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Some preliminaries Global state of affairs Post-2015 Agenda

Some preliminaries Global state of affairs Post-2015 Agenda. Poverty & hunger Primary education Gender equality Child mortality Maternal health HIV/Aids, malaria & TB Environment Global partnership. Poverty & hunger -50% Primary education full

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Some preliminaries Global state of affairs Post-2015 Agenda

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  1. Somepreliminaries Global state of affairs Post-2015 Agenda

  2. Poverty & hunger • Primary education • Gender equality • Child mortality • Maternal health • HIV/Aids, malaria & TB • Environment • Global partnership

  3. Poverty & hunger -50% Primary education full Gender equality full Child mortality -66% Maternal health -75% HIV/Aids, malaria & TB Environment -50% Global partnership

  4. GlobalU5MR Global NER 100 34 2015

  5. MDGs are collective targets, based on global trends of 1970s & 1980s They are hardest to achieve for countries with low initial HD They represent ends, not means. Good servants, bad masters

  6. Global state of affairs

  7. All developing countries +10 +10 +13 +10 -11 -3.5

  8. Global MDG scorecard (as of 2010) 1990 2010 2015

  9. Sub-Saharan Africa +9 (+10) +23 (+10) +19 (+13) +3 (+10) -7 (-11) -5.3 (-3.5)

  10. “African poverty and stagnation is the greatest tragedy of our time.” Blair Commission for Africa, 2005 “We seek to confirm, not to question, our ideas” Don't Believe Everything You Think The 6 Basic Mistakes We Make in Thinking Thomas Kida, 2006

  11. “The world has met some important targets–ahead of the deadline.” UN, 2012 “They use statistics as drunken men use lamp posts – for support rather than for illumination.” Andrew Lang Scottish poet 1844-1912

  12. MDG 8: Global Partnership Debt relief ODA Trade policy & patent laws Passing grade Retake exam

  13. Official development assistance

  14. MDG 8: Global Partnership Debt relief ODA Trade policy & patent laws Passing grade Retake exam Failing grade

  15. MDG 8: Global Partnership Debt relief ODA Trade policy & patent laws Passing grade Retake exam Failing grade

  16. www.cartoonmovement.com

  17. Storyline since 1990 • Progress has continued • But it is slowing down • Much of it bypasses the poor; inequalities Is it inequality, stupid?

  18. Inequality in OECD countries Gini coefficients for late 1980s to late 2000s Up: 17 countries Same: 3 countries Down: 2 countries

  19. High inequalities have a price – slower growth, more instability, less efficiency. • They hurt everyone, also those at top. • The way the economic pie is cut has a bearing on its size. • What matters is not only how affluent a country is but also how equal it is. • There is such thing as ‘too much inequality’.

  20. What did philosophers say about inequality? • Adam Smith/Karl Marx

  21. Does the free market corrode moral character? • Categorical ‘No’ • Rick Santorum – No. • Qinglian He – No. • Jadish Bagwati – To the contrary. • Ayaan Hirsi Ali – Not at all. • Nuanced ‘No’ • Tyler Cowen – No, on balance. • Michael Novak – No! And, well, yes. • Garry Kasparov – Yes, but… • Bernard-Henri Levy – Certainly. Or does it?

  22. ‘It depends’ • John Gray – It depends. • John Bogle – It all depends. • ‘Yes’ • Kay Hymowitz – Yes, too often. • Michael Walzer – Of course it does. • Robert Reich – We’d better not know. www.templeton.org/markets

  23. “To feel for others and little for ourselves, to restrain our selfishness and exercise our benevolent affections, constitute the perfection of human nature.” Adam Smith 1723-90

  24. What did philosophers say about inequality? • Adam Smith/Karl Marx • John Rawls/Ayn Rand

  25. MDGs = MindingDevelopmentGaps

  26. Post-2015 Agenda

  27. CAFOD survey, 104 people from civil society organisations in 26 countries • ¾ see the MDGs as a ‘good thing’ • nearly 90% want a similar agenda post-2015

  28. UNECA survey, 112 representatives from government, civil society and academia in 32 African countries. “Overwhelming majority agrees: MDGs are important priorities for our countries They should feature in the post-2015 agenda.”

  29. Why had the MDGs such staying power? Clear Concise Measurable

  30. Potential pitfalls • Overload • Prescription • Donorship

  31. How to select new targets? • Does it concern an end or a means? • Is concept clear? • Can it be objectively measured?

  32. Points for discussion • Universality • Sustainability • Inequality • Human rights • Global vs. national targets

  33. “A designer knows he has reached perfection, not when there is nothing left to add, but when there is nothing left to take away.” Antoine de Saint-Exupéry

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