Seismology in developing countries, does it make sense ?

1. Seismology in developing countries, does it make sense ? J. Havskov

2. Introduction • University of Bergen has been involved in many seismological network projects, training workshops etc, mostly in developing countries • We have had an international MSc and PhD program in seismology for 20 years training seismologists from many developing countries • We have helped to develop low cost hardware and software

3. Why seismology • High risk countries: They have a real problem with high seismicity, volcanic eruptions and obviously need to know about the risks involved and to be able to advice the public • Low risk countries: • Enhanced knowledge of seismology and other fields in science is always a benefit • Encourage international cooperation • Local knowledge of seismology will help understand problems related to oil exploration, effects of dams, landslides etc

4. Why seismology II • Seismology is just one type of science but it relates to something many people have experienced and there is therefore a need for local ‘experts’ to explain to the public • For volcanic monitoring, it is a simple way of forecasting eruptions

5. Seismic and volcanic activity in many developing countries Plate boundaries, earthquakes (yellow) and volcanoes (red)

6. Basic seismology • The main purpose of a seismic network is to: • Record earthquakes with seismic stations • Find the location of the earthquake • Calculate the magnitude of the earthquake • Process and store the data for further scientific analysis

7. Seismic sensor Principle behind the inertial seismometer

8. Seismic sensors Geophone, $ 100 Accelerometer, $3000 Broad band sensor, $15000

9. Geophone recording Magnitude 5.5 earthquake at 300 km distance

10. Location

11. Magnitude The simplest way of determining magnitude of a local earthquake is to measure the maximum amplitude (nm) on a displacement seismogram. A more general way is to make the displacement density spectrum of the P or S-waves. The magnitude can be determined from the spectral level.

12. Requirement to run a network • Basic technical skills to physically operate network • Seismological knowledge to process the data and inform the public • Money • People interested in running the network

13. Software • Important to use a free, well tested software that can do all the routine operations required by the network of which the most important is: Local and global locations, calculate common magnitudes, correct for instrument response and store the data in a systematic way. • The software should be able to be used on common computer platforms and use common formats. • Training should be available

14. Equipment • Before buying equipment, make sure main purpose of network is clear and that the funding for installation, operation and training is in place • For a new network, the main purpose will be location and magnitude and there is no need for sophisticated instrumentation, simple and reliable is the main aim • There will often be a push to install a broad band network, however accelerometers might do as well i order to get unclipped data, at a substantial lower price

15. Seismic field recorders Geosig, ca $2000 with sensor Nanometrics, ca $10 000 without sensor SARA ca $2000 with sensor

16. US volcano disaster assistance program

17. Tibet tectonics

18. Tibet project purpose • Build and maintain a seismic network around Lhasa • Locate earthquakes and determine magnitude. • Advise the public about earthquakes occurring in the area. • Advise public authorities on all aspects of the local seismic risk and give general advice on earthquake related problems. • Calculate seismic hazard • Teach basic seismology and geophysics. • Build up a local database for research

19. Tibet station Seismicity near Lhasa 2008. The number of recordings for this period is more than 2128, while 1837 of them fall in the above region. The stations are marked with blue. A typical installation. The sensor to the left (small gray box), and the digitizer to the right.

20. Tibet monastery with seismic station

21. Lhasa station

22. The Wenchuan earthquake (M8) record by Tibet University

23. The magnitude 5.5 Tibet earthquake of 25 of August, 2004

24. Seismic hazard for Africa From USGS

25. Uganda • Uganda got a UNESCO grant to build one analog three component analog station in Entebbe, ca 1988. • At this relatively high noise site, only few event could potentially be detected form the seismic area in the rift valley. • For the same money 4 MEQ800 was bought instead, and 3 were installed, one was used as a spare. Local operators took care of the field stations. It was now possible to locate events and calculate magnitude. • This network operated successfully more than 10 years (later with addition of digital stations) by the geological Survey of Uganda.

