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Keynote Slide 7th TSSA Conference 2012 - Mobile Broadband - N Adhiarna

Keynote Slide: Mobile Broadband Development in Indonesia: Trends & Challenges, 7th Telecommunication Systems, Services & Application Conference, Bali, Indonesia (2012)

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Keynote Slide 7th TSSA Conference 2012 - Mobile Broadband - N Adhiarna

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  1. LOGO Mobile Broadband Development in Indonesia: Trends and Challenges Dr. Nyoman Adhiarna Directorate of Spectrum Policy and Planning Ministry of Kominfo, Indonesia Keynote Speech on 7th International Conference on Telecommunication Systems, Service & Applications (TSSA), Bali, 30 October 2012

  2. Outline 1. Background 2. Global Trend 3. Indonesia’s Trends and Policy Updates 4. Regulatory Challenges 2

  3. Mobile Broadband: Background 3

  4. Why Mobile Broadband? 4

  5. Creative Destruction J. Schumpeter (1883-1950) Creative destruction: a continuous innovation that affects mobile broadband. 5

  6. Mobile Broadband: Global Trends 6

  7. Smart Device Takes Top Spot 7

  8. ICT Product Is No Longer Just Hardware 8

  9. We Are All “On the Move” from voice community to text community 9

  10. The Rise of Social Media

  11. The rise of Streaming

  12. Small Cells Small cells and femto cells are becoming the solutions of choice for increasing network capacity. 12

  13. Spectrum Scarcity (Crunch) Improvement of ubiquitious computing is facilitating radio use as core element to connect every electronic gadgets Emergence of commercialized radio broadcasting service causes lacking of radio resources Demanding • • Improvement of spectrum management Taking measure to improve sharing techniques and development of unused frequency bands Supplying High demand Service Evolution Public demands Commercial demands 2G 3G Mobile broadband era Analog Era 13

  14. Global ICT Trends Indonesia :90 (above world mobile average) 14

  15. Global Trend: Subscriptions and Devices Source: ITU (2010) Source: Ericsson (2012) 15

  16. Global Trend: Traffic Geography handset Source: Ericsson (2012) 16

  17. Penetration Rate Source: Frost and Sullivan 17

  18. Penetration Rate - Household Source: Frost and Sullivan 18

  19. Blended ARPU ARPU: Average Revenue Per Users Source: Frost and Sullivan 19

  20. Internet Users 20

  21. Mobile Broadband in Indonesia: Trends & Policy Updates 21

  22. Indonesian ICT Statistics Services Unit 2004 2009 2010 2014 * *) Estimated 1. Telephone 8,703,218 8,423,973 8,429,180 8,429,180 Fixed Line Unit 32,009,688 190,062,615 200,636,587 222,853,663 Mobile Line Unit 40,712,906 198,486,588 209,065,767 307,145,463 Total Line Unit Per 100 inhabitants 18,82 86,06 89,79 100 Teledensity 2. Internet 1.087,428 2,000,000 2,700,000 7,000,000 Subscriber Person 11,226,143 30,000,000 45,000,000 130,000,000 User Person 3. Broadband Source: Kominfo & Bappenas 84,900 4,520,000 7,290,000 17,000,000 Subscriber Person 22

  23. Social Networking Indonesia internet user : 50 million people (2011) US (156 mn people) Indonesia (41 mn people) UK (31 mn people) “Facebook users in Indonesia 41 Mn people, 2nd rank in the world as per October 2011” Turkey (30 mn people) India (30 mn people) Japan (16.1 mn people) India (6.4 mn people) Indonesia (6.2mn people) “Twitter users in Indonesia 6.2 Mn people, 3rd rank in Asia per October 2011” Singapore (2.1 mn people) Philipines (2.0 mn people) 23 23

  24. Indonesia: Internet Contribution to GDP Source: BPS Data (2010) 24

  25. ICT Roadmap (2010 – 2020) Indonesia informative Indonesia broadband Indonesia digital Indonesia connected • All villages have telephone access • Establishment of national ICT strategies 2010-2014 • Establishment of National Information Security Authority • E-Government masterplan • All sub-districts have internet access • Enhancing ICT institution capability • Enhancing commitment for ICT resources • Enhancing IT capacity building • All province capitals are connected to optical networks. • All districts and cities have broadband access • Enhancing e- services: health and education for all. • Enhancing broadband access above 5MB • Increasing national competitivenes s and innovative industry • All districts and cities have e- government service • “Competitive Indonesia” Civil Society Knowledge Society Information Society • No blankspot • Internet access • No blankspot • Telephone access Source: Renstra Kemkominfo 25

