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MPU April 2009

MPU April 2009. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Note. The uncertainty interval does not take into account the zero interest rate bound. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change.

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MPU April 2009

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  1. MPU April 2009

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. The uncertainty interval does not take into account the zero interest rate bound.

  3. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. The broken line represents the main scenario forecast.

  4. Figure 3. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  5. Figure 4. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  6. Figure 5. UnemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  7. Figure 6. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  8. Figure 7. CPI Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  9. Figure 8. CPI, CPIF and CPIXAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  10. Figure 9. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  11. Figure 10. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Real repo rate is calculated using the Riksbank’s one-year inflation forecasts.

  12. Figure 11. TCW-weighted exchange rateIndex, 18.11.92 = 100 Source: The Riksbank

  13. Figure 12. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel, futures price Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  14. Figure 13. GDP for the USA and the euro areaQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  15. Figure 14. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  16. Table 1. Inflation, annual averageAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis.

  17. Table 2. Inflation, 12-month averageAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis.

  18. Table 3. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly average values Source: The Riksbank Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis.

  19. Table 4. Summary of financial forecasts, annual averagePer cent, unless otherwise specified * Per cent of GDP Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis.

  20. Table 5. International conditionsAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank

  21. Table 6. GDP by expenditureAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified *Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis.

  22. Table 7. Production and employmentAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise stated * Procent av arbetskraften Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: Employment Service, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  23. Table 8. Wages and unit labour cost for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified, calendar-adjusted data * Contribution to the increase in labour costs, percentage points Note: The assessment in MPR in April 2009 is stated in parenthesis. Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

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