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EXP 482 Corporate Financial Policy

EXP 482 Corporate Financial Policy. Clifford W. Smith, Jr. Winter 2007 Overhead 2 * Covers readings on course outline through Barclay/Smith/Watts (1997). M/M (1958). D. E. M/M (1958). D. E. Historical Evidence. From Barclay/Smith/Watts (1997). Relaxing the M/M Assumptions.

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EXP 482 Corporate Financial Policy

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  1. EXP 482 Corporate Financial Policy Clifford W. Smith, Jr. Winter 2007 Overhead 2 * Covers readings on course outline through Barclay/Smith/Watts (1997)

  2. M/M (1958) D E

  3. M/M (1958) D E

  4. Historical Evidence From Barclay/Smith/Watts (1997)

  5. Relaxing the M/M Assumptions Interest payments to bondholders are deductible for tax purposes while payments to equity holders are not.

  6. Corporate Tax Liabilities Tc D E M/M (1963)

  7. Taxes and Bankruptcy Costs Tc BC E D Kraus/Litzenberger (1973)

  8. Bankruptcy Costs • Warner examined the bankruptcies of 11 railroads to estimate the costs of bankruptcy. • The bankruptcy proceedings typically lasted many years. The average was 13 years, and the longest was 23 years. • On average these firms spent approximately $2 million on the bankruptcy proceedings

  9. -5 0 T Time T  T=0 BCt (BC = $2 million) BC = BCBC V0V-7 = 5.3% = 1.0% Measuring Bankruptcy Costs We can measure the bankruptcy costs in relation to firm value at various points in time 0 - Filing date T - Settlement date (T = 13 years)

  10. Taxes and Bankruptcy Costs • Merton Miller • A case of horse and rabbit stew • Analysis so far ignores personal taxes and the effect of issuing debt on the equilibrium in the bond market

  11. Miller's Debt and Taxes • Both corporations and individuals pay taxes. • When corporations pay interest on debt, they reduce their own taxes, but increase the taxes of individuals. • Ultimately, the corporation must bear all of the taxes associated with its activities either directly, or indirectly through higher required rates of return on the securities that it issues.

  12. Corporate and Personal Taxes Tc Tp D E Miller (1977)

  13. DeAngelo and Masulis Debt and Taxes As corporations increase their debt, they reduce the probability that they will pay the highest marginal tax rate and be able to fully utilize all tax credits and deductions. Zero taxes, deductions not fully utilized Positive taxes, tax credits not fully utilized Taxes paid at the highest marginal rate Default Income

  14. DeAngelo and Masulis Debt and Taxes In equilibrium, there is an optimal capital structure for the economy as a whole and for each individual firm.

  15. DeAngelo and Masulis Debt and Taxes • In equilibrium, there is an optimal capital structure for the economy as a whole and for each individual firm • Optimal leverage • - - • B/V = B/V(tax credits, non-interest deductions • - - + - • s2, BC, tc, tp)

  16. What's Wrong With This Story? • Large industrial firms with many physical assets typically have many noninterest deductions (like depreciation), large tax credits (the investment tax credit), and also high leverage. • Firms with high dividend yields (like regulated utilities) typically have high leverage.

  17. The DeAngelo/Masulis Capital Structure Model with Taxes • Holding other things constant, the logic of the model is sound; it provides useful information about optimal capital structure. • The problem is that there are important variables that are not included in the model. As we examine firms in the real world, there seems to be important determinants of capital structure that are not captured by this model.

  18. The Effect of Capital Structure on Real Investment Decisions • The owner of an all equity firm will take all positive NPV projects to maximize firm value. • When a firm has both debt and equity, the debt and equity holders sometimes disagree about the optimal investment policy. • Since equity holders have ultimate authority over investment decisions, we have to be concerned about how adding debt to the capital structure affects equity holders' investment incentives.