  26. National Broadband Plan  Based on Government Decree PP No.5/2010 on Mid-Term National Plan and Economic Infrastructure Plan (MP3EI)  Most cost-efficient using cellular infrastructure  Target:  Broadband coverage : 30%  Backbone: 100% inter-island  75% District capitals have broadband access  Broadband – standard of services  256 kbps (OECD and BWA Whitepaper)  Need for periodical review as the phenomena of tablet, smart phone, new services etc. 26

  27. Minimum Downlink for Users Minimum downlink bit rate per user (Mbps) 2014 2016 1 2 Area of Services Area-1 2012 .512 2018 3 2020 3 Area-2 .512 .512 1 2 3 Area-3 .512 .512 1 1 2 Area-4 .512 .512 1 1 1 It is expected that wireless broadband could provide services that guarantee minimum access per user without decreasing access speed during the services. 27

  28. Mobile Communications and Frequency Bands  Mobile operators (FDD/ paired band)  Band plan GSM-900/1800  IMT-2000 (UMTS) band plan  Mobile and FWA operators (FDD/ paired band)  Band plan CDMA-850  BWA Operator for TDD 2.3 GHz (unpaired band)  BWA Operator for 2.3 GHz (paired)  BWA Operator for 3.3 GHz  2.6 GHz band plan options  Digital Terresterial Television Broadcasting (DTTB) & digital dividend in UHF band  Digital dividend (700 MHz) band plan 28

  29. Spectrums for Mobile Broadband in Indonesia Band Spectrum Existing usages Cellular CDMA EVDO) Analog TV is going to migrate to Digital and Government acquires Digital Dividend Cellular telephony (2.5G—CDMA and CDMA EVDO) Cellular telephony (2G—GSM900 and 3G— WCDMA/HSPA). National (band) license Cellular telephony (GSM1800). National (band) license telephony (2.5G—CDMA and 3G- 450 – 470 MHz 2 x 7,5 MHz 694–820 MHz 2 x 45 MHz 825–845 and 870–890 MHz 890–915 and 935–960 MHz 1710–1785 dan 1805–1880 MHz 3G- 2 x 20 MHz 2 x 25 MHz 2 x 75 MHz 1903.125 – 1910 and 1983.125–1990 MHz Cellular telephony (2.5G-CDMA and 3G EVDO). National (band) license 2 x 8.675 MHz 1920–1980 dan 2110–2170 MHz Cellular broadband and telephony 3G. National (band) license Broadband Wireless Access. For band 2360 – 2390 MHz License has been awarded for 15 regions. Currently being used for wireless broadband TDD 2520 – 2670 MHz is currently being used for Satelit broadcasting (DTH). 29 2 x 60 MHz 2300–2390 MHz 90 MHz 2 x 15 MHz 2500–2690 MHz 150 MHz

  30. Future Bandwidth Issues  To anticipate spectrum crunch due to mobile broadband traffic, three solutions:  Increase spectrum bandwidth  Increase number of tower  Increase type of technology with more spectral-efficient  In US, FCC (2010) identified 500 MHz spectrum for mobile broadband in year 2020  Additional allocation of 500 MHz has been followed by UK (Britain’s Superfast Broadband Future, December 2010).  ACMA, Australia estimated additional 150 MHz are needed by 2015, and another 150 MHz for 2020, from current 800 MHz which have been allocated for mobile services.  Currently Indonesia totally uses only 522.35 MHz for cellular services. This figure is much lower than other countries such as Australia. 30

  31. Band Plan of CDMA-850 31

  32. Band Plan of GSM-900/1800 32

  33. IMT-2000 (UMTS) Band Plan Notes: • • • Diagram of frequency blocks as a result of 2.1 GHz auction and refarming in year 2006 – 2008. 2nd carrier of UMTS has been granted to Telkomsel and Indosat in mid of 2009 PCS-1900 operator has been in operation since 2007 (Smart). Mixed allocation between PCS-1900 and UMTS has created potential interference. 5 – 10 MHz guard band is needed. 33

  34. Operators for Broadband Wireless Access (BWA) 2.3 GHz in Indonesia ZONA AREA BLOK 13 First media Berca Berca Berca First media Internux Comtronics IM2 Telkom Comtronics Telkom Berca Telkom Telkom Berca Telkom Berca Berca Berca BLOK 14 NOMOR BLOK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 RENTANG FREKUENSI (MHz) 2300 - 2305 2305 - 2310 2310 - 2315 2315 - 2320 2320 - 2325 2325 - 2330 2330 - 2335 2335 - 2340 2340 - 2345 2345 - 2350 2350 - 2355 2355 - 2360 2360 - 2375 2375 - 2390 2390 - 2400 LAYANAN 1 Sumbagut 2 Sumbagteng 3 Sumbagsel 4 Banten & Jabotabek 5 Jabar minus Botabek 6 Jabagteng 7 Jabagtim 8 Balinusra 9 Papua 10 Maluku & Malut 11 Sulbagsel 12 Sulbagut 13 Kalbagbar 14 Kalbagtim 15 Rikep Berca Berca BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA BWA Fixed BWA Fixed BWA USO Comtronics Berca WiMAX Ind WiMAX Ind Berca Telekomindo Berca Berca WiMAX Ind 34

