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Using administrative registers in sample surveys. European Conference on Quality in Of fi cial Statistics 3 - 6 May 2010 Kaja Sõstra Statistics Estonia. Outline. Administrative data are used during different stages of sample survey: establishing the survey frame sample design
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Using administrative registers in sample surveys European Conference on Quality in Official Statistics 3-6 May 2010 Kaja Sõstra Statistics Estonia
Outline • Administrative data are used during different stages of sample survey: • establishing the survey frame • sample design • pre-filling of survey questionnaire • calculating weights • imputation • small area estimation
Statistical registers • Statistics Estonia has two main statistical registers based mainly on administrative sources: • Statistical business register • Commercial register • Register of taxable persons • other registers • Statistical register of agricultural holdings • Register of agricultural support and land parcels • Register of taxable persons
Sample design (1) • Samples for surveys of economical units are selected every year in November • Administrative data is used for • Stratification (economic activity, size class) • Sample allocation (turnover, number of employees) • Detection of outliers
Sample selection (2) • Samples for household surveys are selected in the end of each year by Population Register • Statistics Estonia gives conditions for • establishing frame (age limits), • stratification (sex, age, place of residence), • sample size by stratas • Sample is drawn using stratified systematic sampling • Sample information is periodically updated by Population Register (deaths, migration)
Problems with frames • Lack of data for establishing correct frame • Immigrant population includes persons who´s parents were born abroad. Data about parents was missing for about 80% of persons • Data about institutions is missing • Incorrect contact information in Population Register – incorrect addresses cause high nonresponse and increase cost of fieldwork
Pre-filling of questionnaires • New development in Statistics Estonia • Decreases response burden, saves time of respondent • Mainly the data from previous period of the same survey is used • New developments for using administrative data: • annual bookkeeping reports for SBS from Commercial register • Data of agricultural support and land parcels
Calculation weights • Calculation weights consists of three steps • Design weight • Nonresponse adjustment weight • Calibration weight • Administrative data is used during all steps
Nonresponse adjustment • Nonresponse is increasing problem in household surveys • Usually only administrative data is known for nonrespondents • Response probability is estimated for every household or person • Design weight is adjusted according to estimated response probability
Response rates by age and sex % 100 80 60 40 20 0 15-64 65-74 75-84 15-64 65-74 75-84 Male Female Average Harju and Rapla county
Population size and survey estimates by age group, males Thousand 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 15-19 40-44 45-49 50-54 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 55-59 60-64 Population size Estimated number of persons
Calibration • Calibration of weights is a final step of weighting in all household surveys • First trial to calibrate weights of agricultural survey has done • Calibration groups in labour force survey: • Sex x 5-year age group (24 groups) • Place of residence (15 counties and capital) • Place of residence (urban, rural) • Nationality (Estonian, non-Estonian)
Imputation • Administrative data is used for cold-deck imputation • Surveys of economic units: • VAT, social insurance, annual bookkeeping reports • Household surveys • personal income tax for imputation income variables
Conclusions • Good quality of administrative registers is important to ensure quality of sample surveys • There are plans to increase use of administrative data for sample surveys in Statistics Estonia • Establishing statistical population register • Pre-filling of questionnaires • Collecting part of data from registers • Continuous development and updating administrative registers and cooperation is important for improving quality of all statistical activities
Thank you • for your attention!