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Delivering Housing in the Borough

20 th November 2012. TOWN TEAM. Delivering Housing in the Borough. Consultation. Ends Friday 7 th December HOW TO RESPOND Online at http//scarborough.objective.co.uk/portal Email to localplan@scarborough.gov.uk

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Delivering Housing in the Borough

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  1. 20th November 2012 TOWN TEAM Delivering Housing in the Borough

  2. Consultation • Ends Friday 7th December HOW TO RESPOND • Online at http//scarborough.objective.co.uk/portal • Email to localplan@scarborough.gov.uk • Post to Forward Planning, Scarborough Borough Council, Town Hall, St Nicholas Street, Scarborough

  3. BACKGROUND • Regional Spatial Strategies are going – But not yet gone • Population Projections have changed – Someone has been careless and lost nearly 11,000 people • Its all your fault – The Borough is getting older • What do we Plan for? – GROWTH?

  4. The National Planning Policy Framework • The NPPF requires the ‘ Objective Assessment of Housing Needs’. • To do this we have: • Updated the “Aspirations for the Borough”; • Updated the Information on Need and Demand (including Census and Population projections); • Updated the Housing Supply with the latest Completions and Availability; • Set out Various Options and Undertake a Brief Appraisal of each one.

  5. The Yorkshire and Humber Plan Regional Spatial Strategy to 2026 May 2008

  6. Regional Spatial Strategy • 560 dwellings per annum • Between 2008 and 2012 this would have meant 2,240new dwellings – Actual 911 (41%)

  7. Population Change

  8. Where Has Everyone Gone

  9. Population Change

  10. Key Question • Should we develop our own housing targets through the Local Plan?

  11. Aspirations for the Borough • Urban Renaissance – ‘going for growth’ of Scarborough; • Influencing the RSS – Council argued for higher housing figures than initially proposed and this was subsequently raised through the Examination process to 560 dwellings per year; • Sustainable Community Strategy – aim to provide more affordable housing; • Previous Consultation – general agreement over need to increase housing numbers, however, this view did change once actual sites where identified. At this time objections were raised regarding individual housing sites and questions raised over the overall housing numbers.

  12. Understanding Need and Demand • Subsequent household projections are down from 64,000 (IHPP) to 55,200 (2012 Paper) in 2030; • Household growth over Local Plan period predicted at 11.7%; • To meet this population increase would require 305 additional dwellings per year;

  13. Build It And They Will Come

  14. Economic Projections • Economic Projections – these have not changed dramatically since IHPP. The predicted job creation is shown in the table below. NOTE: this is for natural job growth. • Potash and Windfarms – It is unclear as to the impact on the housing market of these 2 industries Potash Up To 2,000 in Construction 800-1,000 at Minehead 2,500 in Supply Chain Up to 200 in Processing

  15. Key Question • Should the Local Plan look to significantly increase housing delivery in the Borough alongside job creation as part of a strategy to grow the population of the area?

  16. Affordable Housing • Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA) – this sets out the levels of housing need including affordable housing. • In 2010, the IHPP used the 2007 SHMA and suggested a requirement of 540 affordable dwellings per year (for existing need) for a period of 5 years; • The latest SHMA has identified a lower requirement of 406 affordable dwellings per year (for existing need) for a period of 5 years; • Future predicted need is now 280 per annum but was 405 per annum in previous SHMA.

  17. Key Question • Should increasing the provision of affordable housing across the Borough be a priority?

  18. Housing Mix

  19. Population Is Ageing • Remains a need for older persons housing. • Currently 23.5% of population over 65 (highest in North Yorkshire) and predicted to rise to 31.6% in 2030.

  20. We Are Living Longer

  21. In 2011 Scarborough is ranked 25 out of 350 authorities in Eng & Wales for the % of population over 65. In 2010 there were 10 authorities with more than 25% over 65 by 2020 there will be 63, one of which will be Scarborough.

  22. Housing Mix - Completions

  23. Key Question • Does the previous reliance on small scale high density brownfield sites need to be supplemented by other sites capable of delivering a broader mix of housing in terms of size and tenure?

  24. Housing Supply

  25. Housing Supply • Delivery - The delivery of housing has continued downward since the IHPP. The average completion rates are as follows: • 1991 – 2012: ……….367 dwellings • 2004 – 2012:………..331 dwellings • Availability - The number of dwellings with planning permissions has started to rise following the downturn and now stands at 1642 units (1498 when discounted). There are also 1363 available in adopted housing allocations (discounted figure).

  26. Key Question • Should the Local Plan set out housing targets that are based upon a gradual increase in housing delivery over the Plan period, rather than a flat annual rate?

  27. New Plan

  28. Housing Performance • RSS figure between 2008-2012 560 per annum = 2,240 Actual = 909 Shortfall = 1,331

  29. Key Question • Should the Local Plan disregard any previous theoretical undersupply based against the regional Spatial Strategy Requirements?

  30. Windfall (The Unexpected)

  31. Windfall • Previous Government policy was that windfall development should not be included in any forward looking projections. The NPPF states that an allowance can be made for windfall in the 5 year supply. • At the Selby Core Strategy Examination in Public the Inspector has recently indicated that he felt an allowance for windfall should be taken into account especially where there is evidence of an historic consistent supply. • Since 2004 Scarborough has delivered an average of 287 dwellings a year from windfall sites or 86.7% of total completions.

  32. Key Question • Do you think windfall development should be factored into the Borough’s overall housing target? • If yes how should we estimate the likely contribution?

  33. Brownfield Sites

  34. Brownfield Sites • RSS policy was that local authorities should prioritise housing development on brownfield land and through conversions to contribute to a regional target of at least 65% • NPPF: Core principal states use of brownfield should be encouraged and that local authorities should consider the case for setting a locally appropriate target

  35. Key Question • Should the Local Plan set a target for new housing on brownfield sites, and manage release of housing sites to achieve this target?

  36. Neighbouring Authorities

  37. Key Question • To what extent should the Local Plan look to provide unmet housing need in adjoining local authority areas?

  38. Options and Appraisal Scenarios:

  39. Key Question • Which scenario should the Local Plan pursue?

  40. QUESTIONS

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