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Phoenix Solar

Phoenix Solar. Rooftop Insights. March 2012 Phoenix Solar Pte Ltd 209 Syed Alwi Road, Singapore 207742 info@phoenixsolar.sg Tel: +65-6511 9339, Fax: +65-6511 9333. Global HQ in Germany Founded in 1999 Stock-listed since Nov 2004 Dividends since 2007 300 employees globally

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Phoenix Solar

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  1. Phoenix Solar Rooftop Insights March 2012 Phoenix Solar Pte Ltd 209 Syed Alwi Road, Singapore 207742 info@phoenixsolar.sg Tel: +65-6511 9339, Fax: +65-6511 9333

  2. Global HQ in Germany Founded in 1999 Stock-listed since Nov 2004 Dividends since 2007 300 employees globally Sold or installed solar modules totalling close to1 gigawatt by 2011 Phoenix Solar has a proven track record- globally and in Asia Phoenix Solar designs, builds and maintains turnkey PV power plants • Asia Pac HQ in Singapore • Founded in 2006 • 26 employees in Singapore + Malaysia • Market leader in Singapore • >3’500kWp of rooftop projects • >23’000kWp of solar farms

  3. Agenda 1 Ground mounted MW-scale PV farms worldwide 2 Distributed rooftop PV systems in Germany 3 Market shares by system size in Germany 2010 +2011 4 Pros and cons of solar farms vs distributed rooftop PV 5 Conditions precedent for rooftop PV 6 Conclusions

  4. Large ground-mounted power plants cover several hectares each, in Germany… Moos (Germany), 15.8 MWp Completed Jun 2010

  5. … in Thailand … Solarta Sai Yai Phase-I, 9.7MWp March 2012

  6. … and in India Greatshine, Tamil Nadu, 1MWp January 2012

  7. Med-to-large commercial rooftops have biggest share of Germany’s total installed capacity Munich Trade Fair (Germany), 2.1 MWp Completed Nov 2002

  8. Residential + small commercial rooftops are Germany’s biggest segment by numbers

  9. 99.8% of 2010 systems <1MWp each81% of 2010 installed capacity <1MWp/project German market 2010249’504 systems installed German market 20107.4GWp capacity installed Chart data: Bundesnetzagentur (www.bundesnetzagentur.de/cln_1911/DE/Sachgebiete/ElektrizitaetGas/ErneuerbareEnergienGesetz/VerguetungssaetzePhotovoltaik_Basepage.html)

  10. 99.8% of 2011 systems <1MWp each76% of 2011 installed capacity <1MWp/project German market 2011 (YTD09)128’528 systems installed German market 2011 (YTD09)3.4GWp capacity installed Chart data: Bundesnetzagentur (www.bundesnetzagentur.de/cln_1911/DE/Sachgebiete/ElektrizitaetGas/ErneuerbareEnergienGesetz/VerguetungssaetzePhotovoltaik_Basepage.html)

  11. Rooftop PV makes better use of infrastructure Central PV power plants Generate power remotely from demand Higher transmission losses Often require dedicated, new transmission lines Very poor capacity utilisation of T&D (max 20%) Help maintain end-of line voltage But distributed rooftop PV is less effective without a stable grid 11 Distributed rooftop PV • Generate power at the point of consumption • No T&D losses • Unburden existing T&D • Postpone investment in upgrading T&D • Help to stabilise LV grid

  12. Feed in tariff policy is better for rooftop market Feed-in-tariff system Build plant, connect to grid Everyone can participate, so long as basic criteria met More scope to grow market Much faster installation Open “chequebook” for govt 12 PPA system Secure PPA, build plant Only those who manage to secure PPA can participate Market growth limited to PPA awarded Slower project cycles Costs are controlled for govt

  13. Experience curve is approaching grid parity Historical technology learning curve

  14. Programmed 5% annual FiT decline More drastic intervention German rooftop FiTs dropped by 70% in 8 yrs Quarterly FiTs for 30-100kWp rooftop systems

  15. Retail electricity Solar electricity Wholesale electricity As grid parity approaches, subsidy cost declines • As turnkey system costs decline, the gap between LCOE and electricity tariffs closes rapidly -> subsidy budget caters for bigger market • Rooftop PV should achieve grid parity (vs retail tariff) before solar farms (vs wholesale tariff)

  16. Photovoltaics – powering the future, today. Christophe.inglin@PhoenixSolar.sg Tel +65-6511 9339

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