1 / 85

A Primer for Politics in Slovakia Tim Haughton, University of Birmingham and Kevin Deegan-Krause, Wayne State Univers

A Primer for Politics in Slovakia Tim Haughton, University of Birmingham and Kevin Deegan-Krause, Wayne State University. `. Topics. `. Legal Framework How do law and constitution shape politics? Issues What is politics really about? Parties What do the main players stand for?

JasminFlorian
Télécharger la présentation

A Primer for Politics in Slovakia Tim Haughton, University of Birmingham and Kevin Deegan-Krause, Wayne State Univers

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. A Primer forPolitics in SlovakiaTim Haughton, University of Birmingham and Kevin Deegan-Krause, Wayne State University `

  2. Topics ` • Legal Framework • How do law and constitution shape politics? • Issues • What is politics really about? • Parties • What do the main players stand for? • Can they get what they want? • Coalitions • What governments could form after the 2006 election? • What are the implications for the US?

  3. Part I. ` • Legal Framework for Politics • Electoral System • Presidency • Coalition Council • Laws on Parties

  4. Legal Framework • Electoral System • One single nation-wide district • Proportional distribution of seats Share of Seats Share of Votes

  5. Legal Framework • Electoral System • One single nation-wide district • Proportional distribution of seats • But 5% threshold determines proportions Share of Seats Share of Votes

  6. Legal Framework • Electoral System • One single nation-wide district • Proportional distribution of seats • But 5% threshold determines proportions Just over 5% Share of Seats Share of Votes

  7. Legal Framework • Electoral System • One single nation-wide district • Proportional distribution of seats • But 5% threshold determines proportions Less than 5% Share of Seats Share of Votes

  8. Legal Framework • Electoral System • One single nation-wide district • Proportional distribution of seats • But 5% threshold determines proportions • Presidency • Few powers (affects appointments, limited veto) • But direct election means legitimacy • And president chooses Prime Minister designate • Coalition Council • Informal organization • But after 2002, de facto center of power • Means that party leaders need not always be members of government • Party Rules

  9. Part II. ` • Issues • Economic Reform • Integration • Nationalism and Democracy • Culture and Morals

  10. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present Nationalism CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Broader Integration

  11. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present 1990 Independent Slovakia CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Czechoslovakia

  12. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present 1992 Independent Slovakia CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Czechoslovakia

  13. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present 1994 Slovak Nationalism Authoritarianism CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Czechoslovakia/Integration Democracy

  14. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present 1998 Slovak Nationalism Authoritarianism CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Integration Democracy

  15. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present 2002 Nationalism/Euroskepticism Authoritarianism CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Integration Democracy

  16. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present Today Nationalism/Euroskepticism Authoritarianism CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Integration Democracy

  17. Issues: Shift in dominant issue, 1989-present Emerging? Nationalism/Euroskepticism Authoritarianism Church/Morality CommunismState Control Anti-Communism Free Market Cultural Freedom Integration Democracy

  18. Issues: Free Market v. State Control • The “Neoliberal” Project • Tax: flat-rate and low rates (Miklos) • Welfare: social security, pensions (Kanik) • Health: hospitals and insurance firms operate as businesses (Zajac)  • Education: university fees (Fronc)     • Justice: "Californication of Justice Policy" (Lipsic) • But specific parties have specific (and different) agendas • Agendas reflected in control of ministerial portfolios

  19. Issues:Residual Issues • Residual Anti-Integration/Nationalism • Hungarian questions • Roma questions • Residual Authoritarianism • The question of Meciar • The question of Fico

  20. Issues:Emerging Issues • Emerging Moral Issues • Abortion • Homosexuality • Emerging Cultural Issues • Admission of Turkey to the EU • Christianity in EU Constituiton

  21. Part III. ` • Parties • Importance: How much popular support? • Stability: What kind of popular support? • Organization: Who makes party decisions? • Ideology: What does the party stand for?