  19. Agency Theory • Jensen and Meckling • An agency relationship is a contract under which one or more persons (the principal) engage another person (the agent) to perform some service on their behalf which involves delegating some decision making authority to the agent. • Often there is a blurred distinction between the principal and the agent • Agent responds to incentives and will not always act in the best interests of the principal

  20. Agency Theory Jensen and Meckling provide a definition of agency costs that divides these costs into their individual components:

  21. Agency Monitoring Bonding Residual Costs Costs Costs Loss = + + Agency Theory Jensen and Meckling provide a definition of agency costs that divides these costs into their individual components:

  22. Agency Monitoring Bonding Residual Costs Costs Costs Loss Out-of-Pocket Costs Agency Theory Jensen and Meckling provide a definition of agency costs that divides these costs into their individual components: = + +

  23. Opportunity Costs Agency Theory Jensen and Meckling provide a definition of agency costs that divides these costs into their individual components: Agency Monitoring Bonding Residual Costs Costs Costs Loss = + + Out-of-Pocket Costs

  24. Agency Theory • Before Jensen and Meckling, it was common to focus only on the out-of-pocket costs (M/M theory focused on fixed investment policy) • Contracts affect incentives for current and future investments • Private incentives exist within the contracting process for the firm to maximize its current market value as well as the "welfare" of society

  25. Share- holders Lessors Lessees Board of Directors Firm Suppliers Managers Customers Employees Bond- holders The Nexus of Contracts Theory of the Firm

  26. Share- holders Lessors Lessees Board of Directors Firm Suppliers Managers Customers Employees Bond- holders The Nexus of Contracts Theory of the Firm

  27. Conflicts of Interest + - + + + + V = E(V, F, T, σ², r, DIV) + + - - - - + B(V, F, T, σ², r, DIV) Dividend payout Claim dilution Asset substitution Underinvestment

  28. A Simple Example • Assume that capital markets are competitive and that the appropriate discount rate for all cash flows is zero. • There are no taxes or transactions costs. Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100

  29. A Simple Example • Assume that capital markets are competitive and that the appropriate discount rate for all cash flows is zero. • There are no taxes or transactions costs. Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 = 100 B – -75 100 = 25

  30. A Simple Example • Assume that capital markets are competitive and that the appropriate discount rate for all cash flows is zero. • There are no taxes or transactions costs. • Dividends can be paid in a period so long as that period's promised payment to the bondholders is made first. Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 = 100 B – -75 100 = 25 Bond ? -20 -100

  31. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 = 100 B – -75 100 = 25 Bond 120 -20 -100

  32. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 120 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 70 5 50 = 125

  33. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 120 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 70 5 50 = 125 DIV (A-) 70 80 – = 150

  34. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 120 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 70 5 50 = 125 DIV (A-) 70 80 – = 150

  35. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond ? -20 -100

  36. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 70 -20 -100

  37. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 70 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 20 5 50 = 75

  38. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 70 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 20 5 50 = 75 DIV (A-) 20 80 – = 100

  39. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 120 -20 -100 DIV (A&B) 70 5 50 = 125 DIV (A-) 20 80 – = 100

  40. A Simple Example Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond ? -20 -100

  41. The Underinvestment Problem • Do I want to issue this bond? • Who bears the agency costs of increased leverage in this case? In general? • Equity holders have strong incentives to structure debt contractsin a way that minimizes the adverse incentive costs.

  42. Less Leverage Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond ? -10 -50

  43. Less Leverage Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 60 -10 -50

  44. Less Leverage Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 60 -10 -50 DIV (A&B) 10 15 100 = 125

  45. Less Leverage Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 60 -10 -50 DIV (A&B) 10 15 100 = 125 DIV (A-) 10 90 – = 100

  46. Less Leverage Time NPV Project 0 1 2 A -50 100 50 B – -75 100 Bond 60 -10 -50 DIV (A&B) 10 15 100 = 125 DIV (A-) 10 90 – = 100

  47. Which Bond Do I Want to Issue? • High Leverage • Bond 70 -20 -100 • DIV(A -) 20 80 – = 100 • Low Leverage • Bond 60 -10 -50 • DIV(A+B) 10 15 100 = 125

  48. Investment Opportunity Set Assets in Place Growth Opportunities Cost of Debt Low High (Underinvestment) Predicted Leverage High Low

  49. Benchmarking Corporate Leverage Impact on Leverage Growth Options (Merck) Lower

  50. From Barclay/Smith/Watts (1997)

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