity Demand Growth 2% • MPPRenAll (+ Lower demand growth) • Non-Electric/Non-Transportation Demand Growth 1% • MPPRenAllEV (+ Introduction of Electric Vehicles) • 6% of Electric Vehicles in 2013, 30% in 2020

  14. Electricity Production Scenarios GWh

  15. Electricity Scenario for 2018 • Two critical ideas • Reduce energy demand (e.g. energy efficiency in buildings) • Introduce storage systems (e.g. pump-storage or EV) Storage Energy Demand

  16. Primary Energy • One critical idea: • Change transportation system (e.g. EV)

  17. Conclusions • Engineering a Sustainable Energy System requires • Research: • Extend modeling and planning tools to include all dynamics • Implementation: • Energy efficiency (e.g. reduce energy demand in buildings) • Change transportation paradigm (e.g. electrical vehicles)

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