DISTRIBUTIVE POLITICS SPREADSHEET

1. DISTRIBUTIVE POLITICS SPREADSHEET Supply Side Ability to Generate Political Action Supporting Interests Demand Side Benefits from Supporting Prediction Amount of Effective Political Action Cost of Organizing Substitutes Magnitude Per Capita Numbers Coverage Resources Supply Side Ability to Generate Political Action Opposing Interests Demand Side Benefits from Supporting Prediction Amount of Effective Political Action Cost of Organizing Substitutes Magnitude Per Capita Numbers Coverage Resources

2. EXAMPLE DISTRIBUTIVE POLITICS SPREADSHEETAlternative being analyzed: 3G Wireless Standards and WTO membership of China Supply Side Ability to Generate Political Action Supporting Interests Interests UWCC CDG GSMA Equipment Manufacturers Investors Demand Side Benefits from Supporting Prediction Amount of Effective Political Action little impact large moderate moderate little Cost of Organizing low low low low high Substitutes Join GSM None(?) China Operations at higher risk Other markets Higher risk Magnitude moderate large substantial large large Per Capita moderate substantial substantial substantial small Numbers few substantial large considerable small Coverage little extensive extensive extensive little Resources moderate large large large limited Supply Side Ability to Generate Political Action Opposing Interests Interests U.S. Labor Union Demand Side Benefits from Supporting Prediction Amount of Effective Political Action large Cost of Organizing low Substitutes none Magnitude substantial Per Capita moderate Numbers large (declining) Coverage extensive Resources substantial