  22. Parties SDKU Smer SMK KSS KDH HZDS ANO SNS

  23. Parties: How popular? SDKU

  24. Parties: How popular? SDKU

  25. Parties: Who supports? SDKU Knows English Young Educated Urban Wealthy Secular Male SDKU SDKU SDKU SDKU SDKU SDKU SDKU Only Slovak Old Low Education Rural Poor Religious Female Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  26. Parties: Who decides? SDKU Leader Apparatus Membership SDKU SDKU SDKU Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  27. Parties: Who decides? SDKU Leader Apparatus Membership How unified?Splits since founding:Slobodne Forum (2003)Splinters since founding:A fewApparent factions:Residual from prior parties (DU, KDH, DS)Split/Splinter PotentialCurrently low but higher if loss of office Smer Smer Smer

  28. Parties: Where do party voters stand? SDKU Market Freedom EU/Int’l Integration Minority Rights Cultural Freedom SDKU SDKU SDKU SDKU State Control National Independence Slovak Predominance Morality Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  29. Parties: How much do issues matter? SDKU Charisma Platform Clientelism SDKU SDKU SDKU Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  30. Parties: How popular? SMK

  31. Parties: How popular? SMK

  32. Parties: Who supports? SMK Knows English Young Educated Urban Wealthy Secular Male SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK Only Slovak Old Low Education Rural Poor Religious Female Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  33. Parties: Who decides? SMK Leader Apparatus Membership SMK SMK SMK Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  34. Parties: Who decides? SMK Leader Apparatus Membership How unified?Splits since founding:NoneSplinters since founding:NoneApparent factions:Many, ideological and “regional”Split/Splinter PotentialLow as long as current electoral system continues Smer Smer Smer

  35. Parties: Where do party voters stand? SMK Market Freedom EU/Int’l Integration Minority Rights Cultural Freedom SMK SMK SMK SMK State Control National Independence Slovak Predominance Morality Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  36. Parties: How much do issues matter? SMK Charisma Platform Clientelism SMK SMK SMK Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  37. Parties: How popular? KDH

  38. Parties: How popular? KDH

  39. Parties: Who supports? KDH Knows English Young Educated Urban Wealthy Secular Male KDH KDH KDH KDH KDH KDH KDH Only Slovak Old Low Education Rural Poor Religious Female Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  40. Parties: Who decides? KDH Leader Apparatus Membership KDH KDH KDH Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  41. Parties: Who decides? KDH Leader Apparatus Membership How unified?Splits since founding:SKDH (1991), SDKU (2000)Splinters since founding:FewApparent factions:Minor, Europhiles v. EurophobesSplit/Splinter PotentialLow Smer Smer Smer

  42. Parties: Where do party voters stand? KDH Market Freedom EU/Int’l Integration Minority Rights Cultural Freedom KDH KDH KDH KDH State Control National Independence Slovak Predominance Morality Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  43. Parties: How much do issues matter? KDH Charisma Platform Clientelism KDH KDH KDH Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  44. Parties: How popular? ANO

  45. Parties: How popular? ANO

  46. Parties: Who supports? ANO Knows English Young Educated Urban Wealthy Secular Male ANO ANO ANO ANO ANO ANO ANO Only Slovak Old Low Education Rural Poor Religious Female Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  47. Parties: Who decides? ANO Leader Apparatus Membership ANO ANO ANO Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

  48. Parties: Who decides? ANO Leader Apparatus Membership How unified?Splits since founding:NoneSplinters since founding:ManyApparent factions:Personality basedSplit/Splinter PotentialModerate but very high if loss of office Smer Smer Smer

  49. Parties: Where do party voters stand? ANO Market Freedom EU/Int’l Integration Minority Rights Cultural Freedom ANO ANO ANO ANO State Control National Independence Slovak Predominance Morality Source: 2004 FOCUS opinion survey

  50. Parties: How much do issues matter? ANO Charisma Platform Clientelism ANO ANO ANO Source: 2005 Rohrschneider and Whitefield expert survey

More Related