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Tonight’s Agenda

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Tonight’s Agenda

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  1. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

  2. Tonight’s Agenda • Election Results • Market Recap • More Apple Trouble • The Looming Fiscal Cliff • Investment Competition Prizes

  3. Top 3 Obama ETF Plays

  4. Recap- Obama Picks • US Healthcare Sector (IYH) • Obamacare will expand ttoal demand for healthcare services. • Global Alternative energy (GEX) • SPDR Gold (GLD)

  5. Health Care Outlook • Study by National Academies’ Institute of Medicine found unnecessary and overpriced treatments and paper-pushing are causing the U.S. to overpay for health care by $750 billion a year. • Investors need to favor companies whose goods and services can reduce overall health care costs (for example, by speeding patient recovery times).

  6. Attractive Stocks in the Industry • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) makes surgical robots that help doctors operate with smaller incisions, shortening hospital stays. • Varian Medical is a medical equipment maker that makes radiation machines that precisely target tumors to improve treatment times. • Cerner is an information-technology provider with a system to digitize patient records, reducing paperwork and helping doctors coordinate care.

  7. 10YR Treasury Down huge

  8. S&P Recap: 2.4%

  9. Post election Market Drop

  10. 6 month S&P Chart- Below 200 day Moving Avg.

  11. Longer TermChart

  12. Apple Down 20% since IPhone 5 Release

  13. 11/4 meeting- AppleClosed below 200 day Moving Average on Friday $576-11/2

  14. Apple down nearly 7% for Week $547-11/9

  15. Fri23 Nov. 2 | 8:30 AM ET As Apple goes…..so goes the Market?

  16. Apple Weight Recap: • Look to $525 as next key support level to gauge direction. • Strong IPHONE 5 and IPAD mini sales could help Apple rebound.

  17. Possible U.S. Downgrade

  18. Fiscal Cliff Recap • Automatic tax increases, spending cuts, and corresponding reduction in the deficit set to go into effect Jan.2013 • 19.6% increase in taxes • 2013 Deficit would be cut in half. • U.S. GDP would decrease by roughly 3%, sending us into a Recession.

  19. Class Warfare- Tax Divide

  20. Debt Problem at Center • U.S. Debt Now at 16 Trillion. • Last 4 Deficits have been over 1 Trill. For first time ever • Debt to GDP ratio approaching 100%

  21. U.S. Historical Debt to GDP

  22. A Million, A billion, A trillion? If you Counted backward, then: 1 million seconds= 12 Days ago 1 Billion= 31 Years ago 1 Trillion= 30,000 B.C. So Current Debt takes us back to 480,000 B.C.

  23. Another Way to measure 16 Trill. Age of universe= ? 14.6 Billion years old U.S. Debt at 16 Trillion is…. U.S. debt is 1,000 times the age of the Universe!

  24. Global Debt Trends

  25. Beware The Real Fiscal Cliff

  26. Investment Competition Winners Top 5 portfolio balances will be awarded

  27. Investment Competition Prizes • 1st place: IPAD Mini

  28. Investment Competition Prizes • 2nd place: Beats by Dre Headphones

  29. Investment Competition Prizes • 3rd Place: Apple TV

  30. Investment Competition Prizes • 4th place: 75 dollar Gift card

  31. Investment Competition Prizes • 5th place: $25 Gift Card

  32. Investment Competition Prizes • Last place: Free entry to Spring Competition.

  33. Dec 2nd- Last Meeting of the Semester!

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