26. Sudan Sudan seismicity Network around Khartoum

27. 1990 -1991 earthquakes One of the largest earthquakes ever recorded in Africa (surface wave magnitude Ms = 7.2) on 20 May 1990. Four days later, two more large earthquakes (Ms = 6.4 and 7.0) occurred about 50 kilometers from the first event The earthquakes are associated with two fault systems: one east of the Nile with azimuth southeast and one along the Nile Valley with azimuth north-northeast. The activity alternated between the two fault systems

28. Sudan earthquakes 1900-2005 Data available at the International Seismic Center, ISC

29. Department of Earth Science, Geodynamics Group Department of Earth Science, Geodynamics Group www.geo.uib.no Juba Campus

30. Juba Geo-science lab • Purpose: Enhance knowledge in geo-science • The Juba geo-science lab will consists of 4 elements • Geology • Meteorology • Seismology • Physics • The lab will have the following functions: • Collect data on a daily basis for meteorology, seismology and physics (UV radiation) • Do teaching in basic geo-science covering all 4 fields • Regular public relation activity • Regular visits of schools • General information of recent earthquakes in the region • Meteorological information

31. Department of Earth Science, Geodynamics Group Department of Earth Science, Geodynamics Group www.geo.uib.no

32. Nigeria Nigeria’s main objective To create a database of the seismicity of Nigeria and neighboring countries To exchange data with countries To use collected data for realistic earthquake hazard assessment To acquire continuous seismic data However: No software or training was given from company delivering hardware.

33. Earthquake creation ! • Small Gulf country gets a turnkey system with broad band stations, high technology. • Local company does all maintenance so network operates well. • Instrument company provides simple software for local earthquakes, but many events are global so they are located inside country, suddenly the country has a lot of seismicity ! • Clear example of too little money for • training, compared to instruments. School class visit

34. Jamaica

35. Venezuela, Cumana Small local network, mostly free software and some non commercial hardware

36. How it can go wrong • Large company delivers network • System installed with licensed software • License runs out, not money for renewal • Not enough local training to take over operation with free software • Lesson: Too much money for too sophisticated equipment and no contract to make sure the data actually comes out the other end finally processed. The customer should have started with the processing-people end and then seen what was needed in terms of equipment. And instrument company might have painted their equipment and automatic processing it bet too rosy.

37. Seismological imperialism • International organization installs one or several seismic station in a country with little seismological expertise, either as a permanent station or a temporary network • Data is transmitted directly to donor country and local access to the data either, nonexistent, offline or unreasonably complicated • If software is provided for local use, it is often quite useless and made to ‘have done the duty’. The result is that local use of the data is very limited. • Lessons learned: • If outside organizations offer to set up a local stations with real time transmission to their organization, make sure the operation includes: • Complete local access to data • A simple way to find and extract out local data • Clear guidelines and training in how to use the data and be able in a simple way of integrating it with possible local data.

38. Regional cooperation • Some countries too small or have too few stations to make reliable locations • Regional cooperation will then help to: • Provide more data • Provide help in operation and processing • Increase the awareness of the value of sharing which often is a problem in developing countries • In some regions, it can be politically difficult to share data and experience.

39. East African Stations, 1992 Stations and countries cooperating in seismology in 1993 Dindi et al, 1995, SRL 85, 364

40. East African Seismic Network seismicity PDE 5, EAF 70 Det. threshold 4.6 to 4.0

41. Central America Seismic stations (138) in Central America, May 1998 Alvarenga et al, 1998, SRL 69

42. Central American seismicity, mb > 4.5, 1992-1997

43. Central America • Main purpose was to improve network operations by making the best of existing infrastructure, set up regional cooperation and provide training. • Limited new station equipment: Three new broad band sensors. One accelerometer to each country. • Training was provided before any installation • Data from all countries collected in one data base • Duration of project: 10 years • Supported by the Norwegian Development Agency

44. Conclusion • Seismology benefits: • Gives good training in data collection and processing, we do not run out of earthquakes ! • Enhances regional and global cooperation • Can provide useful information to the public • A local seismological data base will make research possible • However, make sure: • There are local people interested • Resources is spent mainly on education and training • Avoid overkill in equipment purchases, upgrade existing equipment if possible