GECAFS Implementation, Management and Funding

1. GECAFS Implementation, Management and Funding

2. GECAFS Implementation GECAFS will be implemented in four main ways • Regional research projects • Vulnerability studies • Scenario development • Integrative studies

3. Initial GECAFS Projects • Indo-Gangetic Plain food system • Caribbean food system • Pacific coastal fisheries • Southern Africa livestock-maize food system • Vulnerability science • Scenario development

4. GECAFS Project on the Indo-Gangetic Plain Food System •  The IGP food system is both threatened by GEC (esp. climate variability) and contributes to further GEC “forcing”. • In the face of increased climate variability, regional policy requirements are to develop strategies that: • sustain/boost agricultural production and diversification while limiting further environmental degradation • promote food provision systems which alleviate poverty and improve socioeconomic conditions for the more vulnerable • encourage reduced intra-regional and ruralurban labour migration  Research needs to recognise marked socioeconomic and biophysical differences across the region.

5. GECAFS Regional Research Projects • Based on a strongly interdisciplinary approach and include all 3 GECAFS Science Themes • Designed to improve regional-level policy formulation for increasing preparedness and reducing vulnerability to GEC • Address issues identified in consultation with regional policy makers and the regional and international science and donor communities • Maintain close links between researchers and end-users in project design, implementation and reporting & interpretation • Develop research agendas of equal interest to development and science agencies

6. IGP Eastern Region • low productivity – food deficit region • poor infrastructure and low inputs of fertilizer and water • high risk of flooding • out-migration of labour • Example GECAFS Issues • Theme 1: How will climate variability and associated changes in flooding affect food provision? • Theme 2: What are the institutional and market opportunities, social constraints and technical options for diversifying crops to make more effective use of flood and groundwater (e.g. deep-water rice, aquaculture)? • Theme 3: How would diversification effect rural incomes, labour migration, water quality and regional biodiversity?

7. IGP Western Region • high productivity – food surplus region • high investment in infrastructure • major use of fertilisers and ground-water for irrigation • in-migration of labour • Example GECAFS Issues • Theme 1: How will climate variability affect change in water demand in IGP food systems? • Theme 2: How can changes in water management (e.g. though policy instruments and/or agronomic aspects) reduce vulnerability of rice-wheat productivity to climate variability? • Theme 3: What will be the consequences of changed water management on rural livelihoods, intra-regional trade, GHG emissions and water tables?

8. GECAFS IGP Research Areas • assessment of vulnerability • policy needs and responses • scenario development • institutional analysis • food provision system development • socioeconomic and environmental feedbacks • data management and GIS development • water management policy • carbon management policy

9. Example GECAFS Research Products • Indices of human vulnerability based on a combined socioeconomic-biophysical approach. • Comprehensive scenarios of future socioeconomic and environmental conditions. • Region-specific recommendations on the institutional and technological factors that can reduce societal vulnerability to GEC. • Quantitative methods for assessing the environmental and socioeconomic tradeoffs of scenario-based adaptations to food systems.

10. CGIAR & NARS GECAFS FAO IIASA WMO MA GECAFS interactions with Sponsoring Programmes and Strategic Partners example collaborations in grey

11.  GECAFS Management • Scientific Advisory Committee (15) • Executive Committee Chair (ex officio; Chair) • Executive Committee Vice-Chair (ex officio; Vice-Chair) • Executive Officer (ex officio; Secretary) • 12 individuals invited from (i) international science, (ii) strategic-partner and (iii) donor communities (in a liaison capacity). • 2. Executive Committee (6) • Chair • Vice-Chair • Executive Officer (ex officio, Secretary) • and one rep. from each of the sponsoring Programmes. • Executive Officer • supported by an International Project Office

12. GECAFS Funding Overview • Research Project funds • GECAFS vulnerability science • Developing comprehensive scenarios • GECAFS regional projects (regional coordinators; commissioned reviews and studies; data gathering; synthesis workshops; publications) • Integrative studies Coordination funds • Scientific Advisory Cmmtt and Exec Cmmtt travel and admin • IPO costs (staff, travel, communications, admin) • Integration and networking fund

13. GECAFS Funding Planning Phase: 2001-02 General planning and IPO establishment ca. £200,000 NERC, ICSU, IGBP, IHDP, WCRP, US-NAS, FRN-Sweden, Research Council of Norway Regional Project Planning ca. £150,000 USAID, DFID, NOAA, IAI

14. GECAFS will build on UK research investment, e.g.: NERC:TIGER Programme: hydrology; GHG emissions; VBD; biodiversity…; Coordination of IGBP-agroecology & -fisheries research, and WCRP-CLIVAR ESRC: GEC Programme: institutional analyses; vulnerability; … BBSRC: impacts on crops, pests and diseases; SOM dynamics; … Tyndall Centre:adaptation studies, agent-based approaches;… Royal Society: GER Committee FCO/DEFRA: Climate Change Challenge Fund DfID: Environment Policy Dept; Rural Livelihoods Dept;… UK contributions to Framework Programme, GEF and CGIAR

15. GECAFS “Distinguishing Features” • A robust framework for novel, interdisciplinary approaches to GEC research that examines vulnerability to impacts, adaptations and feedbacks. • A problem-oriented, policy-relevant approach which can bring together the GEC and Development agendas, and their donor communities. • A design for analyses at regional and sub-regional levels which will help develop effective policy to protect vulnerable sections of society. • A methodology which allows an analysis of trade-offs between managing resources for both food provision and environment.