  35. Operators for Broadband Wireless Access (BWA) 2.3 GHz in Indonesia Notes: Exisiting operators in 3.3 GHz FDD /TDD and 3.5 GHz TDD have to migrate to 3.3 GHz TDD by mid 2011 BLOK FREKUENSI 4 Indosat Starcom Lintasarta Indosat Lintasarta Indosat Starcom Lintasarta Indosat Starcom N OM OR B LOK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 R EN TAN G FRE KU EN SI (M Hz ) 3300 - 3312.5 3312.5 - 3325 3325 - 3337.5 3337.5 - 3350 3350 - 3362.5 3362.5 - 3375 3375 - 3387.5 3387.5 - 3400 ZONA 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 I II III IV Sumbagut Sumbagteng Sumbagsel Jabotabek & Banten corbec Jasnikom Jabar minus botabek Jabagteng Jabagtim VIII Bali Nusra IX Papua X Maluku & Malut Lintasarta Telkom Telkom Telkom Telkom Rekajasa CSM CSM V VI VII corbec Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Indosat Starcom Indosat Starcom Indosat Starcom Indosat Starcom Telkom Rekajasa Rabik CSM CSM CSM CSM XI XII XIII Kalbagbar XIV Kalbagtim XV Kepri Sulbagsel Sulbagut Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Lintasarta Indosat Starcom Indosat Indosat Starcom Indosat Starcom Telkom Telkom Starcom 35

  36. 2.6 GHz Band Plan Options Status Quo Option Rec. ITU-R M.1036 Options for Band Segmentation 36

  37. Preliminary Band Plan for Digital Dividend in Indonesia (470 – 862 MHz) 37

  38. Mobile Broadband in Indonesia: Regulatory Challenges 38

  39. Spectrum & Broadband Policy: Goals Minimize Inteference Efficient use of Spectrum Affordable and Competitive Broadband Access Dynamic and flexible to Spectrum Access Maximize the use of Spectrum ICT Industry and Penetration Spectrum Broadband 39

  40. Trends and Emerging Issues  Spectrum management models: from Traditional command and control to Non- traditional (market based, unlicensed, and sharing).  Spectrum Value  Spectrum Refarming (Analog to Digital Terretrial Broadcasting Migration, Digital Dividend, etc.)  New emerging technologies such as Cognitive Radio (CR)  Technology and Service Neutrality 40

  41. ICT and Broadband: Challenges  Laws and regulations are not flexible and adaptive enough:  Voice ►◄ Data (separated)  Fixed ►◄ Mobile  Telecommunication ►◄ Broadcasting  Telecommunication network, services, wholesale and resale are not regulated clearly  More adaptive – to anticipate dynamic ICT and broadband environment  Better resource management - spectrum and numbering 41

  42. Spectrum Policy: Challenges  Regulation for new and emerging technologies : Cognitive Radio, and Convergences among different services  Different and competing standards, band plan, etc.  Standards: Among countries in European Union, North America, and China, Japan, and Korea  Band plan: of competing technologies are conflicting one another  New spectrum management method: spectrum trading, secondary market, etc. 42

  43. Recommendations to Existing Regulation (1)  Flexible Use of Spectrum, to ensure the optimum use of spectrum while minimizing the interference.  Type of Licenses: Bandwidth License, Radio Apparatus License and Class License  Possible options of spectrum exclusivity use (bandwidth licenses) and spectrum commons (class licenses)  Possible transfer of ownership of bandwidth license. Such as: aggregate/disaggregate bandwidth and geographical locations, leased part of spectrum license within the spectrum boundary, etc. 43

  44. Recommendations to Existing Regulation (2)  Separation of Spectrum License from Telecomunication License and Broadcasting License  Flexibility to adopt 4G technology (technology neutrality)  Simplification of Certification Process into only CPE. The others are regulated by technical conditions of Spectrum License / Radio Apparatus Licenses  Abolishment of current practice: Principal License and Modern Licensing of Roll-out obligation Plan of Telecommunication License. 44

  45. Conclusions  Mobile broadband landscape has changed rapidly in the last few years and it requires new innovative ways to deal with.  Indonesia is facing big challenges to meet the future demand of mobile broadband.  Policy and regulation in mobile broadband should be efficient, competitive, long-term oriented and flexible enough to meet the future demand. 45

  46. LOGO Nyoman Adhiarna Email: adhiarna@postel.go.id Directorate of Spectrum Policy and Planning Ministry of Kominfo, Indonesia

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