FANRPAN REGIONAL POLICY DIALOGUE MAPUTO 01 SEPT 2009

1. CLIMATE CHANGE OUTPUTS FANRPAN REGIONAL POLICY DIALOGUE MAPUTO 01 SEPT 2009

2. OUTLINE • Introduction • Project Overview – description, partners, expected products, goals, and road maps • Major achievements • Strategies going forward

3. RISING AVERAGE TEMPARATURES Source: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/

4. … could increase much more Source: Figure 10.4 in Meehl, et al. (2007) Page 4

5. FANRPAN CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTS OVERVIEW Project Description: • BMZ/GTZ: Rural Adaptation Strategies – CC impact of agriculture • COMESA: Africa wide civil society climate change initiative for policy dialogues (ACCID) Project Partners: BMZ/GTZ: FANRPAN, ASARECA, PIK, ZALF & IFPRI COMESA: Norwegian, SDC, African Govts, CSOs Expected products: BMZ/GTZ: Global change scenarios - Changes in climate, land use, socio-economic factors, and alternative policies; typology of production systems - integrates biophysical and socio-economic factors; household-level impact and response matrix; micro-level adaptation case studies; and policy decision framework tools COMESA: strengthening policy engagement and visibility on CC Africa debate; establishment of coordination and documentation of Climate Change communication tools

6. FANRPAN CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTS OVERVIEW Project goals: BMZ/GTZ - where should adaptation policies/programs be targeted; what kinds of adaptations might be cost-effective and pro-poor; and methods and tools for policy-makers to evaluate options COMESA: mobilize and align CSOs to national and regional Govts towards a common position on Africa Climate Change solution Road maps: BMZ/GTZ • Year 1 - Identify locations where adaptation is likely to be needed and poorest affected; Typology development; review adaptation options • Year 2 - case studies of adaptation options and alternatives/household level impact and response matrix • Year 3 - Development of policy decision framework/tools; project outcomes meetings COMESA: COP (14), Poznan, Poland; Carbon Fund for Africa; COMESA Ministers of Agric. & Environ meeting; Active CSOs Platform for CC; launch and regular update (weekly news digest) of ACCID website: www.africaclimatesolution.org; climate change information library; and ACCID database

7. Major Achievements BMZ/GTZ: Established access to secondary data and creating linkages with scientists and analysts – availability, accessibility of data set and linkages with scientists and researchers Project implementation partners identified in Eastern and Southern Africa Planning Workshop - 46 participants attended the project planning workshop from Eastern and Southern Africa Household Vulnerability Index (HVI) data collected in Lesotho, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe Project review workshop, Bonn, Germany several general circulation models for the SRES A2 scenario have been downscaled for Sub Saharan Africa. These downscaled climate data are combined with local soil data and information on where crops are grown to model the effects of climate change on crop yields. The productivity effects are included in IFPRI’s IMPACT model of world agricultural production, consumption and trade. Second, a literature review on climate change adaptation in Sub-Saharan Africa has been completed and due to be published Compiling a compendium of country positions on climate change as well as analysis on national action plan on climate change for selected countries in the region

8. Major Achievements COMESA: Participated and facilitated over twenty (20) policy engagements at sub-regional, continental and global level Successfully lobbied and secure endorsement on Common Africa Position of Climate Change (African climate solution) at African Union and COMESA Heads of State level Extended partners and civil society mobilization to organizations in Eastern and Central Africa ACCID stakeholders database with over 7,000 entries and a dedicated website: www.africaclimatesolution.org Launch climate change readers digest Participated in all UNFCCC pre-Copenhagen processes

9. Strategies Going Forward GBMZ/GTZ: IFPRI and PIK to independently prepare initial set of locations in Sub-Saharan Africa where climate change effects are likely to be more severe Combine data on climate, policy, and socio-economic changes to produce a limited set of scenarios for global change to feed into analytical component of the project Development and integration of modeling efforts Identification of country research sites for specific case studies Project workshop to be hosted by ASARECA in Maputo, October 2009 Follow actions with regards to guidelines on data for modellers Criteria and guidelines for sharing data and selecting specific case studies to be developed

10. Strategies Going Forward COMESA: Profiling and show casing of sustainable land use management and conservation farming projects Dialogues and engagements with policy processes on climate change - FANRPAN to organise COMESA-ACCID national dialogues in selected COMESA-EAC-SADC countries Preparation and mobilization for Copenhagen –Bangkok (October 09), Barcelona (November 09), and Copenhagen (December 09)

11. Website: www.fanrpan.org Thank you